NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	85		Excitement	7.9 [224]		MVP	David Wesley (CHH): +32.3%
Charlotte Hornets	86		Comeback	44.2 [18]		LVP	Baron Davis (CHH): -21.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Lynch	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	8	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Dikembe Mutombo	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	5	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.03
Todd MacCulloch	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	7	44%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Tyrone Hill	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.01	-0.01	6	44%	0.01	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	6	29%	0.03	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.04
Allen Iverson	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.15,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,0.04,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.14,0.14,-0.16	0.03	-0.19	-0.00	33	62%	0.33	8	-0.50	10	100%	0.08

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,0.32	0.32	-0.06	0.37	-0.01	12	48%	0.45	3	-0.13	3	33%	-0.03
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.08	0.00	4	75%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.07	-0.03	11	54%	0.11	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Tim James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	10	55%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.06	-0.06	-0.12	0.05	-0.01	17	33%	0.01	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	8	37%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.14	-0.08	-0.00	15	40%	-0.14	4	-0.08	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	29.3	15.7	26.7	2.0	35.2	134.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +26.0%

PHI -20.1%

PHI -9.6%

CHH +55.0%

PHI -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHH	NBA	PHI	CHH	NBA
this game	15.5	15.3	15.5	91.4	91.5	100.9
season	15.7	15.8		101.4	99.7
opponent	15.6	15.5		97.0	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.8	15.6	14.2	18.1	15.5
CHH	13.5	14.4	16.5	17.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	85	87	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.05	5	-6	11	15.5	15.9	-0.37	15.3	15.3	-0.02
Dikembe Mutombo	65	65	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.12	7	-8	15	16.2	14.0	2.25	16.2	13.1	3.13
Todd MacCulloch	7	7	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.02	1	-2	3	9.4	16.0	-6.61	17.3	15.1	2.18
Jumaine Jones	23	22	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.08	-6	5	-11	14.6	15.8	-1.23	14.4	15.5	-1.18
Tyrone Hill	74	75	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	0	-1	16.2	13.1	3.12	15.0	16.3	-1.25
Matt Geiger	31	28	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	9	-19	14.5	16.1	-1.58	16.0	14.9	1.10
Rodney Buford	3	5	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-1	1	17.0	15.5	1.51	5.4	15.8	-10.42
George Lynch	62	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.52	6	-7	13	15.4	15.9	-0.55	16.0	13.7	2.28
Eric Snow	66	65	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.63	4	-5	9	16.4	13.5	2.85	14.2	17.6	-3.36
Aaron McKie	49	51	-0.93	0.43	-1.36	-0.61	-11	10	-21	14.7	16.4	-1.70	15.5	15.0	0.49

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	81	78	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.59	-1	2	-3	15.1	16.1	-0.94	15.0	18.5	-3.49
Jamal Mashburn	79	77	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.56	-3	4	-7	15.5	13.9	1.59	16.0	13.2	2.76
David Wesley	57	59	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.42	-2	3	-5	15.2	15.4	-0.14	16.9	13.1	3.77
Tim James	16	16	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.19	4	-3	7	13.2	15.7	-2.50	13.2	16.0	-2.76
Elden Campbell	56	56	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.32	-1	2	-3	15.3	15.2	0.05	15.9	15.0	0.85
P.J. Brown	75	74	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.21	2	-1	3	14.6	18.1	-3.49	16.3	12.7	3.52
Jamaal Magloire	24	25	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.02	8	-7	15	16.1	15.0	1.15	14.2	16.0	-1.83
Eddie Robinson	45	42	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.25	-2	3	-5	15.1	15.4	-0.25	13.9	16.9	-3.02
Eldridge Recasner	9	10	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.05	5	-4	9	16.4	15.1	1.30	17.2	15.3	1.86
Otis Thorpe	28	28	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.16	-5	6	-11	17.2	14.5	2.72	14.7	15.9	-1.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.8,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.67,0.75,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.09,0.02,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 98, CLE 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.82,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.41,0.53,0.32,0.21,0.23,0.16,1	91.5%
NOH 95, MIN 97	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.33,0.39,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.54,0.45,0.29,0.22,0.08,1	89.9%
ORL 96, NYK 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.63,0.82,0.7,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.21,0.33,0.27,1	89.1%