NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	95		Excitement	6.3 [499]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +13.9%
Indiana Pacers	94		Comeback	5.3 [141]		LVP	Jalen Rose (IND): -28.6%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dell Curry	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.01	0.00	9	78%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Farmer	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	1	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
J.R. Reid	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
B.J. Armstrong	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Beck	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Vlade Divac	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	11	62%	0.03	3	-0.07	7	57%	-0.04
Matt Geiger	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Glen Rice	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.06	-0.04	20	43%	-0.09	0	0.00	11	73%	-0.01
Bobby Phills	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	11	52%	-0.01	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.02
Anthony Mason	-0.13	0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.24,-0.13	-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	13	39%	-0.11	1	-0.01	5	40%	-0.17

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	9	74%	0.18	2	-0.04	13	100%	0.11
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	3	58%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.05
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	57%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	44%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	67%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Mark Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	62%	0.00	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	19	45%	-0.02	3	-0.07	4	25%	-0.07
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,-0.29	-0.29	-0.02	-0.26	0.00	6	75%	0.12	4	-0.41	4	100%	0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	1.7	32.2	16.4	23.5	2.5	43.5	147.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -7.9%

CHH +1.4%

CHH +5.0%

CHH +49.2%

CHH +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	IND	NBA	CHH	IND	NBA
this game	16.5	16.1	15.6	105.6	108.0	102.5
season	15.7	16.0		104.0	105.3
opponent	16.1	15.9		99.2	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	14.7	14.4	19.9	17.9	16.5
IND	13.5	16.3	16.9	18.1	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Phills	72	69	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.30	7	-6	13	16.7	15.6	1.15	15.3	18.8	-3.50
Vlade Divac	73	69	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.38	3	-2	5	16.5	16.5	-0.06	15.1	19.8	-4.69
B.J. Armstrong	33	30	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.29	4	-3	7	16.5	16.4	0.11	16.3	15.9	0.32
Anthony Mason	75	71	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.40	0	1	-1	17.1	13.6	3.45	15.6	18.1	-2.46
Corey Beck	46	45	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.17	6	-5	11	15.8	17.2	-1.42	16.0	16.1	-0.17
Matt Geiger	18	18	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.26	-2	3	-5	15.7	16.7	-1.01	19.8	15.1	4.69
Glen Rice	74	71	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.38	-8	9	-17	17.3	12.8	4.46	15.4	18.8	-3.38
J.R. Reid	15	16	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.07	1	0	1	13.6	17.1	-3.45	18.1	15.6	2.46
Travis Williams	4	5	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	3	-5	14.7	16.6	-1.81	22.4	15.7	6.73
Dell Curry	33	34	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.14	-5	6	-11	16.2	16.6	-0.42	18.2	14.7	3.57
Tony Farmer	7	7	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.09	1	0	1	14.4	16.7	-2.22	14.0	16.2	-2.24

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Best	22	22	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-3	5	16.3	16.0	0.29	15.0	17.0	-1.96
Rik Smits	60	64	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.26	6	-7	13	16.0	16.1	-0.13	16.9	15.4	1.48
Reggie Miller	52	55	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.15	-9	8	-17	15.2	17.3	-2.05	16.5	16.5	-0.01
Mark Pope	15	15	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	5	-11	16.7	15.9	0.82	14.1	17.0	-2.89
Chris Mullin	37	39	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.03	-8	7	-15	15.0	16.8	-1.79	17.4	15.7	1.69
Dale Davis	59	63	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.49	9	-10	19	15.3	17.7	-2.50	17.5	14.0	3.54
Jalen Rose	50	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.50	7	-8	15	16.8	15.0	1.79	15.7	17.4	-1.69
Fred Hoiberg	35	35	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.62	8	-9	17	17.3	15.2	2.05	16.5	16.5	0.01
Mark Jackson	65	68	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.36	-3	2	-5	16.0	16.3	-0.29	17.0	15.0	1.96
Antonio Davis	40	38	-0.55	0.04	-0.59	-0.22	-11	10	-21	17.0	15.2	1.84	14.9	17.6	-2.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 104, PHX 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.28,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.29,0.31,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.29,0.37,0.33,0.57,0	92.4%
CLE 92, CHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.19,0.08,0.06,0.17,0.32,0.54,0.55,0.42,0	91.1%
CHA 93, MIN 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.31,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.23,0.73,0	89.7%