NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	131		Excitement	4.9 [738]		MVP	Ja Morant (MEM): +11.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	119		Comeback	2.0 [365]		LVP	Kyle Anderson (MEM): -4.5%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lonnie Walker IV	0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	0.01	0.04	9	84%	0.13	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.15	0.03	0.08	14	65%	0.12	1	-0.02	15	93%	0.03
Dejounte Murray	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.00	15	66%	0.14	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Patty Mills	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	11	57%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Keldon Johnson	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	10	59%	0.07	2	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	17	57%	0.06	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jakob Poeltl	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Vassell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.02	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ja Morant	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.27	0.01	0.16	27	71%	0.14	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	11	54%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.04
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	14	55%	0.07	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Bane	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	5	58%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Clarke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	0.04	9	53%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	44%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	25.4	14.6	27.7	2.0	30.6	127.8
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +14.5%

SAS +15.6%

SAS +4.1%

SAS +12.5%

SAS +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	MEM	NBA	SAS	MEM	NBA
this game	13.6	12.8	14.4	119.1	110.2	111.3
season	14.6	14.0		109.8	111.2
opponent	14.5	14.2		110.4	111.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	12.8	12.1	13.9	15.7	13.6
MEM	13.9	15.6	10.4	11.6	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gay	46	45	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.04	14	-2	16	12.8	14.2	-1.42	14.4	11.6	2.81
Devin Vassell	45	43	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	-1	14	13.7	13.5	0.17	13.9	12.1	1.83
Jakob Poeltl	42	41	0.41	0.10	0.31	-0.01	14	-2	16	13.0	14.0	-0.95	14.6	11.7	2.83
Patty Mills	43	43	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	-1	14	13.1	14.0	-0.89	14.7	11.6	3.14
Dejounte Murray	72	70	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.11	6	6	0	12.8	15.1	-2.21	13.0	12.4	0.59
Keldon Johnson	75	74	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	9	-6	13.9	13.0	0.85	11.8	14.9	-3.07
Lonnie Walker IV	79	78	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	12	-12	14.1	12.4	1.66	11.8	15.3	-3.50
DeMar DeRozan	80	79	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.15	-1	13	-14	14.3	11.8	2.49	11.9	15.2	-3.28
LaMarcus Aldridge	68	67	0.10	0.41	-0.31	0.15	-2	14	-16	14.0	13.0	0.95	11.7	14.6	-2.83

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ja Morant	80	81	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.28	10	-22	32	12.3	14.4	-2.09	14.1	12.2	1.90
Grayson Allen	61	62	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-9	6	12.8	12.8	-0.01	13.2	14.2	-1.03
Desmond Bane	21	23	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	-6	0	14.2	12.5	1.78	14.1	13.5	0.66
Kyle Anderson	67	69	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.02	-6	-6	0	12.5	13.2	-0.71	13.1	14.4	-1.25
Gorgui Dieng	24	26	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	-6	0	14.0	12.5	1.59	13.4	13.7	-0.24
Jonas Valanciunas	69	68	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-8	4	12.3	13.7	-1.35	13.9	13.1	0.79
De'Anthony Melton	56	56	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	-5	-2	12.9	12.7	0.26	14.1	13.1	0.98
Dillon Brooks	76	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	-2	-8	12.3	14.0	-1.70	13.6	13.7	-0.08
Brandon Clarke	56	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.14	-8	-4	-4	13.2	12.4	0.81	13.9	13.3	0.59
Tyus Jones	30	31	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.09	-20	8	-28	14.3	12.2	2.07	12.0	14.2	-2.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 98, LAL 82	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
NYK 110, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.5,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
SAC 122, GSW 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.26,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.27,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%