NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	93		Excitement	8.8 [194]		MVP	Bogdan Bogdanovic (SAC): +43.9%
Sacramento Kings	94		Comeback	17.9 [105]		LVP	Chris Paul (OKC): -37.4%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Abdel Nader	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.12	0.12	-0.00	9	83%	0.27	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	5	85%	0.17	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Danilo Gallinari	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08	-0.03	0.09	-0.02	13	50%	0.15	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Dennis Schroder	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	14	61%	0.14	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.05	-0.06	0.08	-0.02	11	47%	0.19	3	-0.14	8	75%	0.06
Luguentz Dort	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Bazley	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.19	0,0,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19	-0.02	-0.16	0.00	10	48%	-0.02	2	-0.16	5	40%	-0.03
Chris Paul	-0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.37	-0.01	-0.35	0.01	9	44%	-0.35	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.44	0.44	0.02	0.42	-0.01	12	61%	0.52	3	-0.08	4	25%	-0.05
Buddy Hield	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.00	0.17	-0.01	24	48%	0.24	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	71%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	8	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	13	41%	-0.02	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.11	-0.11	0.00	-0.11	0.00	7	71%	0.12	3	-0.22	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.11	-0.14	0.01	9	25%	-0.09	2	-0.17	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	24.4	14.7	29.1	1.7	31.0	128.8
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +62.1%

OKC -18.3%

OKC -2.8%

SAC +9.1%

OKC -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	SAC	NBA	OKC	SAC	NBA
this game	14.9	14.8	14.2	95.9	96.9	109.6
season	14.3	14.3		108.8	109.0
opponent	14.5	14.5		110.9	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.6	13.6	14.9	16.3	14.9
SAC	14.8	17.7	14.5	12.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Abdel Nader	64	65	0.29	-0.79	1.08	0.03	9	-10	19	15.4	14.0	1.39	15.0	14.5	0.50
Nerlens Noel	39	40	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.12	2	-3	5	15.9	14.2	1.69	14.9	14.7	0.25
Chris Paul	70	71	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.53	14	-15	29	14.8	15.1	-0.31	15.3	13.5	1.73
Luguentz Dort	27	26	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	10	-21	13.8	15.3	-1.49	15.3	14.6	0.69
Darius Bazley	24	23	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	13	-27	16.7	14.3	2.48	14.0	15.1	-1.11
Danilo Gallinari	66	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.59	5	-6	11	14.5	15.7	-1.16	15.0	14.4	0.59
Dennis Schroder	64	64	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	3	-7	14.9	14.9	-0.08	14.3	15.7	-1.40
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	73	72	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.47	-3	2	-5	14.7	15.5	-0.76	14.5	15.6	-1.02
Steven Adams	58	57	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.59	-3	2	-5	14.2	15.9	-1.69	14.7	14.9	-0.25

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	61	60	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.44	17	-16	33	13.5	17.1	-3.58	15.6	13.6	2.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	61	62	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.38	14	-13	27	13.6	16.9	-3.36	14.8	15.0	-0.22
Richaun Holmes	49	48	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.64	5	-4	9	14.8	14.8	-0.02	16.2	13.6	2.58
Buddy Hield	75	76	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.35	9	-8	17	14.6	15.5	-0.84	15.0	14.6	0.40
Harrison Barnes	69	68	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.52	-10	11	-21	15.0	14.2	0.83	15.0	14.7	0.33
Yogi Ferrell	31	30	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.09	4	-3	7	15.4	14.5	0.86	14.9	14.9	0.02
Marvin Bagley III	48	49	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.17	-4	5	-9	14.8	14.8	0.02	13.6	16.2	-2.58
Cory Joseph	48	47	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	0.26	-19	20	-39	16.0	13.6	2.45	14.6	15.1	-0.52
Nemanja Bjelica	43	45	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.02	-11	12	-23	16.6	13.4	3.23	14.0	15.7	-1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.25,0.26,0.16,0.22,0.13,0.24,0.21,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.42,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.19,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.31,0.61,0.43,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 112, MIL 116	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.32,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.22,0.31,0.45,0.32,0.28,1	90.4%
PHI 76, HOU 77	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.16,0.24,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.19,0.54,0.85,0.72,1	89.2%
BOS 96, OKC 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.26,0.16,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.24,0.15,0.22,0.12,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.58,1	89.2%