NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	85		Excitement	5.9 [661]		MVP	Greg Monroe (MIL): +17.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	99		Comeback	3.4 [479]		LVP	Rodney Stuckey (IND): -9.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	59%	0.07	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Glenn Robinson III	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	64%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Rakeem Christmas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	60%	0.06	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Jeff Teague	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	12	65%	0.14	7	-0.18	2	100%	0.02
Paul George	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	14	50%	0.04	3	-0.07	8	100%	0.03
Al Jefferson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	7	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Myles Turner	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	9	33%	-0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	3	0%	-0.07	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.06	-0.01	7	86%	0.23	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.09	0.00	5	67%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.08	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashad Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	0.03	13	66%	0.16	6	-0.19	6	100%	0.08
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.02	0.01	14	62%	0.15	7	-0.19	6	67%	-0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	7	47%	0.03	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.5	27.4	16.4	26.5	2.4	34.4	132.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +41.9%

MIL +19.7%

MIL +0.0%

IND -7.2%

IND -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIL	NBA	IND	MIL	NBA
this game	14.4	15.9	14.8	89.5	104.2	107.7
season	14.9	14.9		107.5	107.4
opponent	15.3	14.8		107.8	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.2	12.7	16.3	13.5	14.4
MIL	15.5	15.5	14.3	18.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	37	37	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.10	2	-16	18	14.1	14.6	-0.52	15.9	15.9	-0.04
Rodney Stuckey	23	23	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-12	10	17.3	13.5	3.77	16.6	15.7	0.86
Myles Turner	66	65	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-12	10	13.2	17.2	-3.99	16.8	14.1	2.65
Rakeem Christmas	6	7	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	-9	4	15.3	14.3	1.00	9.3	16.4	-7.16
Glenn Robinson III	26	26	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-8	2	15.9	13.8	2.10	17.8	15.2	2.55
Al Jefferson	23	23	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	-7	0	17.7	13.4	4.29	15.6	16.0	-0.46
Lavoy Allen	31	32	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	-4	-6	15.0	14.1	0.94	13.7	17.0	-3.31
CJ Miles	52	52	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.01	-9	-5	-4	14.0	14.9	-0.97	15.5	16.4	-0.96
Monta Ellis	54	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.00	-10	-4	-6	14.3	14.5	-0.15	16.9	14.7	2.15
Paul George	85	85	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.13	-9	-5	-4	14.2	16.5	-2.35	15.9	16.4	-0.54
Jeff Teague	72	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	-2	-10	13.5	17.3	-3.77	15.7	16.6	-0.86

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Giannis Antetokounmpo	77	76	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	1	12	15.8	16.2	-0.38	14.9	12.3	2.67
Greg Monroe	50	52	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.04	18	-4	22	16.6	15.2	1.44	15.3	13.3	2.01
Jason Terry	49	51	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.05	13	1	12	16.6	15.2	1.44	14.2	14.6	-0.36
Khris Middleton	75	74	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.19	6	8	-2	16.4	14.0	2.43	14.1	15.3	-1.20
John Henson	45	43	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.00	10	4	6	14.4	17.3	-2.84	13.7	15.0	-1.24
Rashad Vaughn	47	49	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.05	11	3	8	16.9	14.9	1.98	13.9	14.9	-0.95
Matthew Dellavedova	50	48	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.08	5	9	-4	15.0	17.0	-1.98	14.7	14.1	0.62
Tony Snell	64	63	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.01	7	7	0	14.8	18.3	-3.48	15.0	13.3	1.69
Spencer Hawes	9	10	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	18	-22	16.2	15.9	0.34	9.7	15.0	-5.25
Thon Maker	9	9	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.09	-9	23	-32	19.9	15.5	4.39	13.1	14.5	-1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.81,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.94,0.9,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 74, WAS 89	0.5,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.27,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.88,0.74,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%
CHI 96, MEM 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.63,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.8,0.71,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.97,0.97,1,1,1	93.6%
SEA 89, CHH 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.91,0.96,0.98,1,1,1	93.1%