NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	95		Excitement	7.5 [372]		MVP	DeMarre Carroll (BKN): +43.0%
Brooklyn Nets	101		Comeback	12.5 [84]		LVP	Wayne Ellington (MIA): -15.9%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Olynyk	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	6	86%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
James Johnson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.08	-0.00	0.07	-0.02	7	50%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.03
Hassan Whiteside	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	-0.00	17	56%	0.09	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Bam Adebayo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	64%	0.09	1	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Justise Winslow	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	6	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	12	43%	0.03	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	16	42%	-0.05	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.02
Wayne Ellington	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.16	-0.05	-0.11	0.00	11	45%	-0.03	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43	0.43	0.23	0.21	0.01	12	90%	0.45	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.05
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.12	0.12	-0.02	0.12	-0.03	12	43%	0.13	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.00	2	117%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	-0.00	0.00	5	100%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.04	0.00	2	75%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.08	0.03	12	58%	0.18	4	-0.15	2	100%	0.00
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.01	9	32%	-0.03	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	9	26%	-0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	0.00	5	8%	-0.11	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.4	25.6	15.3	27.5	1.8	35.2	134.4
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +46.1%

BKN +11.6%

MIA -11.6%

BKN +4.8%

MIA -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	BKN	NBA	MIA	BKN	NBA
this game	15.4	15.3	14.7	101.1	107.4	107.5
season	15.1	14.7		105.4	105.8
opponent	14.1	14.6		109.4	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	15.5	14.7	18.9	13.2	15.4
BKN	15.1	15.9	16.3	14.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Jones Jr.	33	33	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.11	-3	-3	0	16.1	15.0	1.12	16.4	14.7	1.77
Bam Adebayo	28	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.11	0	-6	6	14.7	15.6	-0.87	15.6	15.1	0.52
Justise Winslow	50	49	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	-3	0	15.1	15.6	-0.47	15.1	15.4	-0.28
James Johnson	46	47	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-2	-2	15.6	15.1	0.53	15.4	15.1	0.34
Goran Dragic	62	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	-2	-2	15.4	15.3	0.03	15.3	15.2	0.18
Hassan Whiteside	62	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	-2	-2	16.3	13.5	2.78	15.8	14.3	1.50
Kelly Olynyk	51	51	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.25	-2	-4	2	14.5	16.3	-1.82	14.6	16.1	-1.50
Wayne Ellington	62	64	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.24	-8	2	-10	15.4	15.2	0.17	15.3	15.2	0.11
Josh Richardson	76	75	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.45	-2	-4	2	15.0	16.9	-1.96	14.6	18.1	-3.48

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caris LeVert	53	52	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.45	11	-5	16	14.9	15.7	-0.81	16.3	14.2	2.03
Quincy Acy	48	49	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.29	14	-8	22	13.8	16.8	-2.99	16.4	14.2	2.19
Spencer Dinwiddie	59	58	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.41	4	2	2	15.3	15.2	0.12	14.3	17.0	-2.66
Joe Harris	45	44	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.25	5	1	4	15.0	15.5	-0.53	14.9	15.8	-0.85
DeMarre Carroll	59	60	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.22	5	1	4	15.6	14.7	0.99	15.4	15.4	0.01
D'Angelo Russell	28	29	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.07	4	2	2	14.8	15.5	-0.70	16.4	14.9	1.57
Allen Crabbe	52	53	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.04	0	6	-6	15.3	15.3	-0.02	15.3	15.4	-0.05
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	61	62	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.04	0	6	-6	15.7	14.4	1.31	15.5	15.0	0.55
Tyler Zeller	22	21	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	8	-10	17.8	14.5	3.26	15.2	15.4	-0.22
Jahlil Okafor	16	15	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	11	-16	16.7	15.0	1.70	13.3	15.8	-2.49
Jarrett Allen	27	27	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.03	-6	12	-18	14.7	15.5	-0.75	14.4	15.8	-1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.23,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.32,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.35,0.4,0.68,0.78,0.57,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 85, MEM 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.25,0.42,0.26,0.33,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.15,0.39,0.53,0.64,0.68,0.84,1	91.9%
NYK 89, BOS 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.25,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.8,0.72,0.85,0.58,1	90.9%
BOS 84, ATL 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.41,0.37,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.63,0.47,0.55,0.66,0.62,0.79,0.84,1,1	90.9%