NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	94		Excitement	7.8 [325]		MVP	Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (LAL): +27.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	103		Comeback	17.9 [155]		LVP	Kris Dunn (CHI): -17.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Blakeney	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	-0.00	12	56%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Bobby Portis	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.06	-0.00	8	47%	0.10	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Robin Lopez	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.01	11	64%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Denzel Valentine	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.05,-0.03,-0.03	0.11	-0.13	0.01	12	68%	0.06	1	-0.10	1	0%	0.00
Jerian Grant	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	7	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05	-0.15	0.03	-0.07	17	34%	0.06	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.01
Justin Holiday	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	12	34%	-0.03	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Kris Dunn	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.11	-0.05	14	40%	-0.09	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.15,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.14	0.17	0.04	11	72%	0.29	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.12	0.02	15	52%	0.15	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.06	0.01	8	60%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	10	45%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.02	0.03	15	59%	0.06	2	-0.04	7	57%	-0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lonzo Ball	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.03	-0.02	13	31%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	36%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	10	20%	-0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	0.2	26.7	15.3	30.5	1.8	32.3	129.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +30.3%

LAL +9.2%

CHI -7.9%

LAL +12.3%

LAL +6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	LAL	NBA	CHI	LAL	NBA
this game	14.2	14.4	14.7	94.0	102.0	107.5
season	14.2	13.7		103.2	105.7
opponent	14.8	15.0		107.2	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.6	12.8	16.3	15.8	14.2
LAL	13.1	15.5	13.7	15.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Portis	43	42	0.26	-0.76	1.02	0.05	7	-16	23	14.5	14.1	0.38	14.8	14.1	0.73
Antonio Blakeney	38	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-8	7	14.2	14.3	-0.06	13.9	14.7	-0.78
Kris Dunn	64	67	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.09	-2	-7	5	14.3	14.1	0.22	14.9	13.5	1.37
Cristiano Felicio	26	26	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-6	3	14.3	14.2	0.03	14.1	14.5	-0.44
Denzel Valentine	77	79	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-6	3	14.3	14.1	0.21	14.7	13.2	1.51
Jerian Grant	36	34	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.15	-7	-2	-5	14.1	14.3	-0.22	13.5	14.9	-1.37
Lauri Markkanen	63	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	1	-11	14.0	14.6	-0.55	14.7	13.9	0.76
Justin Holiday	85	85	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.17	-14	5	-19	14.2	14.4	-0.18	14.3	14.9	-0.56
Robin Lopez	68	69	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.33	-12	3	-15	14.3	14.2	0.14	14.0	15.2	-1.24

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	83	84	0.90	-0.40	1.31	0.20	24	-15	39	13.7	17.6	-3.83	14.4	13.6	0.82
Lonzo Ball	68	68	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.26	15	-6	21	13.9	15.4	-1.42	14.2	14.3	-0.05
Brook Lopez	54	53	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.26	5	4	1	14.1	14.8	-0.67	14.2	14.3	-0.13
Brandon Ingram	81	80	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.16	8	1	7	14.8	12.9	1.88	14.1	14.9	-0.81
Julius Randle	59	57	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.15	7	2	5	14.3	14.6	-0.32	14.2	14.3	-0.09
Kyle Kuzma	83	83	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	0	9	14.7	12.9	1.85	14.6	12.8	1.79
Ivica Zubac	6	7	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	12	-15	14.0	14.4	-0.43	11.4	14.5	-3.03
Josh Hart	30	28	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.02	-3	12	-15	15.2	14.1	1.13	15.1	13.9	1.19
Corey Brewer	8	8	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.13	-11	20	-31	14.7	14.4	0.37	11.5	14.5	-2.99
Jordan Clarkson	33	32	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.02	-6	15	-21	15.4	13.9	1.42	14.3	14.2	0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.48,0.42,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.29,0.63,0.67,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 85, MEM 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.25,0.42,0.26,0.33,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.15,0.39,0.53,0.64,0.68,0.84,1	92.0%
WAS 107, MIL 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.31,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.37,0.44,0.58,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.22,0.24,0.4,0.45,0.79,0.84,0.98,1	90.1%
LAC 93, MIN 95	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.25,0.55,0.67,0.9,1	89.7%