NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	104		Excitement	7.6 [348]		MVP	Doug McDermott (IND): +25.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	99		Comeback	2.9 [537]		LVP	Aaron Holiday (IND): -18.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug McDermott	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.08	0.17	0.00	10	58%	0.26	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Domantas Sabonis	0.14	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.17	-0.01	0.01	17	78%	0.27	3	-0.13	3	100%	0.01
Malcolm Brogdon	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,0,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.08	0.01	18	54%	0.16	2	-0.07	3	67%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.05	0.00	3	67%	0.10	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	7	64%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	8	44%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Warren	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	11	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Holiday	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-0.01	5	0%	-0.10	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keita Bates-Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.11	0.00	10	60%	0.20	0	0.00	5	100%	0.05
Jarrett Culver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.07	0.00	13	65%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	6	64%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Treveon Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	13	36%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.01	-0.09	0.02	12	56%	-0.02	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.06	0.04	15	47%	-0.09	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	5	33%	-0.00	4	-0.15	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.5	23.5	14.5	23.5	2.5	35.3	126.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +64.1%

MIN -4.0%

MIN -11.6%

MIN -1.8%

IND +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIN	NBA	IND	MIN	NBA
this game	14.2	14.7	14.2	104.0	100.0	109.6
season	14.4	13.8		108.7	107.1
opponent	13.8	14.4		110.9	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.4	14.1	12.2	15.3	14.2
MIN	12.3	15.3	16.1	15.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Domantas Sabonis	74	73	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.20	21	-16	37	13.8	15.5	-1.65	15.5	12.5	3.05
Malcolm Brogdon	66	65	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.30	5	0	5	13.8	15.0	-1.20	14.3	15.4	-1.12
Jeremy Lamb	61	61	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.21	6	-1	7	14.0	14.7	-0.74	14.1	15.6	-1.46
T.J. Warren	66	65	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.26	1	4	-3	14.3	14.1	0.19	14.2	15.6	-1.34
Justin Holiday	65	64	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.35	-4	9	-13	14.6	13.7	0.90	14.3	15.4	-1.12
Doug McDermott	36	37	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	0	5	14.3	14.2	0.15	15.9	14.0	1.94
T.J. McConnell	37	37	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	3	-1	14.6	14.0	0.56	15.4	14.3	1.07
Goga Bitadze	9	10	-0.00	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	6	-7	14.2	14.2	-0.02	13.2	14.9	-1.68
Aaron Holiday	36	35	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	8	-11	15.1	13.7	1.36	15.7	14.2	1.51
Myles Turner	50	48	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.15	-7	12	-19	14.3	14.2	0.16	14.0	15.4	-1.33

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Naz Reid	15	16	0.23	-0.73	0.96	0.05	6	-11	17	16.3	14.4	1.92	13.9	14.3	-0.36
Jeff Teague	38	40	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.02	4	-9	13	14.4	14.9	-0.42	14.8	13.8	1.02
Keita Bates-Diop	34	34	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.06	1	-6	7	15.9	14.1	1.88	14.7	14.0	0.66
Jarrett Culver	65	65	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.17	2	-7	9	14.6	15.0	-0.40	14.4	14.0	0.37
Noah Vonleh	23	24	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-3	1	13.2	15.2	-1.94	15.5	13.9	1.60
Treveon Graham	19	19	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-1	-3	16.2	14.3	1.86	15.0	14.1	0.94
Josh Okogie	46	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-2	-1	14.5	14.9	-0.47	14.1	14.3	-0.17
Robert Covington	65	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.30	-6	1	-7	14.1	15.9	-1.88	14.0	14.7	-0.66
Andrew Wiggins	68	69	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.37	-5	0	-5	14.6	15.0	-0.38	14.0	14.8	-0.87
Gorgui Dieng	61	60	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.34	-9	4	-13	14.9	14.4	0.42	13.8	14.8	-1.02
Shabazz Napier	61	60	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.34	-9	4	-13	14.9	14.4	0.42	13.8	14.8	-1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.46,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.38,0.37,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.12,0.09,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 90, DAL 79	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.41,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.08,0.01,0,0	93.7%
ATL 118, TOR 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.38,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.13,0.14,0.05,0.01,0,0	93.6%
MIA 106, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.16,0.04,0,0	93.3%