NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	98		Excitement	9.4 [81]		MVP	Mo Williams (CLE): +32.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	101		Comeback	5.2 [374]		LVP	Brandon Jennings (MIL): -15.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.03,0.03,0.3,0.24	0.03	0.21	-0.00	13	50%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.02	0.00	6	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.03	0.15	-0.10	0.01	16	72%	0.22	3	-0.19	7	100%	0.04
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.05	0.00	7	43%	0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	13	42%	0.10	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	17	53%	0.10	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Charlie Bell	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.05	0.01	9	28%	-0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.22,0.32	0.32	0.12	0.22	0.02	12	66%	0.32	0	0.00	8	87%	0.07
LeBron James	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0,0,0.05,-0.01,-0.1,0.24	0.24	-0.04	0.23	-0.04	17	49%	0.28	4	-0.04	13	69%	0.06
Jawad Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	4	70%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	8	57%	0.11	2	-0.06	5	40%	-0.06
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	8	61%	0.07	2	-0.05	7	57%	-0.09
Leon Powe	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	4	36%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.02	-0.11	0.00	10	52%	-0.06	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.11
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	8	39%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.7	29.8	14.8	25.2	2.6	39.3	139.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL -19.8%

CLE +33.4%

CLE +6.7%

CLE +31.5%

MIL -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CLE	NBA	MIL	CLE	NBA
this game	14.6	15.1	15.3	101.0	104.1	106.0
season	15.5	16.1		103.3	109.5
opponent	15.0	15.5		103.3	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.8	15.1	15.3	14.2	14.6
CLE	14.4	14.9	15.3	15.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	42	42	0.46	-0.96	1.42	0.11	12	-15	27	14.4	14.7	-0.35	15.9	14.5	1.44
Royal Ivey	6	6	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-3	3	15.3	14.5	0.81	13.8	15.2	-1.36
Jerry Stackhouse	51	51	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-6	9	13.8	15.4	-1.59	16.1	14.0	2.12
Brandon Jennings	40	39	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.18	-2	-1	-1	14.1	14.9	-0.81	14.7	15.4	-0.75
Luke Ridnour	57	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.23	-1	-2	1	14.9	14.1	0.81	15.4	14.7	0.75
Charlie Bell	46	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.07	-7	4	-11	16.3	13.0	3.37	14.7	15.6	-0.88
Luc Mbah a Moute	40	41	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.22	-4	1	-5	14.0	15.0	-0.94	16.4	14.2	2.17
John Salmons	90	89	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.45	0	-3	3	14.2	19.9	-5.69	14.9	17.9	-3.01
Ersan Ilyasova	44	42	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.33	-5	2	-7	15.2	14.1	1.15	14.2	15.8	-1.63
Andrew Bogut	69	69	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.53	-11	8	-19	14.5	14.9	-0.39	14.4	16.8	-2.35

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	77	79	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.46	10	-7	17	15.1	15.2	-0.17	15.2	11.9	3.30
Mo Williams	64	68	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.12	14	-11	25	14.6	16.1	-1.53	14.3	15.3	-1.05
Antawn Jamison	73	73	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.42	3	0	3	15.0	15.3	-0.29	14.0	16.3	-2.28
JJ Hickson	59	57	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.48	0	3	-3	14.2	16.5	-2.32	14.3	14.9	-0.63
Delonte West	59	58	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.35	-2	5	-7	15.4	14.7	0.75	14.1	15.3	-1.14
Jamario Moon	23	19	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.38	-8	11	-19	14.8	15.2	-0.43	14.0	14.7	-0.72
Anthony Parker	57	55	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.04	5	-2	7	14.1	16.5	-2.40	15.2	13.8	1.44
Leon Powe	13	13	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	2	-1	16.4	14.9	1.47	15.6	14.4	1.20
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	37	39	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.12	-1	4	-5	16.9	14.0	2.96	15.2	14.2	0.96
Jawad Williams	24	25	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.01	-10	13	-23	16.9	14.5	2.34	14.0	14.8	-0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.82,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.41,0.53,0.32,0.21,0.23,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 85, CHH 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.8,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.67,0.75,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.09,0.02,1	91.5%
BOS 101, NYK 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.68,0.81,0.78,0.62,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.54,0.39,0.28,0.34,0.42,1	91.2%
LAC 100, SEA 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.57,0.54,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.53,0.25,0.22,0.32,0.42,1	91.0%