NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	122		Excitement	9.3 [144]		MVP	CJ McCollum (POR): +42.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	117		Comeback	23.6 [62]		LVP	Damian Lillard (POR): -18.6%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney McGruder	0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.39	0.06	0.32	0.00	4	87%	0.39	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.36,0.36	0.10	0.26	0.00	3	114%	0.36	0	0.00	1	100%	0.03
Landry Shamet	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.17	0.11	0.09	0.03	12	63%	0.20	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Ivica Zubac	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	5	56%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
JaMychal Green	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	7	72%	0.14	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.06
Reggie Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.03	-0.00	14	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Paul George	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	16	62%	0.11	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Morris Sr.	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,0.08,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	13	54%	0.10	3	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Terance Mann	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	1	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Lou Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	0.01	10	55%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.42	0.14	0.28	-0.00	21	66%	0.49	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.19	0.10	0.00	13	79%	0.28	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.00	15	62%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Wenyen Gabriel	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	5	70%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	8	48%	-0.00	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.04
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19	-0.19	-0.05	-0.14	-0.00	23	46%	-0.09	3	-0.10	2	0%	-0.30

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	3.5	27.5	15.8	27.4	3.4	41.8	146.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +5.0%

LAC +49.4%

LAC +11.0%

POR -11.9%

POR -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	POR	NBA	LAC	POR	NBA
this game	13.0	15.5	14.2	120.8	115.8	109.6
season	13.8	14.4		113.2	111.9
opponent	13.9	14.4		113.5	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	12.6	12.5	13.3	13.8	13.0
POR	13.5	15.8	16.2	16.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney McGruder	40	39	1.08	-0.58	1.65	0.58	17	-12	29	10.8	14.5	-3.67	16.5	14.8	1.73
JaMychal Green	41	42	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.46	13	-8	21	12.1	13.7	-1.54	16.2	14.9	1.27
Patrick Patterson	43	42	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.58	6	-1	7	12.0	13.8	-1.89	15.3	15.6	-0.28
Terance Mann	22	23	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.39	11	-6	17	14.2	12.7	1.46	17.0	15.0	2.03
Landry Shamet	73	74	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.42	-5	10	-15	12.8	13.7	-0.93	14.7	17.6	-2.84
Lou Williams	37	37	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.03	7	-2	9	12.9	13.1	-0.15	15.8	15.3	0.49
Paul George	60	58	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.06	-4	9	-13	13.6	12.2	1.38	15.2	15.8	-0.55
Ivica Zubac	53	53	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.09	-4	9	-13	13.8	12.2	1.58	14.7	16.3	-1.64
Marcus Morris Sr.	65	65	-0.39	0.89	-1.29	-0.25	-5	10	-15	13.7	11.8	1.92	15.7	15.0	0.74
Reggie Jackson	71	72	-0.56	1.06	-1.61	-0.23	-11	16	-27	13.8	11.3	2.47	15.2	16.1	-0.93

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Collins	50	50	0.27	-0.77	1.03	0.03	8	-13	21	15.2	15.7	-0.51	13.9	12.2	1.66
Wenyen Gabriel	27	28	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-8	11	14.7	15.8	-1.05	11.3	13.7	-2.38
Anfernee Simons	26	26	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-7	9	17.2	14.9	2.36	12.5	13.2	-0.78
Mario Hezonja	25	25	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.10	-9	4	-13	14.0	16.0	-1.96	11.6	13.5	-1.97
Jusuf Nurkic	67	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-1	-3	15.7	15.0	0.72	13.6	12.0	1.61
CJ McCollum	81	81	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.37	-1	-4	3	15.6	15.1	0.47	13.8	10.1	3.60
Damian Lillard	83	83	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.25	-9	4	-13	15.1	17.2	-2.13	12.9	13.8	-0.97
Gary Trent Jr.	73	72	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.26	-9	4	-13	16.1	13.7	2.39	12.4	14.6	-2.22
Carmelo Anthony	73	73	-0.83	0.33	-1.17	-0.66	-6	1	-7	15.3	16.0	-0.78	13.4	12.2	1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.7,0.59,0.66,0.75,0.84,0.94,0.59,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 96, CLE 95	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.68,0.42,0	91.7%
POR 82, WAS 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.76,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.78,0.67,0.43,0	90.3%
IND 110, MIA 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.69,0.66,0.81,0.85,0.71,0.73,0	90.0%