NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	100		Excitement	3.7 [973]		MVP	Kendrick Nunn (MIA): +17.6%
Miami Heat	117		Comeback	1.4 [1049]		LVP	Devonte' Graham (CHA): -9.9%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Miles Bridges	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.02	6	64%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Terry Rozier	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	15	59%	0.10	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Malik Monk	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	12	48%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	7	61%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	8	59%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	5	30%	-0.01	2	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Martin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	80%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwayne Bacon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	6	7%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Devonte' Graham	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	0.02	-0.00	14	42%	0.00	6	-0.10	10	80%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendrick Nunn	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.17	0.01	0.01	10	95%	0.18	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.04	-0.06	8	88%	0.19	4	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Tyler Herro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.02	-0.02	13	60%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.00	-0.02	11	68%	0.14	3	-0.04	9	100%	0.04
Duncan Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Silva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Meyers Leonard	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.08	-0.00	0.11	14	64%	0.00	3	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.16	0.00	-0.09	8	30%	-0.03	5	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.0	30.5	14.8	33.2	1.5	25.6	134.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +34.1%

MIA +6.9%

MIA +9.2%

CHA -0.4%

MIA +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	MIA	NBA	CHA	MIA	NBA
this game	14.9	14.4	14.2	102.0	118.2	109.6
season	15.1	14.7		105.4	111.7
opponent	14.5	14.7		108.9	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.8	13.2	14.8	15.9	14.9
MIA	14.8	14.5	14.0	14.1	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cody Martin	13	14	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.29	11	-28	39	15.0	14.8	0.15	12.1	14.8	-2.68
Willy Hernangomez	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-23	29	15.8	14.8	1.03	14.1	14.4	-0.25
Dwayne Bacon	31	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	-14	11	15.8	14.4	1.37	14.5	14.3	0.11
Bismack Biyombo	42	44	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-11	5	15.8	14.1	1.69	14.3	14.4	-0.10
Marvin Williams	31	34	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-15	13	15.9	14.4	1.47	14.1	14.5	-0.43
Malik Monk	37	40	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.20	2	-19	21	16.2	14.1	2.12	15.3	13.7	1.60
Nicolas Batum	38	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-15	13	14.6	15.0	-0.43	13.6	14.9	-1.25
Devonte' Graham	72	71	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.20	-17	0	-17	14.9	14.7	0.24	14.3	14.6	-0.28
P.J. Washington	50	49	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.07	-14	-3	-11	14.3	15.5	-1.16	14.4	14.3	0.15
Cody Zeller	37	35	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.06	-14	-3	-11	13.4	15.7	-2.31	15.4	13.8	1.63
Terry Rozier	68	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.16	-20	3	-23	14.4	15.9	-1.54	14.3	14.5	-0.21
Miles Bridges	65	63	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.32	-26	9	-35	14.3	16.0	-1.75	14.4	14.2	0.19

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmy Butler	66	68	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.37	29	-12	41	13.8	15.5	-1.71	14.2	16.4	-2.16
Kendrick Nunn	63	63	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.20	8	9	-1	14.9	13.5	1.42	14.6	15.3	-0.70
Bam Adebayo	69	71	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.14	16	1	15	14.3	14.5	-0.18	15.2	14.0	1.25
Kelly Olynyk	65	64	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.01	10	7	3	14.5	14.2	0.30	14.9	14.8	0.16
Duncan Robinson	44	44	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.03	9	8	1	15.7	13.3	2.40	15.2	14.6	0.69
Meyers Leonard	38	36	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.07	5	12	-7	14.1	14.5	-0.39	14.6	15.0	-0.49
Goran Dragic	59	57	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	12	-7	13.5	15.7	-2.23	15.4	14.1	1.24
Chris Silva	29	27	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	16	-15	14.9	14.1	0.79	14.0	15.2	-1.25
Tyler Herro	62	60	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.09	2	15	-13	14.2	14.6	-0.44	15.2	14.3	0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.81,0.86,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 80, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
BOS 73, DAL 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
CLE 83, PHI 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.88,0.82,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%