NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	122		Excitement	8.3 [240]		MVP	Brandon Clarke (MEM): +52.9%
Oklahoma City Thunder	126		Comeback	51.9 [80]		LVP	Ja Morant (MEM): -26.1%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Clarke	0.53	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.39,0.39,0.47,0.62,0.53	0.14	0.34	-0.05	19	69%	0.54	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.16	0.00	0.03	16	75%	0.18	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.01	5	69%	0.09	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
De'Anthony Melton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	7	36%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	0.04	9	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	6	25%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.15,-0.15	-0.01	-0.17	-0.03	5	67%	0.01	3	-0.17	2	100%	0.03
Dillon Brooks	-0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,-0.07,-0.14,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.04	-0.21	0.00	12	54%	0.02	4	-0.26	4	75%	-0.00
Ja Morant	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.26	0.09	-0.34	0.01	16	59%	-0.18	1	-0.08	5	60%	-0.17

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.27,0.43	0.43	0.12	0.39	0.08	10	72%	0.43	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Steven Adams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.09	-0.02	7	72%	0.16	3	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.10	0.00	16	53%	0.14	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.03
Abdel Nader	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	70%	0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.01	6	71%	0.07	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Darius Bazley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrance Ferguson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.10	-0.07	0.07	15	59%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06	-0.06	0.03	-0.10	-0.01	19	63%	0.30	7	-0.36	11	91%	0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.8	25.0	14.6	30.9	1.7	36.3	135.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +35.8%

OKC +26.1%

MEM -32.8%

OKC +17.3%

OKC +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	OKC	NBA	MEM	OKC	NBA
this game	14.7	13.1	14.2	117.3	122.3	109.6
season	13.8	14.3		108.2	108.8
opponent	14.5	13.9		107.6	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.0	14.1	14.7	15.1	14.7
OKC	12.7	14.7	11.9	13.1	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Valanciunas	56	56	0.34	-0.84	1.19	-0.13	16	-20	36	13.9	15.6	-1.70	14.5	11.4	3.13
Jaren Jackson Jr.	34	35	0.30	-0.80	1.11	-0.17	16	-20	36	13.6	15.3	-1.74	14.7	12.2	2.46
Kyle Anderson	33	34	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-2	0	14.7	14.7	-0.01	12.9	13.2	-0.22
De'Anthony Melton	33	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.22	-12	8	-20	15.7	14.3	1.42	10.6	14.2	-3.57
Tyus Jones	33	32	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.31	-18	14	-32	16.4	14.0	2.39	10.5	14.3	-3.80
Ja Morant	71	71	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.70	14	-18	32	14.0	16.4	-2.39	14.3	10.5	3.80
Dillon Brooks	71	71	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.60	8	-12	20	14.3	15.7	-1.42	14.2	10.6	3.57
Jae Crowder	71	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.35	-2	-2	0	14.7	14.7	0.01	13.2	12.9	0.22
Brandon Clarke	55	54	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.17	-19	15	-34	15.7	13.7	2.00	11.5	14.8	-3.26
Solomon Hill	63	61	-0.92	0.42	-1.33	-0.30	-21	17	-38	15.2	14.0	1.29	12.2	14.4	-2.14

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Schroder	71	70	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.28	19	-15	34	12.6	14.1	-1.41	14.6	14.9	-0.31
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	84	85	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.39	14	-10	24	13.0	13.5	-0.47	14.7	14.8	-0.07
Steven Adams	67	67	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.55	8	-4	12	12.6	13.9	-1.27	14.6	14.9	-0.33
Terrance Ferguson	54	57	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.12	6	-2	8	12.4	13.9	-1.47	15.4	13.9	1.45
Abdel Nader	47	47	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.00	9	-5	14	12.2	13.8	-1.61	14.8	14.7	0.10
Danilo Gallinari	63	63	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.27	-4	8	-12	13.7	12.2	1.45	14.8	14.6	0.20
Mike Muscala	4	4	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	5	-6	12.0	13.1	-1.13	15.2	14.7	0.54
Chris Paul	65	66	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.45	-18	22	-40	14.3	11.1	3.18	14.1	15.9	-1.79
Darius Bazley	24	24	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.04	-9	13	-22	13.5	13.0	0.54	14.9	14.7	0.24
Nerlens Noel	36	37	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.16	-4	8	-12	13.9	12.6	1.27	14.9	14.6	0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.29,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.22,0.26,0.38,0.37,0.53,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.66,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 101, GSW 108	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.2,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.46,0.69,0.73,1	91.6%
SAC 91, NOH 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.38,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.46,0.38,0.54,0.78,0.85,1	90.9%
POR 85, MEM 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.25,0.42,0.26,0.33,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.15,0.39,0.53,0.64,0.68,0.84,1	90.6%