NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	130		Excitement	5.3 [719]		MVP	Jonathan Isaac (ORL): +18.2%
New Orleans Pelicans	119		Comeback	1.9 [451]		LVP	Aaron Gordon (ORL): -9.0%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonathan Isaac	0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.14	0.06	0.02	11	72%	0.20	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Mo Bamba	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.14	0.02	0.01	6	100%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.00	8	74%	0.12	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.05
Evan Fournier	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.01	-0.01	14	55%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.12	0.00	0.07	9	78%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	15	62%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.06	7	71%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markelle Fultz	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	62%	0.04	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Aaron Gordon	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	0.00	-0.03	13	30%	-0.07	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.02	-0.02	20	69%	0.23	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.17	-0.00	0.07	16	72%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	83%	0.09	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,0,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	16	64%	0.13	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	7	53%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.07	-0.03	0.09	15	62%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Frank Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kenrich Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	4	30%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.5	26.5	15.4	27.5	2.3	28.3	128.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +13.3%

ORL +11.7%

ORL +3.7%

ORL +16.7%

ORL +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NOP	NBA	ORL	NOP	NBA
this game	14.6	14.2	14.2	130.0	119.0	109.6
season	14.7	13.4		107.1	109.9
opponent	14.2	14.2		111.4	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.5	14.0	12.8	16.3	14.6
NOP	14.5	12.6	15.5	14.4	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Gordon	69	68	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.15	11	0	11	14.9	14.0	0.82	14.3	14.0	0.29
Jonathan Isaac	70	70	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.23	7	4	3	14.1	15.7	-1.52	14.0	14.7	-0.76
Markelle Fultz	65	65	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.41	0	11	-11	13.8	16.1	-2.29	13.5	15.4	-1.89
Nikola Vucevic	65	65	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.41	0	11	-11	13.8	16.1	-2.29	13.5	15.4	-1.89
Evan Fournier	62	62	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.40	0	11	-11	13.8	15.8	-2.00	13.3	15.6	-2.27
D.J. Augustin	50	51	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.03	6	5	1	15.5	13.7	1.80	14.2	14.2	-0.09
Michael Carter-Williams	38	38	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.22	11	0	11	15.8	13.8	2.00	15.6	13.3	2.27
Mo Bamba	35	35	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.23	11	0	11	16.1	13.8	2.29	15.4	13.5	1.89
Terrence Ross	46	46	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.23	9	2	7	15.1	14.2	0.86	15.4	13.2	2.21

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Hart	62	61	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.12	-8	-3	-5	14.1	14.3	-0.14	15.0	14.0	1.03
Frank Jackson	17	18	-0.15	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	-5	-1	11.8	14.7	-2.93	16.3	14.2	2.05
Kenrich Williams	49	49	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.26	2	-13	15	14.0	14.4	-0.35	14.4	14.7	-0.30
Jaxson Hayes	62	63	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.42	7	-18	25	13.1	15.9	-2.78	13.5	16.5	-2.99
Derrick Favors	38	37	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.25	-18	7	-25	15.9	13.1	2.78	16.5	13.5	2.99
JJ Redick	77	77	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.48	6	-17	23	13.9	15.1	-1.15	13.9	16.8	-2.89
Jrue Holiday	83	83	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.19	-5	-6	1	14.6	12.2	2.44	14.7	14.1	0.58
Lonzo Ball	56	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.26	-22	11	-33	14.1	14.3	-0.13	14.7	14.5	0.14
Brandon Ingram	56	56	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	0	-11	15.0	13.2	1.74	14.5	14.8	-0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 112, PHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
LAL 122, LAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.21,0.14,0.19,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
CLE 82, DET 75	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%