NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	107		Excitement	7.4 [373]		MVP	Otto Porter Jr. (CHI): +25.0%
Chicago Bulls	109		Comeback	3.5 [204]		LVP	Delon Wright (DAL): -15.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.16	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.16	0.13	0.06	0.03	10	82%	0.20	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.06	-0.01	21	59%	0.23	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Maxi Kleber	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.15	0.08	0.04	-0.03	8	72%	0.12	1	0.03	2	100%	0.02
Boban Marjanovic	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	11	64%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Justin Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	5	73%	0.05	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
J.J. Barea	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	12%	-0.05	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Luka Doncic	-0.10	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.1	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	20	47%	-0.02	4	-0.08	9	67%	-0.02
Delon Wright	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.16	0.09	-0.00	11	75%	0.25	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14	0.14	-0.00	0.08	-0.06	10	55%	0.12	2	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.13	0.13	-0.03	0.13	-0.03	5	47%	0.18	2	-0.05	5	60%	0.07
Daniel Gafford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.04	0.01	5	82%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ryan Arcidiacono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	7	56%	0.07	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Adam Mokoka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Denzel Valentine	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	15	57%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	12	44%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Coby White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.03	0.00	20	47%	0.09	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille Harrison	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	23.5	15.5	28.3	2.4	42.8	138.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +19.7%

CHI +10.2%

CHI +4.1%

CHI +20.8%

DAL -4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	CHI	NBA	DAL	CHI	NBA
this game	14.9	14.5	14.2	108.1	112.4	109.6
season	14.5	14.1		115.2	105.3
opponent	14.4	14.1		108.2	111.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.4	15.9	17.7	11.3	14.9
CHI	16.6	14.1	12.3	14.9	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boban Marjanovic	47	45	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.17	6	-8	14	14.9	14.9	-0.01	15.0	14.0	1.08
Courtney Lee	45	46	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.15	4	-6	10	15.6	14.4	1.17	15.2	13.8	1.31
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	10	11	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	6	-14	17.5	14.6	2.87	14.2	14.5	-0.32
Luka Doncic	79	77	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.46	10	-12	22	14.8	15.3	-0.48	14.4	14.7	-0.36
J.J. Barea	26	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	2	-6	14.9	14.9	0.01	15.0	14.3	0.69
Justin Jackson	18	16	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.05	-6	4	-10	15.7	14.7	0.98	14.4	14.5	-0.11
Dorian Finney-Smith	66	65	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.36	3	-5	8	14.7	15.3	-0.58	14.4	14.6	-0.19
Maxi Kleber	70	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	1	-4	14.7	15.4	-0.70	14.3	14.9	-0.65
Tim Hardaway Jr.	76	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.36	-4	2	-6	14.8	15.3	-0.50	14.2	15.4	-1.27
Delon Wright	58	55	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.28	-8	6	-14	14.5	15.5	-1.05	14.1	15.0	-0.90

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Coby White	65	66	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.44	4	-2	6	14.7	13.9	0.83	14.5	15.8	-1.39
Adam Mokoka	38	40	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.24	10	-8	18	13.8	14.9	-1.02	14.5	15.2	-0.70
Wendell Carter Jr.	49	50	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.32	1	1	0	13.4	15.5	-2.13	14.3	15.5	-1.21
Ryan Arcidiacono	41	41	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.12	7	-5	12	14.6	14.4	0.21	15.4	14.6	0.85
Otto Porter Jr.	33	35	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.05	11	-9	20	14.6	14.4	0.17	15.7	14.5	1.23
Tomas Satoransky	64	64	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.49	-9	11	-20	14.4	14.6	-0.17	14.5	15.7	-1.23
Shaquille Harrison	31	31	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	-2	6	14.5	14.5	0.03	16.9	14.0	2.89
Daniel Gafford	48	49	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	2	-2	15.5	13.4	2.13	15.5	14.3	1.21
Thaddeus Young	74	75	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.48	-12	14	-26	14.7	13.7	1.01	14.2	17.2	-2.97
Denzel Valentine	42	44	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.05	-6	8	-14	14.0	14.8	-0.73	15.4	14.6	0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.28,0.39,0.22,0.34,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.7,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.68,0.64,0.88,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 87, DEN 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.83,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.98,1,1,1	92.6%
IND 85, MIL 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.81,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.94,0.9,0.98,1,1,1	92.6%
SEA 89, CHH 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.91,0.96,0.98,1,1,1	92.4%