inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 112 Excitement5.8 [636] MVPLaMarcus Aldridge (SAS): +25.0%
San Antonio Spurs 121 Comeback2.0 [660] LVPDennis Schroder (OKC): -12.7%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari0.220,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.250.020.061093%0.241-0.02989%0.03
Nerlens Noel0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.030.003100%0.111-0.021100%0.01
Chris Paul0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.010.001459%0.101-0.02475%0.00
Hamidou Diallo0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.03-0.01961%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Terrance Ferguson0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.020.01555%0.0400.001100%0.00
Mike Muscala0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander-0.020,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.020.03-0.030.031854%0.012-0.043100%0.01
Steven Adams-0.070,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.070.00-0.020.05662%0.023-0.0940%-0.05
Darius Bazley-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.0040%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Dennis Schroder-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.07-0.040.011146%-0.004-0.122100%0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.250.250.250.030.022381%0.333-0.08250%-0.01
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.060.05-0.01862%0.1200.0000%0.00
Trey Lyles0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.070.04-0.00580%0.1100.0000%0.00
Dejounte Murray0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.020.021263%0.112-0.053100%0.01
Derrick White0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.010.02-0.03657%0.082-0.042100%0.01
Rudy Gay0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.030.00460%0.061-0.022100%0.02
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.02-0.021357%0.083-0.082100%0.01
Chimezie Metu00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lonnie Walker IV00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jakob Poeltl0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Bryn Forbes0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.06-0.020.071070%0.022-0.0500%0.00
DeMarre Carroll0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.10-0.03-0.051015%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.71.825.515.325.62.427.2125.4
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +28.5%
OKC -5.7%
SAS +25.4%
SAS +1.1%
SAS +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCSASNBAOKCSASNBA
this game14.214.714.2112.0122.2109.6
season14.314.1108.8110.8
opponent14.214.5112.0107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC12.815.415.513.414.2
SAS13.914.614.016.814.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Muscala220.01-0.510.52-0.021-10119.514.3-4.819.014.9-5.86
Darius Bazley3434-0.01-0.490.47-0.134-131713.114.8-1.7014.714.8-0.09
Hamidou Diallo6663-0.10-0.400.30-0.131-101113.715.1-1.4215.613.32.29
Nerlens Noel4040-0.15-0.350.21-0.03-4-5113.614.6-1.0216.413.62.83
Dennis Schroder5455-0.17-0.330.17-0.201-101114.713.71.0314.614.9-0.31
Terrance Ferguson4643-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.12-8-1-714.613.90.7413.415.7-2.29
Steven Adams5857-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.19-6-3-314.813.41.3913.816.1-2.32
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander7070-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.14-90-914.014.6-0.5615.213.61.58
Chris Paul6466-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.11-123-1514.214.2-0.0214.415.4-0.98
Danilo Gallinari6665-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.11-134-1714.813.11.7014.814.70.09

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LaMarcus Aldridge73720.57-0.070.650.0518-92714.016.7-2.6514.513.60.89
DeMar DeRozan69700.410.090.330.0911-21314.914.30.5814.713.11.63
Trey Lyles42430.380.120.270.0312-31515.214.40.8314.114.3-0.21
Derrick White42410.290.210.080.0681715.714.01.7013.314.8-1.51
Patty Mills48480.240.26-0.020.0763314.415.0-0.5813.714.7-1.04
Rudy Gay44440.240.26-0.020.1536-314.015.4-1.4113.514.7-1.23
Bryn Forbes44460.230.27-0.050.1727-516.213.62.5614.314.20.09
Marco Belinelli43420.190.31-0.110.1618-712.916.1-3.2414.014.3-0.28
Dejounte Murray53540.180.32-0.140.1518-714.015.6-1.6315.213.02.20
Chimezie Metu120.000.50-0.500.06-211-1328.014.613.406.014.4-8.38
Lonnie Walker IV120.000.50-0.500.06-211-1328.014.613.406.014.4-8.38
Jakob Poeltl2526-0.070.57-0.650.13-716-2316.214.22.0114.214.2-0.08
DeMarre Carroll1010-0.170.67-0.840.01-615-2116.614.52.0717.213.93.32


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.64,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 73, CHA 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.91,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.8%
LAC 94, NOH 1080.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,194.3%
CHI 100, LAL 1070.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.2%