NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	104		Excitement	8.2 [250]		MVP	Mike Scott (PHI): +31.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	109		Comeback	23.8 [249]		LVP	RJ Barrett (NYK): -26.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitchell Robinson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.08	0.00	2	100%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.00	9	68%	0.15	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	6	92%	0.13	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.13	-0.05	0.03	8	85%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Kevin Knox II	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	1	150%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	-0.01	13	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	8	62%	-0.09
Damyean Dotson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris Sr.	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.19,-0.18	0.01	-0.13	0.07	21	50%	-0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
RJ Barrett	-0.26	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.13	-0.13	0.00	12	33%	-0.13	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.24,0.24,0.13,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.08	0.22	-0.02	8	75%	0.41	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.05	0.03	9	82%	0.17	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
James Ennis III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	7	69%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tobias Harris	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.07	0.01	13	47%	0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.02	6	64%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Matisse Thybulle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	5	58%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Shake Milton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	11	32%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.17,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	19	46%	0.08	3	-0.21	12	67%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	31.4	14.7	26.5	2.7	40.6	142.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +44.1%

PHI +6.0%

PHI +4.3%

NYK -5.6%

PHI +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	PHI	NBA	NYK	PHI	NBA
this game	14.0	15.5	14.2	106.1	112.4	109.6
season	14.5	14.8		105.4	110.0
opponent	14.1	14.4		108.5	111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.9	13.7	15.5	14.0	14.0
PHI	15.9	17.0	15.8	13.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Knox II	21	21	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.07	7	-12	19	10.9	14.9	-3.95	18.0	14.8	3.21
Taj Gibson	26	27	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.14	7	-12	19	15.8	13.3	2.50	16.8	15.0	1.77
Frank Ntilikina	67	66	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.26	2	-7	9	14.6	12.8	1.76	15.3	16.0	-0.68
Julius Randle	71	71	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.28	2	-7	9	14.0	14.0	0.01	15.5	15.7	-0.21
Dennis Smith Jr.	31	31	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	-7	2	-9	12.8	14.6	-1.76	16.0	15.3	0.68
Marcus Morris Sr.	82	80	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.48	6	-11	17	14.1	13.6	0.54	16.0	13.2	2.79
Damyean Dotson	43	43	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.04	-13	8	-21	13.2	14.7	-1.47	14.4	16.4	-2.01
RJ Barrett	74	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.26	-5	0	-5	14.3	13.0	1.28	14.8	17.6	-2.78
Bobby Portis	50	48	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	9	-23	14.2	13.8	0.47	15.2	15.9	-0.69
Mitchell Robinson	25	26	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.19	-10	5	-15	14.4	13.9	0.58	15.3	15.6	-0.31

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Scott	48	49	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.48	10	-5	15	14.6	16.5	-1.89	14.3	13.7	0.59
Ben Simmons	84	85	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.32	10	-5	15	14.9	19.9	-5.07	14.5	10.9	3.56
James Ennis III	46	46	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.07	15	-10	25	14.0	17.0	-3.00	13.3	14.6	-1.33
Joel Embiid	67	70	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.18	10	-5	15	15.7	15.2	0.49	14.0	14.0	-0.04
Trey Burke	32	31	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.25	4	1	3	15.9	15.4	0.55	13.6	14.2	-0.53
Tobias Harris	63	64	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	4	-3	16.3	14.1	2.23	13.9	14.3	-0.39
Matisse Thybulle	31	32	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	2	1	14.7	15.9	-1.26	13.7	14.1	-0.39
Shake Milton	33	35	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.09	0	5	-5	14.9	15.9	-0.95	14.1	14.0	0.12
Al Horford	50	48	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.14	-15	20	-35	16.5	14.6	1.91	14.2	13.8	0.43
Furkan Korkmaz	31	30	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	0.06	-13	18	-31	18.9	13.9	5.00	13.8	14.1	-0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.42,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.18,0.3,0.22,0.33,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.76,0.79,0.69,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 87, HOU 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.47,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.95,1,1	91.0%
MIL 99, CHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.96,1	90.8%
DET 97, PHX 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.6,0.75,0.71,0.83,0.91,1	90.7%