inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 113 Excitement2.0 [387] MVPJosh Hart (NOP): +13.3%
New Orleans Pelicans 106 Comeback1.4 [469] LVPJrue Holiday (NOP): -13.9%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Torrey Craig0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.110.13-0.010.02983%0.1100.0000%0.00
Nikola Jokic0.100,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.10.060.070.032056%0.162-0.068100%0.05
Will Barton0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04-0.030.05-0.031442%0.051-0.003100%0.02
Malik Beasley0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.00-0.00-0.02853%0.061-0.033100%0.02
PJ Dozier0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00275%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Michael Porter Jr.0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.021547%0.021-0.022100%0.01
Monte Morris-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.04-0.030.02862%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Vlatko Cancar-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jerami Grant-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.020.001444%0.022-0.054100%0.03
Juancho Hernangomez-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Gary Harris-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.011225%-0.091-0.0200%0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh Hart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.130.130.080.05-0.011162%0.151-0.022100%0.02
JJ Redick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.120.020.011082%0.182-0.05250%-0.01
Zion Williamson0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.07-0.000.01968%0.071-0.02425%-0.05
E'Twaun Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.06-0.020.004100%0.112-0.072100%0.01
Jahlil Okafor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Frank Jackson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Derrick Favors0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.01-0.02745%0.011-0.02650%-0.04
Nickeil Alexander-Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jaxson Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00117%-0.0400.00425%-0.04
Lonzo Ball0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.030.01950%0.012-0.0600%0.00
Brandon Ingram0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.11-0.02-0.001145%-0.024-0.10786%0.07
Jrue Holiday0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14-0.14-0.13-0.02-0.011732%-0.053-0.09367%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.12.025.014.829.42.535.2136.0
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOP -22.4%
DEN +11.4%
DEN +47.1%
DEN +9.9%
DEN +3.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENNOPNBADENNOPNBA
this game16.812.414.2115.3106.0109.6
season15.013.4112.0109.9
opponent14.214.5111.4110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN16.516.916.816.816.8
NOP13.011.912.512.212.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jerami Grant75770.490.010.490.2010-31317.115.51.6712.511.90.61
Nikola Jokic69710.420.080.350.2270717.016.20.7313.010.92.04
Torrey Craig69690.330.170.150.2434-117.814.23.6712.512.10.36
Michael Porter Jr.50520.330.170.150.1270715.917.6-1.7012.112.7-0.55
Will Barton68710.310.190.120.1943117.515.02.5812.711.61.17
Monte Morris29290.270.230.040.1543115.717.2-1.5613.711.91.80
Malik Beasley40390.240.26-0.030.2116-516.017.3-1.2311.612.9-1.25
Gary Harris47490.150.35-0.190.0443117.616.01.6612.712.10.54
PJ Dozier19200.020.48-0.460.0207-714.117.4-3.3510.512.8-2.35
Vlatko Cancar220.000.50-0.490.03-18-919.016.72.298.512.5-3.96
Juancho Hernangomez1111-0.020.52-0.540.04-29-1113.917.1-3.219.812.7-2.88
Jarred Vanderbilt1110-0.040.54-0.570.02-29-1113.817.1-3.3110.612.6-1.98

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Zion Williamson46450.28-0.781.05-0.1916-233911.912.8-0.9017.316.30.99
Frank Jackson890.13-0.630.76-0.077-14217.712.8-5.0320.616.44.18
Jahlil Okafor76-0.02-0.480.450.00-1-6513.412.31.1317.316.70.62
Nickeil Alexander-Walker66-0.06-0.440.38-0.00-2-5312.512.40.1312.317.0-4.71
E'Twaun Moore3332-0.15-0.350.19-0.09-2-5311.412.9-1.4716.117.1-1.03
Jrue Holiday8180-0.17-0.330.15-0.294-111512.312.7-0.3816.916.00.93
Josh Hart5757-0.20-0.290.09-0.417-142111.613.4-1.8217.016.40.59
Derrick Favors5452-0.23-0.270.04-0.11-4-3-112.712.00.6217.615.81.75
Brandon Ingram6766-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.20-5-2-312.911.41.4717.116.11.03
Jaxson Hayes1415-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.01-147-2112.412.40.0614.317.2-2.86
Lonzo Ball7269-0.630.13-0.77-0.11-1811-2912.811.21.6717.016.20.73
JJ Redick5553-0.660.16-0.830.01-2316-3913.311.22.1115.218.6-3.45


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.16,0.07,0.08,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.06,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 84, DET 760.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.42,0.26,0.3,0.24,0.17,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.02,094.1%
DEN 115, OKC 1050.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.32,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.25,0.24,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.06,0.08,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,093.8%
OKC 103, UTA 890.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.28,0.19,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,093.8%