NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	105		Excitement	7.0 [442]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +29.6%
Houston Rockets	116		Comeback	1.4 [673]		LVP	Kemba Walker (BOS): -17.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Theis	0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.09	0.09	-0.01	5	73%	0.20	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Gordon Hayward	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.02	-0.03	14	67%	0.16	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brad Wanamaker	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.04	0.00	9	61%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.03	0.01	12	73%	0.20	5	-0.15	2	50%	-0.02
Jayson Tatum	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.05	-0.01	15	38%	0.02	1	-0.01	9	56%	-0.05
Grant Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.00	0.06	2	87%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Carsen Edwards	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Romeo Langford	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	9	44%	-0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	-0.18	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	17	38%	-0.06	3	-0.12	3	100%	0.03

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,0.02,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.23	0.13	0.06	19	75%	0.48	6	-0.18	18	94%	0.09
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.10	0.12	0.01	23	61%	0.32	4	-0.11	13	77%	0.00
Danuel House Jr.	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.07	-0.01	11	65%	0.20	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.11	0.07	11	44%	0.07	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
P.J. Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
William Howard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Frazier	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Clemons	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.8	29.6	16.6	34.7	3.5	36.4	147.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +8.8%

HOU +33.6%

HOU +0.4%

HOU +8.2%

BOS -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	HOU	NBA	BOS	HOU	NBA
this game	13.6	13.7	14.2	100.0	109.4	109.6
season	14.5	13.4		112.0	111.2
opponent	14.4	14.4		108.9	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.1	12.2	15.2	13.0	13.6
HOU	14.1	12.6	13.6	14.7	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Romeo Langford	7	8	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.14	7	-18	25	12.6	13.7	-1.09	18.6	13.3	5.32
Brad Wanamaker	41	41	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.18	7	-18	25	13.8	13.5	0.35	14.5	13.2	1.35
Marcus Smart	67	65	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.02	1	-12	13	12.9	14.9	-2.00	14.6	12.3	2.35
Carsen Edwards	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-15	19	12.5	13.6	-1.13	16.5	13.6	2.90
Enes Kanter	19	18	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-9	7	12.0	13.9	-1.94	15.6	13.3	2.23
Semi Ojeleye	15	15	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.09	0	-11	11	13.4	13.6	-0.22	15.5	13.4	2.05
Grant Williams	19	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-11	11	13.5	13.6	-0.14	12.6	13.9	-1.31
Daniel Theis	64	67	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-5	-1	13.7	13.5	0.21	13.3	14.4	-1.15
Jayson Tatum	77	77	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	-1	-9	13.4	14.1	-0.66	13.4	14.6	-1.16
Jaylen Brown	71	73	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.13	-13	2	-15	14.2	12.3	1.92	13.0	15.2	-2.14
Gordon Hayward	76	78	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.05	-19	8	-27	13.9	12.9	0.96	13.4	14.6	-1.17
Kemba Walker	65	65	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	0.03	-24	13	-37	14.1	12.8	1.24	12.8	15.1	-2.27

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	83	84	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.07	24	-13	37	13.9	13.0	0.90	14.1	11.4	2.76
P.J. Tucker	78	78	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.07	21	-10	31	14.0	12.9	1.06	14.0	12.4	1.64
Danuel House Jr.	86	85	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.17	15	-4	19	13.5	14.5	-1.04	13.8	12.6	1.22
Robert Covington	85	85	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.01	15	-4	19	13.3	15.4	-2.09	13.6	13.7	-0.14
Russell Westbrook	83	83	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.04	8	3	5	13.2	15.5	-2.26	13.5	13.9	-0.35
Austin Rivers	43	42	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	8	-5	14.1	13.4	0.65	13.4	13.7	-0.39
William Howard	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	15	-19	13.7	13.7	-0.04	10.0	13.7	-3.66
Michael Frazier	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	15	-19	13.7	13.7	-0.04	10.0	13.7	-3.66
Chris Clemons	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	15	-19	13.7	13.7	-0.04	10.0	13.7	-3.66
Isaiah Hartenstein	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	15	-19	13.7	13.7	-0.04	10.0	13.7	-3.66
Ben McLemore	39	39	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	15	-19	15.1	12.9	2.25	13.1	13.9	-0.78
Thabo Sefolosha	21	21	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.04	-11	22	-33	12.9	13.9	-1.00	12.0	14.0	-1.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.64,0.68,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.72,0.78,0.7,0.65,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.86,0.92,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 67, ATL 78	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.76,0.64,0.65,0.77,0.9,0.93,0.99,1,1	93.5%
BOS 88, SAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.88,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.5%
DET 103, SAC 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.83,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.87,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.89,0.95,0.94,1,1	93.2%