inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 114 Excitement10.1 [53] MVPDeMar DeRozan (SAS): +30.9%
San Antonio Spurs 119 Comeback15.4 [80] LVPPascal Siakam (TOR): -21.7%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Boucher0.290,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.290.170.130.011379%0.2900.00250%-0.02
Fred VanVleet0.290,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.27,0.27,0.44,0.44,0.290.140.14-0.002063%0.331-0.04367%-0.00
OG Anunoby0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.050.130.00662%0.1800.00450%-0.03
Aron Baynes0.040,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.011159%0.081-0.0300%0.00
DeAndre' Bembry-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.00250%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Matt Thomas-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.00-0.03-0.00850%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Kyle Lowry-0.090,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.09-0.00-0.10-0.011550%-0.052-0.042100%0.01
Norman Powell-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.03-0.0150%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Pascal Siakam-0.220,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22-0.10-0.100.011644%-0.085-0.144100%0.03

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.31,0.310.310.150.190.021769%0.362-0.05580%-0.01
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.220.220.22-0.000.009117%0.241-0.0200%0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.180.18-0.020.19-0.011440%0.1800.00250%-0.03
Trey Lyles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.030.001150%0.0700.0000%0.00
Rudy Gay0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.020.02-0.050.06-0.00650%0.113-0.09475%0.03
Devin Vassell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.020.00570%0.042-0.0600%0.00
Jakob Poeltl0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.02444%0.042-0.0610%-0.02
Lonnie Walker IV0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.060.001448%-0.042-0.0310%-0.02
Keldon Johnson0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.08-0.14-0.041537%-0.022-0.162100%0.00
Dejounte Murray0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.01,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.2-0.20-0.08-0.13-0.011535%-0.152-0.051100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.20.227.514.429.20.330.3127.1
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.7135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +9.0%
SAS +10.2%
SAS +54.1%
TOR -19.3%
TOR -3.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORSASNBATORSASNBA
this game12.814.814.4108.6114.4111.3
season14.214.6111.0109.8
opponent14.214.6111.3111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR11.512.013.314.512.8
SAS16.813.712.916.214.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Aron Baynes43430.05-0.550.59-0.074-91312.413.0-0.6114.914.70.20
Norman Powell39380.01-0.510.520.07-2-3113.612.31.2214.115.2-1.09
DeAndre' Bembry1211-0.11-0.390.280.10-72-913.412.70.7014.714.8-0.05
Matt Thomas4242-0.19-0.310.110.10-105-1513.012.70.2913.515.6-2.17
Fred VanVleet7674-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.29-2-3112.713.0-0.3215.712.63.10
OG Anunoby7979-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.482-7912.314.4-2.1115.014.20.80
Pascal Siakam9392-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.32-4-1-312.912.00.9015.310.94.36
Kyle Lowry7980-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.583-81112.713.0-0.3214.216.7-2.52
Chris Boucher6261-0.550.05-0.59-0.28-94-1313.012.40.6114.714.9-0.20

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rudy Gay59620.96-0.461.430.3521-163713.116.9-3.7813.312.01.28
DeMar DeRozan78780.69-0.190.870.487-2914.914.20.7212.713.0-0.22
Patty Mills67660.66-0.160.820.3112-71913.616.9-3.2513.012.40.58
Devin Vassell28280.380.120.26-0.0314-92313.115.4-2.2712.213.0-0.80
Jakob Poeltl43430.330.170.150.0310-51513.415.7-2.2613.012.60.38
Dejounte Murray64650.200.30-0.090.35-510-1514.914.60.2813.311.91.37
Keldon Johnson6261-0.000.50-0.510.29-1015-2515.513.61.9312.413.3-0.93
Trey Lyles88-0.070.57-0.64-0.01-27-917.714.53.2313.212.80.49
LaMarcus Aldridge5960-0.220.72-0.930.05-914-2316.113.03.1212.912.70.16
Lonnie Walker IV5254-0.430.93-1.35-0.04-1318-3116.812.74.0411.813.8-2.03


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.74,0.54,0.46,0.38,0.46,0.15,0.27,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 113, MIL 1160.5,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.67,0.61,0.37,0.47,0.41,190.4%
PHI 85, CHH 860.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.8,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.67,0.75,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.09,0.02,190.1%
POR 91, MIN 960.5,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.63,0.69,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.31,0.42,190.0%