NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	109		Excitement	8.1 [259]		MVP	Devonte' Graham (CHA): +21.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	106		Comeback	23.0 [64]		LVP	Miles Bridges (CHA): -13.6%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devonte' Graham	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.11,0.21	0.04	0.17	0.00	8	70%	0.42	4	-0.21	7	100%	0.04
Terry Rozier	0.18	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.28,0.46,0.19,0.18	0.14	0.04	0.01	22	64%	0.35	2	-0.17	3	67%	-0.01
Dwayne Bacon	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.05	-0.00	9	68%	0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	-0.00	3	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	7	57%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	4	79%	0.07	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Malik Monk	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	14	47%	-0.01	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Miles Bridges	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	10	27%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.05	0.00	6	83%	0.16	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.19,0.19,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.08	0.00	17	58%	0.20	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.05	0.05	0.14	-0.06	0.03	8	106%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	58%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.07	-0.10	0.01	13	60%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Darius Garland	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.1	-0.10	0.03	-0.13	0.01	12	54%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	7	37%	-0.02	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	28.0	14.6	22.4	2.3	36.5	129.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +44.6%

CHA +7.0%

CHA +13.5%

CLE -14.3%

CLE -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	CLE	NBA	CHA	CLE	NBA
this game	15.5	14.9	14.2	114.7	111.6	109.6
season	15.1	15.1		105.4	106.3
opponent	13.8	14.7		114.2	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.5	15.1	16.0	15.2	15.5
CLE	13.8	12.1	18.2	16.1	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bismack Biyombo	45	46	0.94	-0.44	1.39	0.62	11	-8	19	14.8	16.0	-1.16	16.5	13.3	3.22
Devonte' Graham	80	81	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.37	17	-14	31	15.1	17.3	-2.15	15.3	12.1	3.27
P.J. Washington	71	71	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.62	3	0	3	14.9	17.2	-2.35	15.0	14.3	0.71
Dwayne Bacon	57	58	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.40	7	-4	11	15.4	15.6	-0.17	13.7	16.6	-2.88
Terry Rozier	77	78	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.54	-3	6	-9	15.4	15.6	-0.20	14.9	14.8	0.12
Cody Zeller	40	38	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.26	2	1	1	16.1	15.0	1.12	13.9	15.5	-1.53
Marvin Williams	27	29	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.05	-7	10	-17	16.6	15.0	1.64	12.9	15.7	-2.88
Miles Bridges	45	43	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.06	-8	11	-19	15.8	15.1	0.66	16.5	13.5	2.93
Malik Monk	33	31	-0.33	0.83	-1.17	-0.13	-7	10	-17	16.4	15.0	1.40	13.5	15.5	-1.95

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dante Exum	25	26	0.52	-1.02	1.54	0.11	14	-17	31	13.6	15.3	-1.77	14.7	15.7	-0.99
Larry Nance Jr.	38	39	0.47	-0.97	1.44	0.15	11	-14	25	14.2	15.3	-1.04	15.2	15.6	-0.42
John Henson	29	30	0.43	-0.93	1.36	0.16	9	-12	21	14.2	15.2	-0.94	15.2	15.6	-0.42
Darius Garland	66	67	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.34	17	-20	37	14.6	15.4	-0.84	15.8	14.6	1.20
Kevin Porter Jr.	47	48	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.03	0	-3	3	15.4	14.4	0.99	15.4	15.5	-0.07
Matthew Dellavedova	22	22	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.02	-12	9	-21	14.6	14.9	-0.30	15.5	15.5	0.00
Kevin Love	61	60	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	-0.62	-8	5	-13	15.3	14.1	1.16	15.7	15.0	0.76
Cedi Osman	53	51	-0.87	0.37	-1.25	-0.58	-10	7	-17	15.2	14.5	0.74	15.4	15.5	-0.09
Collin Sexton	72	71	-1.00	0.50	-1.50	-0.47	-18	15	-33	15.1	14.3	0.79	15.4	15.5	-0.06
Tristan Thompson	62	61	-1.04	0.54	-1.58	-0.51	-18	15	-33	15.1	14.3	0.81	15.5	15.4	0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.96,0.9,0.75,0.48,0.57,0.59,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 92, MEM 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.61,0.72,0.59,0.75,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.88,0.75,0.71,0.55,0.73,0	91.6%
POR 103, DAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.71,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.76,0.71,0.76,0.31,0	90.7%
DAL 101, SEA 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.7,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.81,0.87,0.75,0.79,0.32,0.58,0	90.7%