NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	113		Excitement	10.4 [77]		MVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): +39.4%
Milwaukee Bucks	116		Comeback	3.4 [663]		LVP	Brook Lopez (MIL): -49.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robin Lopez	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.07	0.01	10	81%	0.32	2	-0.15	1	100%	0.01
Ryan Arcidiacono	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.00	0.00	12	76%	0.21	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Zach LaVine	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.13	0.08	0.08	0.03	18	57%	0.17	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.04
Cameron Payne	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	0.00	4	78%	0.12	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Chandler Hutchison	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,0.08,-0.04	-0.01	-0.05	-0.02	21	49%	0.01	3	-0.06	7	57%	-0.12
Wendell Carter Jr.	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	9	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille Harrison	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	2	33%	-0.04	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Justin Holiday	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	10	33%	-0.10	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.39	0.39	0.08	0.31	-0.00	13	59%	0.39	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.16,0.34	0.34	0.13	0.24	0.03	21	67%	0.52	4	-0.18	12	67%	-0.03
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.20	0.13	0.01	11	100%	0.38	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.03	0.01	3	70%	0.08	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.02
Thon Maker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.03	-0.08	0.01	6	69%	0.05	2	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.09	-0.01	7	50%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.03,-0.5	-0.50	-0.05	-0.48	-0.03	15	37%	-0.48	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.5	24.3	14.7	26.2	2.3	34.3	131.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +8.5%

CHI -0.6%

MIL +40.0%

CHI -5.9%

MIL +7.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MIL	NBA	CHI	MIL	NBA
this game	14.6	13.5	14.3	109.7	113.7	109.3
season	14.6	13.5		104.2	112.4
opponent	14.3	14.3		104.0	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.4	17.7	15.1	13.6	14.6
MIL	13.4	12.9	12.0	15.7	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jabari Parker	70	73	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.32	7	-10	17	13.9	16.1	-2.16	14.2	11.5	2.73
Chandler Hutchison	37	36	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	2	-7	14.8	14.5	0.30	12.8	13.8	-0.98
Shaquille Harrison	27	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	7	-17	15.5	14.3	1.22	10.9	14.3	-3.38
Wendell Carter Jr.	49	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.29	2	-5	7	14.1	15.1	-1.03	14.3	12.6	1.63
Robin Lopez	51	46	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	2	-7	15.3	14.0	1.33	13.0	13.8	-0.78
Justin Holiday	88	87	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.43	4	-7	11	14.4	16.0	-1.61	13.3	14.7	-1.48
Zach LaVine	77	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.48	5	-8	13	14.7	14.3	0.47	13.5	13.2	0.31
Ryan Arcidiacono	81	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.48	3	-6	9	14.2	16.0	-1.75	13.7	12.5	1.30
Cameron Payne	35	34	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.02	-16	13	-29	16.1	13.9	2.22	13.4	13.5	-0.04

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brook Lopez	64	65	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.68	0	3	-3	14.1	12.3	1.80	14.1	15.5	-1.35
Malcolm Brogdon	62	64	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.41	8	-5	13	13.3	13.7	-0.42	14.5	14.8	-0.28
Eric Bledsoe	63	62	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.67	-6	9	-15	13.9	12.7	1.22	13.9	15.7	-1.80
Giannis Antetokounmpo	74	75	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.46	1	2	-1	13.9	12.2	1.68	13.8	16.9	-3.07
Tony Snell	38	37	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	-7	17	13.2	13.6	-0.41	14.7	14.6	0.17
Thon Maker	23	24	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.07	12	-9	21	12.5	13.7	-1.23	17.7	13.7	4.08
Donte DiVincenzo	28	28	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.12	13	-10	23	14.0	13.3	0.68	15.5	14.3	1.26
Khris Middleton	64	66	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.39	-7	10	-17	13.6	13.2	0.41	14.6	14.7	-0.17
Pat Connaughton	51	52	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	-0.14	-9	12	-21	12.8	14.1	-1.29	15.1	14.1	1.00
Ersan Ilyasova	43	42	-0.44	0.94	-1.39	-0.24	-7	10	-17	12.2	14.4	-2.22	15.1	14.3	0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.67,0.61,0.37,0.47,0.41,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 102, SEA 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.79,0.73,0.59,0.61,0.77,0.56,0.64,0.77,0.58,1	91.7%
UTA 100, MIA 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.19,0.22,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.4,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.77,0.64,0.59,0.34,0.39,0.28,0.55,0.42,1	91.5%
UTA 86, OKC 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.57,0.73,1	90.0%