inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 114 Excitement5.8 [620] MVPChris Paul (OKC): +18.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder 106 Comeback1.1 [255] LVPDanilo Gallinari (OKC): -17.5%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dejounte Murray0.150,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.190.050.081283%0.181-0.026100%0.00
Derrick White0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.140.070.06-0.01977%0.183-0.044100%0.01
Patty Mills0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.140.130.030.021369%0.181-0.043100%0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.070.020.050.002052%0.092-0.03887%0.01
Lonnie Walker IV0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.02-0.00550%0.0400.002100%0.02
Bryn Forbes0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.01-0.01944%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Rudy Gay-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.01-0.01540%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Marco Belinelli-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jakob Poeltl-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.00125%-0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Trey Lyles-0.040,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.01844%-0.011-0.032100%0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Paul0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.190.190.220.040.071882%0.222-0.042100%0.02
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.100.030.031165%0.1000.00475%-0.00
Hamidou Diallo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.020.06-0.012100%0.101-0.0100%0.00
Mike Muscala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.000.00350%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luguentz Dort0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.010.00540%0.0000.0000%0.00
Terrance Ferguson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Nerlens Noel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Steven Adams0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.01-0.03950%0.044-0.092100%0.01
Dennis Schroder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.000.041348%0.022-0.073100%0.03
Abdel Nader0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.05-0.00747%0.012-0.09367%0.00
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.18-0.18-0.07-0.050.051638%-0.141-0.03771%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.61.827.413.831.32.434.3137.6
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +29.4%
SAS +0.9%
SAS +7.3%
SAS +13.7%
OKC -1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASOKCNBASASOKCNBA
this game14.114.514.2111.8106.0109.6
season14.114.3110.8108.8
opponent14.514.2107.6112.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS13.316.013.613.414.1
OKC15.513.415.813.314.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LaMarcus Aldridge81820.500.000.490.239-11013.914.9-1.0114.613.90.63
Derrick White64610.470.030.450.1212-41612.915.9-3.0113.515.9-2.36
Rudy Gay36340.460.040.410.1610-21214.413.90.4716.113.62.47
Marco Belinelli33310.350.150.21-0.0313-51814.214.00.2715.613.91.67
Patty Mills62600.260.240.030.0380813.515.0-1.5513.915.3-1.48
Dejounte Murray55560.180.32-0.130.24-210-1214.313.70.6214.614.30.21
Bryn Forbes42430.180.32-0.140.24-210-1215.413.12.2514.914.10.78
Lonnie Walker IV50490.040.46-0.410.19-513-1814.713.41.2615.113.81.26
Trey Lyles67660.030.47-0.450.08-210-1213.714.7-0.9113.616.1-2.47
Jakob Poeltl20180.020.48-0.450.05-19-1015.413.71.6713.914.6-0.63

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hamidou Diallo1617-0.06-0.440.39-0.03-1-7614.814.40.4213.814.1-0.35
Mike Muscala1313-0.10-0.400.300.05-5-3-215.214.30.8916.513.72.75
Steven Adams7274-0.16-0.340.19-0.191-91014.015.6-1.5412.917.0-4.05
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander7072-0.24-0.260.02-0.21-1-7614.514.30.1813.515.5-2.04
Danilo Gallinari6566-0.24-0.260.02-0.240-8814.214.9-0.6513.315.4-2.06
Nerlens Noel1515-0.24-0.260.01-0.13-4-4015.914.21.6517.513.54.00
Terrance Ferguson3536-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.02-80-814.914.20.6515.413.32.06
Abdel Nader3332-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.04-91-1015.114.20.9015.213.51.74
Chris Paul7274-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.27-2-6413.716.3-2.5914.113.90.23
Dennis Schroder6769-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.21-91-1013.716.0-2.2514.014.1-0.09


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.24,0.15,0.17,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 102, NYK 880.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,093.1%
ORL 86, CLE 820.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.08,0.01,0.03,0.03,093.0%
CHH 92, DET 860.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,093.0%