NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	87		Excitement	5.6 [658]		MVP	Jalen McDaniels (CHA): +9.9%
Detroit Pistons	76		Comeback	1.0 [534]		LVP	Reggie Jackson (DET): -13.8%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen McDaniels	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Miles Bridges	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	15	56%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Malik Monk	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.04	0.01	10	65%	0.15	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.02
Caleb Martin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	7	36%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	10	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	9	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	13	39%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Willy Hernangomez	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devonte' Graham	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.03	0.04	17	39%	-0.08	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	7	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	78%	0.09	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Christian Wood	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	9	53%	0.05	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sekou Doumbouya	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	8	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	10	52%	0.01	4	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	11	38%	-0.00	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.02
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	13	38%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.00	0.01	4	37%	-0.03	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	11	33%	-0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	27.6	15.3	25.8	2.4	26.2	123.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +21.5%

DET -3.3%

CHA +4.1%

CHA +25.7%

CHA +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	DET	NBA	CHA	DET	NBA
this game	15.3	17.1	14.2	96.7	86.4	109.6
season	15.1	15.1		105.4	108.3
opponent	14.2	14.7		111.7	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.9	14.1	14.2	17.0	15.3
DET	18.4	15.9	17.9	16.5	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devonte' Graham	65	66	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.15	24	-13	37	15.5	14.7	0.80	17.1	17.1	0.05
Cody Zeller	42	42	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	-3	17	15.6	15.0	0.59	17.4	16.9	0.49
Miles Bridges	64	60	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.34	0	11	-11	14.9	16.2	-1.37	17.2	17.0	0.18
Caleb Martin	38	34	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.28	1	10	-9	14.3	15.9	-1.63	18.1	16.5	1.62
Jalen McDaniels	32	31	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.31	-2	13	-15	16.0	14.8	1.20	15.9	17.8	-1.94
Terry Rozier	65	66	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.14	12	-1	13	15.6	14.5	1.07	17.1	17.2	-0.08
Malik Monk	52	50	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	11	-11	14.5	16.2	-1.70	17.3	16.8	0.50
Willy Hernangomez	26	25	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.02	4	7	-3	14.3	15.7	-1.39	17.5	17.0	0.55
P.J. Washington	66	66	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.05	2	9	-7	16.0	13.1	2.96	16.7	18.5	-1.77

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Christian Wood	44	46	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.13	8	-19	27	16.5	17.8	-1.30	15.3	15.2	0.19
Thon Maker	43	45	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.15	5	-16	21	16.6	17.6	-0.97	15.6	14.9	0.78
Tony Snell	62	62	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.04	-9	-2	-7	17.5	16.2	1.32	15.3	15.1	0.22
Brandon Knight	23	23	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	-4	-3	17.2	17.1	0.13	14.9	15.4	-0.52
Reggie Jackson	53	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-5	-1	16.8	17.6	-0.79	16.0	14.2	1.77
Bruce Brown	70	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.22	-2	-9	7	17.0	17.7	-0.75	15.7	13.3	2.47
Sekou Doumbouya	34	34	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.18	-6	-5	-1	17.4	17.0	0.37	14.7	15.6	-0.88
Langston Galloway	43	45	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.07	-11	0	-11	17.2	17.1	0.12	14.0	16.5	-2.47
Markieff Morris	38	38	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.15	-10	-1	-9	17.1	17.1	-0.03	15.2	15.3	-0.03
John Henson	30	31	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.04	-17	6	-23	18.5	16.4	2.09	14.7	15.5	-0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.24,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 92, DET 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0	95.3%
LAC 106, ORL 94	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.5,0.5,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.27,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.15,0.26,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.9%
CHI 91, SEA 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.21,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.21,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0	94.6%