NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	102		Excitement	9.8 [101]		MVP	Buddy Hield (SAC): +59.0%
Boston Celtics	103		Comeback	2.8 [628]		LVP	Bogdan Bogdanovic (SAC): -39.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Buddy Hield	0.59	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.28,0.25,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.44,0.44,0.59,0.59	0.27	0.32	-0.00	26	77%	0.71	4	-0.12	1	0%	-0.01
Harrison Barnes	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.07	-0.00	9	71%	0.22	1	-0.03	10	70%	-0.02
Cory Joseph	0.19	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.19,0.19	0.01	0.18	0.00	4	62%	0.21	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.04	0.00	3	83%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin James	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harry Giles III	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.07	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	0.01	-0.01	7	25%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	-0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.4,-0.4,-0.39	-0.14	-0.25	0.00	20	31%	-0.18	2	-0.21	2	50%	-0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.39	0.39	0.10	0.29	0.00	12	65%	0.39	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Jaylen Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.15	0.15	0.01	16	65%	0.29	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Enes Kanter	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	-0.00	6	87%	0.18	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.03
Robert Williams III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carsen Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	5	60%	0.13	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	6	58%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tremont Waters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.04	-0.00	7	44%	0.07	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	18	47%	-0.00	3	-0.09	7	86%	0.05
Brad Wanamaker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.15	-0.05	-0.00	8	15%	-0.15	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.5	26.5	15.3	25.3	1.8	39.4	133.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC -47.3%

BOS +31.4%

BOS +9.3%

BOS +39.2%

BOS +17.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	BOS	NBA	SAC	BOS	NBA
this game	16.0	15.7	14.2	110.9	114.4	109.6
season	14.3	14.5		109.0	112.0
opponent	14.4	14.5		105.8	110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.1	16.6	18.4	15.2	16.0
BOS	16.5	14.0	18.6	14.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dewayne Dedmon	23	22	0.28	-0.78	1.07	-0.07	12	-13	25	15.7	16.1	-0.32	16.9	15.3	1.58
Nemanja Bjelica	48	46	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.10	-3	2	-5	16.6	15.2	1.40	17.0	14.2	2.82
Yogi Ferrell	23	23	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.18	5	-6	11	15.7	16.1	-0.43	15.4	15.7	-0.31
Justin James	27	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.13	-3	2	-5	16.5	15.8	0.76	14.9	16.0	-1.06
Harry Giles III	17	17	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.18	-5	4	-9	16.3	15.9	0.39	13.9	16.1	-2.20
Buddy Hield	81	78	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.46	2	-3	5	15.7	17.7	-1.99	15.6	15.8	-0.19
Bogdan Bogdanovic	57	55	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	0	-1	15.5	16.8	-1.28	15.6	15.7	-0.08
Richaun Holmes	52	51	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.22	-8	7	-15	16.0	16.0	0.01	15.7	15.6	0.18
Harrison Barnes	67	68	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.54	3	-4	7	15.6	17.1	-1.57	15.1	17.3	-2.19
Cory Joseph	65	63	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.28	-7	6	-13	16.5	14.6	1.91	15.7	15.6	0.11

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tremont Waters	37	39	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.06	20	-19	39	13.9	16.9	-2.92	16.3	15.7	0.57
Jayson Tatum	65	67	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.50	4	-3	7	15.0	17.4	-2.34	15.9	16.3	-0.41
Marcus Smart	67	69	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.39	2	-1	3	16.0	14.6	1.42	16.5	14.5	2.00
Jaylen Brown	64	64	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.31	1	0	1	15.9	15.0	0.94	16.2	15.4	0.79
Semi Ojeleye	51	54	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.00	10	-9	19	15.8	15.5	0.36	16.0	16.0	0.01
Enes Kanter	46	46	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.01	9	-8	17	16.0	15.3	0.64	17.4	14.6	2.78
Robert Williams III	44	46	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.48	-8	9	-17	15.3	16.0	-0.64	14.6	17.4	-2.78
Carsen Edwards	27	27	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.14	-7	8	-15	15.1	15.9	-0.74	14.5	16.6	-2.07
Grant Williams	10	9	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	5	-9	16.0	15.6	0.37	14.7	16.1	-1.45
Brad Wanamaker	39	39	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.44	-22	23	-45	17.4	14.4	3.03	15.9	16.1	-0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.54,0.51,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.79,0.81,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.85,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 110, MIL 113	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.92,0.93,0.86,0.58,1	91.9%
MIA 79, ATL 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.69,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.67,0.8,0.93,0.77,0.74,1	91.6%
BKN 125, TOR 127	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.54,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.79,0.84,0.42,1	91.3%