NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	97		Excitement	7.7 [321]		MVP	Steve Nash (PHX): +21.4%
Phoenix Suns	100		Comeback	8.3 [273]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): -17.1%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio McDyess	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.05	-0.00	11	58%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.09
Ronald Dupree	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	17	61%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Darvin Ham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	15	45%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Lindsey Hunter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.03,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	20	42%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	9	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Arroyo	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	5	33%	-0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17	-0.08	-0.06	0.03	13	50%	-0.05	4	-0.12	6	83%	0.05

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.01	0.20	-0.01	12	57%	0.29	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.04
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.02	-0.00	11	83%	0.19	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.09	-0.00	24	53%	0.16	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	4	91%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.16,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	0.00	-0.01	17	36%	0.01	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.03
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.07	0.01	14	37%	-0.10	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	3.6	28.0	20.4	23.5	3.6	37.2	143.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +61.6%

PHX +4.5%

DET -22.2%

PHX +8.1%

DET -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHX	NBA	DET	PHX	NBA
this game	17.9	13.8	15.5	107.8	108.7	104.0
season	16.7	13.5		103.5	112.9
opponent	16.0	15.9		106.2	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	20.3	18.5	17.0	16.0	17.9
PHX	13.4	12.8	14.3	14.7	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	8	9	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.08	7	-10	17	20.0	17.7	2.30	14.3	13.7	0.60
Ronald Dupree	11	10	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.00	2	-5	7	21.0	17.5	3.53	15.7	13.6	2.14
Carlos Arroyo	24	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-3	3	18.3	17.7	0.59	13.8	13.8	-0.03
Antonio McDyess	45	46	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-1	-1	17.4	18.4	-0.96	13.3	14.3	-0.98
Ben Wallace	55	56	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.27	2	-5	7	18.2	17.4	0.77	14.3	13.0	1.26
Richard Hamilton	77	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.32	-4	1	-5	17.6	19.8	-2.27	13.6	14.9	-1.36
Rasheed Wallace	80	81	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.38	-6	3	-9	18.0	17.4	0.56	13.9	13.0	0.90
Chauncey Billups	71	73	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.30	-9	6	-15	17.9	18.0	-0.13	13.8	13.8	-0.06
Tayshaun Prince	79	82	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.43	-5	2	-7	17.5	21.0	-3.53	13.6	15.7	-2.14

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	70	67	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.49	7	-4	11	13.6	14.5	-0.99	17.6	18.8	-1.24
Steve Nash	62	60	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.26	6	-3	9	14.0	13.4	0.63	18.1	17.5	0.55
Amar'e Stoudemire	80	78	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	0	3	14.0	12.4	1.58	17.9	18.2	-0.31
Shawn Marion	76	76	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.40	-1	4	-5	13.8	13.6	0.20	18.1	16.7	1.40
Jim Jackson	34	34	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.26	-1	4	-5	13.4	14.0	-0.65	17.7	18.0	-0.31
Quentin Richardson	65	64	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	1	1	14.0	13.3	0.65	17.8	18.1	-0.25
Steven Hunter	32	32	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.01	4	-1	5	13.9	13.7	0.12	17.4	18.2	-0.81
Leandro Barbosa	29	28	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	4	-5	13.0	14.2	-1.21	17.6	18.0	-0.48
Walter McCarty	12	11	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	7	-11	14.4	13.7	0.72	21.0	17.5	3.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.6,0.75,0.71,0.83,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 91, DET 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.3,0.24,0.32,0.23,0.34,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.45,0.67,0.62,0.84,0.97,0.93,1	93.0%
NJN 93, POR 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.3,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.37,0.31,0.22,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.46,0.67,0.74,0.84,0.97,0.95,1	92.3%
NJN 94, PHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.41,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.87,1	92.0%