NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	85		Excitement	7.4 [349]		MVP	Eric Maynor (POR): +15.4%
Memphis Grizzlies	91		Comeback	15.7 [197]		LVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): -26.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Maynor	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.05	0.11	-0.00	5	75%	0.20	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Wesley Matthews	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	11	42%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.10
JJ Hickson	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	12	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Victor Claver	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Will Barton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.02	10	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Damian Lillard	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.13,-0.11	0.04	-0.12	0.02	16	57%	-0.07	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.27	-0.13	-0.14	-0.00	13	29%	-0.23	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.06

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.07,0.03,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.11	0.02	17	57%	0.19	3	-0.07	6	50%	-0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.08	0.00	12	54%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Wroten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	5	60%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04	0.04	0.10	-0.04	0.02	11	71%	0.10	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dexter Pittman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.05	0.02	13	36%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	12	25%	-0.09	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.7	27.4	15.8	25.5	2.0	37.1	134.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +27.9%

MEM +1.1%

MEM +27.5%

POR -7.0%

MEM +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MEM	NBA	POR	MEM	NBA
this game	15.6	16.6	15.4	94.4	102.2	104.1
season	15.8	16.5		104.3	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.3		99.1	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.9	16.1	14.4	17.1	15.6
MEM	17.1	17.4	15.0	17.2	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Barton	11	10	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.03	4	-10	14	16.4	15.4	0.92	14.6	16.9	-2.29
Victor Claver	33	34	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	0	-6	17.6	14.4	3.29	15.7	17.2	-1.54
Eric Maynor	49	47	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.16	-11	5	-16	16.2	14.8	1.38	15.8	17.6	-1.78
Meyers Leonard	33	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.12	-3	-3	0	14.9	15.9	-0.97	15.5	17.2	-1.71
JJ Hickson	56	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-3	0	16.0	14.8	1.27	17.2	15.7	1.53
LaMarcus Aldridge	70	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	-4	2	15.0	17.4	-2.37	17.0	15.4	1.63
Nicolas Batum	70	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.36	-2	-4	2	14.8	18.3	-3.59	17.0	15.5	1.46
Wesley Matthews	59	60	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.40	-1	-5	4	16.3	14.2	2.13	17.6	14.6	2.98
Damian Lillard	69	69	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.35	-6	0	-6	14.6	18.7	-4.06	16.5	17.2	-0.74

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerryd Bayless	45	47	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.27	19	-13	32	16.5	16.8	-0.33	17.0	14.0	2.98
Mike Conley	69	70	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.40	9	-3	12	16.2	17.9	-1.70	14.5	19.3	-4.88
Tayshaun Prince	65	64	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.45	4	2	2	16.9	15.9	0.98	15.4	15.8	-0.41
Marc Gasol	76	78	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.25	6	0	6	16.5	17.6	-1.15	15.2	17.8	-2.63
Tony Allen	36	36	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.45	-1	7	-8	18.8	15.1	3.70	14.4	16.3	-1.85
Quincy Pondexter	44	44	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.07	6	0	6	15.4	17.9	-2.50	15.8	15.3	0.51
Ed Davis	47	46	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	7	-8	17.2	16.0	1.19	15.0	16.1	-1.05
Dexter Pittman	6	7	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.05	0	6	-6	14.7	16.8	-2.10	16.6	15.5	1.10
Austin Daye	13	14	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.05	0	6	-6	15.5	16.8	-1.28	16.1	15.5	0.61
Tony Wroten	25	25	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.09	-3	9	-12	17.2	16.4	0.74	18.2	14.6	3.61
Jon Leuer	19	19	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.07	-9	15	-24	16.2	16.7	-0.53	16.4	15.3	1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.25,0.42,0.26,0.33,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.15,0.39,0.53,0.64,0.68,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 79, LAC 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.85,0.91,1	92.4%
CHI 94, LAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.48,0.42,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.29,0.63,0.67,0.95,1	92.0%
MIA 95, BKN 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.23,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.32,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.35,0.4,0.68,0.78,0.57,0.83,1	91.9%