NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	110		Excitement	4.5 [945]		MVP	Luke Kornet (NYK): +17.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Comeback	1.9 [85]		LVP	John Holland (CLE): -13.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Kornet	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.14	0.02	-0.02	14	79%	0.20	3	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.00	3	86%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Beasley	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	10	55%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Trey Burke	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	16	56%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Isaiah Hicks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	10	68%	0.08	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Frank Ntilikina	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.01	0.02	16	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Damyean Dotson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.01	8	58%	0.02	3	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Lance Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	10	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ante Zizic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.13	-0.02	0.11	9	74%	0.03	1	-0.04	9	67%	-0.04
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
London Perrantes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	7	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	9	48%	0.01	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
JR Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	18	44%	-0.00	3	-0.07	5	40%	-0.03
John Holland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.01	0.08	19	47%	-0.07	3	-0.07	7	71%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.6	30.2	14.8	25.0	1.6	26.2	124.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +50.0%

NYK +11.2%

CLE -17.1%

NYK +7.0%

CLE -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CLE	NBA	NYK	CLE	NBA
this game	14.5	15.2	14.7	112.2	102.1	107.5
season	14.9	14.8		105.9	111.2
opponent	14.7	14.5		110.6	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.0	12.0	14.9	17.2	14.5
CLE	14.3	18.0	13.9	14.7	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Hicks	60	57	0.67	-0.17	0.83	-0.01	23	-11	34	14.6	14.3	0.33	15.9	14.1	1.82
Trey Burke	88	85	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.17	14	-2	16	14.3	16.5	-2.24	15.0	16.6	-1.61
Jarrett Jack	36	37	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.03	17	-5	22	14.4	14.6	-0.20	16.6	14.3	2.26
Luke Kornet	56	55	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	1	10	15.2	13.5	1.69	15.5	14.9	0.58
Frank Ntilikina	77	75	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.21	1	11	-10	14.7	13.7	1.05	15.1	15.7	-0.59
Damyean Dotson	67	66	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.10	4	8	-4	14.8	13.8	1.00	15.2	15.3	-0.13
Kyle O'Quinn	38	38	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.15	-2	14	-16	13.5	15.1	-1.62	14.3	15.8	-1.48
Michael Beasley	45	44	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.09	-3	15	-18	14.3	14.7	-0.41	14.6	15.7	-1.10
Lance Thomas	23	23	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	17	-22	13.9	14.7	-0.81	14.4	15.5	-1.07

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	23	23	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.03	5	-17	22	14.4	15.5	-1.07	13.9	14.7	-0.81
Larry Nance Jr.	23	23	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.03	5	-17	22	14.4	15.5	-1.07	13.9	14.7	-0.81
Jeff Green	23	23	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.03	5	-17	22	14.4	15.5	-1.07	13.9	14.7	-0.81
George Hill	19	19	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.03	5	-17	22	14.9	15.3	-0.39	14.1	14.6	-0.54
Kendrick Perkins	29	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-15	18	13.7	15.9	-2.18	15.4	14.1	1.26
JR Smith	13	13	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.11	-10	-2	-8	15.2	15.2	0.03	13.1	14.7	-1.63
Jose Calderon	14	14	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.08	-10	-2	-8	14.6	15.3	-0.66	12.9	14.7	-1.82
Jordan Clarkson	12	12	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.08	-11	-1	-10	17.5	14.9	2.62	13.2	14.7	-1.51
Cedi Osman	78	81	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.33	1	-13	14	15.1	15.9	-0.84	14.6	14.1	0.52
Ante Zizic	52	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-7	2	15.1	15.3	-0.16	15.4	13.4	1.92
London Perrantes	63	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.20	-7	-5	-2	15.4	14.8	0.64	15.0	13.6	1.38
John Holland	73	75	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.12	-17	5	-22	15.5	14.4	1.07	14.7	13.9	0.81
Tristan Thompson	58	59	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	0.04	-24	12	-36	16.4	13.4	3.05	14.2	14.9	-0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.5,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 115, WAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
SAS 86, DEN 65	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
DEN 100, MIN 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%