inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 96 Excitement5.9 [646] MVPHakim Warrick (MEM): +16.1%
Memphis Grizzlies 103 Comeback3.1 [254] LVPDrew Gooden (CHI): -13.2%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ben Gordon0.090,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.16-0.020.051576%0.142-0.05475%-0.02
Joakim Noah0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.020.02-0.02267%0.052-0.032100%0.02
Tyrus Thomas0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.00-0.02250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Aaron Gray0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Larry Hughes0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.01-0.02775%0.114-0.092100%0.01
Luol Deng-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.01-0.010.041747%-0.0400.00683%0.01
Derrick Rose-0.050,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.070.00-0.021441%0.063-0.1110%-0.03
Thabo Sefolosha-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.0020%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Andres Nocioni-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.01839%-0.012-0.062100%0.01
Drew Gooden-0.130,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.06-0.060.011145%-0.043-0.0900%0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Hakim Warrick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.150.060.051275%0.1600.00475%-0.01
Rudy Gay0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.100.02-0.002164%0.234-0.123100%0.01
Marc Gasol0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.020.01758%0.061-0.02560%-0.02
Quinton Ross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.011150%0.0300.0000%0.00
O.J. Mayo0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.040.04-0.031444%0.042-0.02475%0.01
Darko Milicic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0-0.000.000.010.011150%0.041-0.04475%-0.01
Mike Conley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.01-0.031136%0.001-0.03367%0.00
Greg Buckner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.080.00-0.02623%-0.012-0.051100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.33.728.115.726.11.833.5134.1
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +20.9%
MEM +4.3%
MEM +7.6%
MEM +16.0%
MEM +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIMEMNBACHIMEMNBA
this game13.917.015.5102.1110.8106.4
season14.816.1106.3101.7
opponent15.315.7107.6107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI13.414.214.113.713.9
MEM16.616.516.618.217.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Aaron Gray46450.00-0.500.51-0.062-91114.513.21.3616.817.1-0.24
Tyrus Thomas1514-0.16-0.340.190.14-103-1314.713.71.0515.317.3-1.98
Joakim Noah3634-0.17-0.330.16-0.11-2-5313.214.3-1.0616.417.3-0.83
Thabo Sefolosha1212-0.17-0.330.16-0.05-4-3-112.214.1-1.8417.716.90.80
Luol Deng7371-0.20-0.300.10-0.262-91114.212.61.6516.917.0-0.10
Andres Nocioni2928-0.21-0.290.08-0.07-5-2-314.013.80.1717.017.00.05
Derrick Rose8887-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.331-8913.715.8-2.1216.918.3-1.46
Ben Gordon5556-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.34-1-6513.813.9-0.0816.617.5-0.86
Larry Hughes5858-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.13-92-1113.614.3-0.6917.416.31.09
Drew Gooden5860-0.530.03-0.57-0.27-92-1113.813.9-0.1517.715.72.02

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darko Milicic64650.440.060.390.2761517.515.71.8114.612.12.48
Mike Conley52530.430.070.360.1111-41517.216.60.6013.813.9-0.13
Hakim Warrick57580.410.090.330.159-21117.016.90.0413.414.6-1.19
Rudy Gay87870.390.110.280.3616-517.115.31.7513.617.3-3.71
O.J. Mayo65660.360.140.210.2443116.817.5-0.7114.113.20.91
Quinton Ross27290.230.27-0.04-0.039-21118.016.61.4014.113.70.41
Marc Gasol65650.140.36-0.210.17-18-916.418.3-1.8913.514.7-1.16
Kyle Lowry41410.070.43-0.360.19-411-1516.617.2-0.6013.913.80.13
Greg Buckner760.020.48-0.460.0207-713.717.2-3.5213.513.9-0.38


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.63,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.8,0.71,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.97,0.97,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 74, WAS 890.5,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.27,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.88,0.74,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,194.3%
NOP 90, MEM 990.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.96,0.94,0.99,1,194.2%
IND 85, MIL 990.5,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.81,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.94,0.9,0.98,1,1,193.6%