NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	127		Excitement	10.0 [82]		MVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN): +65.8%
Oklahoma City Thunder	139		Comeback	216.4 [13]		LVP	Keita Bates-Diop (MIN): -15.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.66	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.29,0.6,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66	0.26	0.48	0.09	16	83%	0.66	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.06
Jeff Teague	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.22	-0.01	-0.02	17	84%	0.32	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Robert Covington	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.09	-0.01	11	62%	0.18	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Shabazz Napier	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	-0.01	-0.02	9	65%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jordan Bell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	8	55%	0.03	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.16
Gorgui Dieng	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.03	0.00	4	25%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelan Martin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Treveon Graham	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.08	-0.01	8	75%	0.13	3	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Culver	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	13	32%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Keita Bates-Diop	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	7	0%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.11	0.27	0.02	17	66%	0.43	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.16	0.19	0.01	13	76%	0.42	3	-0.09	12	100%	0.10
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.45,0.36,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.18	0.04	-0.02	20	64%	0.23	0	0.00	7	100%	0.05
Steven Adams	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.07	0.17	0.02	13	65%	0.26	2	-0.04	8	50%	-0.05
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	2	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.01	16	57%	0.06	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Abdel Nader	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	60%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Luguentz Dort	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devon Hall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Bazley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.3	3.5	26.1	14.6	35.7	1.7	41.1	1.8	12.9	159.6
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN -13.8%

OKC +50.9%

MIN -2.3%

OKC +10.3%

OKC +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	OKC	NBA	MIN	OKC	NBA
this game	15.3	13.9	14.2	118.7	125.2	109.6
season	13.8	14.3		107.1	108.8
opponent	14.5	13.8		107.6	110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIN	16.6	15.0	14.9	14.9	15.1	15.3
OKC	16.1	13.3	12.9	13.9	13.5	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Okogie	63	67	0.69	-1.19	1.87	0.36	11	-23	34	15.5	15.0	0.53	14.9	12.4	2.56
Jordan Bell	41	40	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.05	2	-14	16	14.9	15.5	-0.67	15.2	13.2	1.98
Jeff Teague	81	83	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-12	12	15.4	15.1	0.28	14.3	12.8	1.50
Kelan Martin	15	15	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.13	-8	-4	-4	13.3	15.6	-2.28	11.7	14.2	-2.52
Robert Covington	74	79	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-10	8	15.3	15.3	0.02	14.6	12.3	2.29
Karl-Anthony Towns	76	75	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-8	4	15.3	15.3	-0.00	14.2	13.2	0.98
Jarrett Culver	55	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-8	4	16.0	14.5	1.50	13.2	14.6	-1.44
Gorgui Dieng	30	35	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.05	-10	-2	-8	15.3	15.3	0.06	13.3	14.2	-0.83
Shabazz Napier	30	31	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.15	-10	-2	-8	15.8	15.1	0.76	12.4	14.5	-2.16
Keita Bates-Diop	38	41	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.08	-16	4	-20	14.8	15.6	-0.73	13.1	14.4	-1.33
Treveon Graham	32	32	-1.03	0.53	-1.57	-0.48	-19	7	-26	14.9	15.5	-0.59	12.3	14.6	-2.24

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Schroder	82	79	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-1	14	13.5	15.1	-1.62	15.0	16.1	-1.06
Chris Paul	80	77	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.03	19	-7	26	13.9	14.0	-0.08	15.0	16.1	-1.08
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	86	82	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.23	9	3	6	14.4	12.1	2.31	15.4	14.8	0.64
Darius Bazley	34	34	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.09	12	0	12	12.9	14.3	-1.40	15.7	15.1	0.65
Nerlens Noel	33	31	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.19	7	5	2	13.8	13.9	-0.13	16.3	14.9	1.36
Steven Adams	78	76	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.04	5	7	-2	13.9	13.8	0.13	14.9	16.3	-1.36
Devon Hall	6	6	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	7	-2	14.5	13.9	0.62	18.3	15.1	3.22
Abdel Nader	63	61	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.16	-6	18	-24	14.0	13.8	0.21	15.8	14.6	1.16
Luguentz Dort	17	16	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	16	-20	12.6	14.1	-1.49	14.3	15.5	-1.15
Danilo Gallinari	76	73	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.05	0	12	-12	14.4	12.9	1.54	15.1	15.7	-0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.44,0.34,0.44,0.33,0.44,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.43,0.57,0.47,0.58,0.59,0.88,0.94,0.85,0.78,0.77,0.27,0.54,0.53,0.85,0.95,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 105, MIN 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.32,0.54,0.57,0.38,0.43,0.58,0.64,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.78,0.85,0.58,0.5,0.75,0.89,0.95,0.92,1	88.9%
NYK 89, BKN 96	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.3,0.22,0.36,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.47,0.71,0.53,0.81,0.63,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.79,0.97,0.98,1	88.8%
MIA 89, LAC 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.64,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.91,0.84,1	88.1%