inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 122 Excitement9.8 [100] MVPMaxi Kleber (DAL): +32.3%
Dallas Mavericks 118 Comeback10.2 [96] LVPJalen Brunson (DAL): -24.0%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bam Adebayo0.140,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.140.060.06-0.021258%0.151-0.02757%-0.04
Kelly Olynyk0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.180.010.086106%0.1200.004100%0.01
Tyler Herro0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.2,0.10.060.040.011453%0.1000.008100%0.03
Meyers Leonard0.080,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.00-0.00771%0.0800.0000%0.00
Duncan Robinson0.060,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.010.01-0.031045%0.0600.0000%0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.01-0.02660%0.072-0.03367%0.00
Jimmy Butler-0.030,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.06,0.06,-0.03-0.000.120.152248%0.042-0.071283%-0.05
Kendrick Nunn-0.190,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.04-0.16-0.011446%-0.113-0.0800%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Maxi Kleber0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.320.320.170.160.00989%0.3200.001100%0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.42,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.240.240.100.13-0.002264%0.303-0.0600%0.00
Dwight Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.020.02653%0.0300.00333%-0.02
J.J. Barea0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.05-0.010.031155%0.0100.0000%0.00
Justin Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.02333%0.0100.0000%0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01337%-0.0000.00250%-0.01
Delon Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.0210%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Luka Doncic0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.00150%0.001-0.022100%0.01
Seth Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.04-0.01-0.03837%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Kristaps Porzingis0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.18-0.18-0.01-0.160.012145%-0.171-0.01771%-0.02
Jalen Brunson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.24-0.24-0.03-0.180.031653%-0.094-0.15250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.21.829.214.425.52.339.32.621.4160.8
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.42.315.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL -15.2%
MIA +27.2%
MIA +44.1%
DAL -2.1%
DAL -4.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIADALNBAMIADALNBA
this game14.714.014.2108.9108.3109.6
season14.714.5111.7115.2
opponent14.114.5111.3108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA12.512.120.016.014.214.7
DAL15.811.912.816.014.414.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bam Adebayo80750.84-0.341.180.4015-112614.415.6-1.2114.512.91.63
Kendrick Nunn81780.65-0.150.800.399-51414.016.6-2.6014.413.01.40
Jimmy Butler89860.54-0.040.580.337-31015.312.42.8914.114.00.10
Derrick Jones Jr.62600.460.040.420.64-610-1614.415.2-0.7713.914.2-0.23
Tyler Herro84800.420.080.340.3913-214.316.1-1.8313.914.5-0.61
Meyers Leonard33320.140.36-0.220.0240415.714.31.3214.713.80.88
Kelly Olynyk5758-0.160.66-0.81-0.04-48-1214.514.9-0.4213.215.0-1.74
Duncan Robinson7476-0.400.90-1.29-0.22-610-1615.712.82.9413.714.8-1.08

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Justin Jackson28290.06-0.560.62-0.095-91413.514.2-0.7712.615.5-2.90
Luka Doncic44-0.05-0.450.400.07-40-415.514.01.5214.214.7-0.50
J.J. Barea2829-0.07-0.430.35-0.01-2-2013.214.3-1.1114.114.9-0.80
Jalen Brunson7273-0.16-0.340.19-0.5714-183213.215.6-2.3614.914.40.53
Dorian Finney-Smith7577-0.20-0.300.10-0.03-62-814.113.80.3115.213.71.56
Seth Curry3940-0.21-0.290.08-0.18-1-3214.114.00.0614.414.9-0.44
Maxi Kleber5862-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.415-91415.112.92.1714.814.60.24
Delon Wright1718-0.27-0.23-0.040.14-1410-2416.213.62.5413.115.0-1.93
Kristaps Porzingis8383-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.350-4414.113.90.2015.014.00.94
Tim Hardaway Jr.8789-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.28-73-1013.715.3-1.5514.914.10.81
Dwight Powell5456-0.500.00-0.51-0.21-106-1614.213.90.3715.214.21.04


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.23,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.21,0.13,0.05,0.09,0.17,0.24,0.31,0.16,0.28,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.91,0.46,0.53,0.79,0.9,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHH 95, IND 940.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.84,085.6%
LAC 118, WAS 1250.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.16,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.28,0.21,0.29,0.33,0.47,0.72,0.85,0.99,185.3%
PHX 106, GSW 1020.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.24,0.28,0.23,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.28,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.76,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.46,0.61,0.83,0.85,0.92,085.3%