inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 74 Excitement5.6 [654] MVPJuwan Howard (DEN): +8.3%
Washington Wizards 89 Comeback2.7 [746] LVPDonnell Harvey (DEN): -19.8%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Juwan Howard0.080,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.000.011862%0.101-0.02475%0.01
Ryan Bowen-0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Mark Blount-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01333%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.02217%-0.0400.00250%-0.02
John Crotty-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.02350%0.012-0.06250%-0.01
Junior Harrington-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.02944%-0.022-0.0300%0.00
Chris Andersen-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.010.02638%-0.0500.001100%0.01
Nene-0.100,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.030.00747%-0.023-0.081100%0.00
Vincent Yarbrough-0.120,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.04-0.021429%-0.101-0.0100%0.00
Rodney White-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.08-0.070.02840%-0.092-0.084100%0.01
Donnell Harvey-0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.14-0.06-0.00825%-0.084-0.1200%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyronn Lue0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.030.02767%0.0700.001100%0.01
Etan Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.000.01483%0.072-0.064100%0.02
Bobby Simmons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Larry Hughes0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.010.001556%0.052-0.05667%-0.01
Bryon Russell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.01-0.00477%0.072-0.07560%-0.02
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00350%-0.001-0.022100%0.01
Michael Jordan0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.11,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.000.022252%0.043-0.08475%0.01
Kwame Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.0030%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Juan Dixon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.03-0.02725%-0.071-0.032100%0.01
Christian Laettner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.09-0.070.00531%-0.102-0.07367%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.61.728.015.424.72.526.4125.3
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +36.4%
WAS +8.3%
DEN -6.6%
WAS +6.0%
WAS +5.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENWASNBADENWASNBA
this game16.516.115.585.1100.0101.6
season15.716.590.4100.9
opponent15.515.3101.999.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN16.216.316.716.616.5
WAS17.516.414.616.116.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ryan Bowen24240.12-0.620.75-0.087-222915.316.9-1.5716.016.2-0.13
Mark Blount1210-0.11-0.390.280.04-5-10514.516.8-2.2917.615.91.65
Junior Harrington5658-0.18-0.320.14-0.03-5-10516.117.2-1.1716.515.51.00
Nene5457-0.18-0.320.140.03-7-8116.716.10.5615.816.7-0.91
Nikoloz Tskitishvili911-0.23-0.270.03-0.00-8-7-115.216.6-1.3914.216.4-2.23
Donnell Harvey3940-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.06-7-8116.416.5-0.0616.216.10.12
Chris Andersen3132-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.01-9-6-315.517.0-1.4316.615.90.77
Vincent Yarbrough5454-0.30-0.20-0.110.05-12-3-916.616.30.2716.216.00.27
John Crotty3131-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.03-10-5-517.216.11.1715.516.5-1.00
Rodney White4850-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.04-10-5-517.215.61.6016.116.2-0.03
Juwan Howard7778-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.15-9-6-317.012.44.6016.215.70.47

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Jordan74750.440.060.37-0.001501516.414.81.6116.914.02.87
Kwame Brown37340.400.100.30-0.0716-11715.816.3-0.5116.916.20.77
Larry Hughes70680.400.100.30-0.041501516.614.32.3816.217.5-1.28
Bryon Russell49470.380.120.260.1587115.516.9-1.3916.017.0-0.98
Tyronn Lue41400.300.200.10-0.05123916.216.10.1116.816.20.56
Brendan Haywood44410.190.31-0.120.13213-1116.116.10.0016.516.5-0.01
Christian Laettner47470.170.33-0.150.12213-1116.116.1-0.0217.015.81.20
Etan Thomas46470.150.35-0.19-0.0887116.715.51.1616.716.20.41
Juan Dixon34340.030.47-0.430.12-318-2115.816.4-0.6015.217.3-2.08
Bobby Simmons320.020.48-0.450.02015-156.316.5-10.1412.016.6-4.58


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.27,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.88,0.74,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 96, MEM 1030.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.63,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.8,0.71,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.97,0.97,1,1,194.3%
IND 85, MIL 990.5,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.81,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.94,0.9,0.98,1,1,194.3%
CHA 87, PHI 930.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.46,0.55,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.88,0.94,0.88,0.83,0.93,0.95,1,0.99,1,1,193.7%