NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	105		Excitement	9.9 [75]		MVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): +32.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	111		Comeback	7.6 [267]		LVP	Nikola Vucevic (ORL): -26.2%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Gordon	0.21	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21	0.03	0.19	0.00	11	48%	0.21	0	0.00	3	100%	0.05
CJ Watson	0.17	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.08	0.02	10	72%	0.20	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.08
Jeff Green	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	6	77%	0.09	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Evan Fournier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	11	41%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Damjan Rudez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Serge Ibaka	-0.08	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.02	-0.10	-0.01	16	53%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.1	0.07	-0.15	0.02	17	58%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.06
D.J. Augustin	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	9	28%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.26	-0.09	-0.17	0.00	15	36%	-0.09	2	-0.17	6	50%	-0.06

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.04,-0.05,0.14,0.21,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.02	0.26	-0.04	21	54%	0.41	3	-0.08	8	75%	0.01
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.08	-0.01	10	50%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	-0.02	-0.02	16	61%	0.13	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.04	0.02	4	70%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	18	53%	0.15	5	-0.17	7	86%	0.04
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	9	48%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.03	0.03	7	36%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	20.2	1.8	26.5	15.4	29.2	2.5	35.3	1.8	20.3	153.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.9	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +64.9%

ORL -6.6%

ORL -7.7%

MIN +1.9%

ORL -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	MIN	NBA	ORL	MIN	NBA
this game	14.1	16.4	14.8	99.1	107.8	107.7
season	14.6	15.3		103.0	109.3
opponent	14.7	14.9		110.2	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
ORL	14.0	12.4	13.9	17.5	11.8	14.1
MIN	16.7	16.4	14.9	17.7	16.9	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Gordon	61	57	0.34	-0.84	1.19	0.23	4	-10	14	13.2	15.3	-2.11	15.7	17.3	-1.62
CJ Watson	73	71	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.23	8	-14	22	12.9	16.6	-3.72	15.8	17.7	-1.93
Nikola Vucevic	77	76	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.23	6	-12	18	13.4	16.0	-2.60	16.1	17.3	-1.18
Damjan Rudez	19	19	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-2	-2	15.7	13.7	1.96	17.4	16.2	1.20
Elfrid Payton	66	62	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-8	10	13.0	15.8	-2.73	15.9	17.1	-1.18
Serge Ibaka	78	75	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.31	2	-8	10	13.6	15.3	-1.69	16.1	17.1	-0.99
D.J. Augustin	40	41	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.14	-8	2	-10	15.8	13.0	2.73	17.1	15.9	1.18
Bismack Biyombo	29	27	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	6	-18	16.0	13.4	2.60	17.3	16.1	1.18
Jeff Green	46	46	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.18	-10	4	-14	16.0	12.6	3.40	17.3	15.6	1.69
Evan Fournier	41	41	-1.02	0.52	-1.53	-0.49	-18	12	-30	15.4	13.2	2.18	17.4	15.7	1.70

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Dunn	30	31	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.21	11	-5	16	18.0	15.7	2.27	16.3	13.1	3.18
Nemanja Bjelica	44	46	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.19	11	-5	16	17.0	15.9	1.11	15.1	13.3	1.83
Shabazz Muhammad	39	39	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.25	9	-3	12	18.3	15.2	3.09	16.2	12.9	3.29
Karl-Anthony Towns	88	92	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.37	3	3	0	16.1	18.1	-2.04	13.8	16.1	-2.30
Zach LaVine	86	88	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.27	3	3	0	16.2	17.5	-1.30	13.9	15.2	-1.31
Andrew Wiggins	81	85	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	6	-6	15.7	19.0	-3.26	13.4	17.0	-3.65
Cole Aldrich	9	8	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	3	0	17.1	16.3	0.79	13.5	14.1	-0.62
Tyus Jones	1	0	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	4	-2	4.0	16.5	-12.51	0.0	14.1	-14.08
Gorgui Dieng	65	66	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	11	-16	16.3	16.6	-0.34	13.8	14.4	-0.60
Ricky Rubio	72	75	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.12	-7	13	-20	15.9	17.5	-1.66	13.1	16.3	-3.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.32,0.54,0.57,0.38,0.43,0.58,0.64,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.78,0.85,0.58,0.5,0.75,0.89,0.95,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 116, ATL 119	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.56,0.36,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.8,0.71,0.55,0.42,0.54,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.96,1	89.0%
SAC 95, WAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.68,0.83,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.8,0.88,0.91,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.71,0.96,1	88.8%
POR 100, DEN 110	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.55,0.66,0.28,0.46,0.61,0.84,0.98,1,1	88.2%