NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	95		Excitement	6.5 [526]		MVP	Jordan Clarkson (CLE): +9.6%
Indiana Pacers	102		Comeback	2.3 [775]		LVP	Darius Garland (CLE): -22.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Clarkson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.08	0.03	0.02	12	65%	0.14	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.05
Kevin Porter Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	2	83%	0.12	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Cedi Osman	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.01	8	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Love	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	16	61%	0.13	6	-0.14	4	75%	-0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	39%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Knight	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06	0.05	-0.03	0.07	21	48%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	7	50%	0.00	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Darius Garland	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.15	-0.07	-0.00	10	8%	-0.22	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.03	-0.03	6	67%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	13	66%	0.12	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	4	56%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	15	60%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	7	56%	0.08	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	16	62%	0.13	5	-0.13	8	100%	0.05
JaKarr Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	12	33%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Warren	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	8	17%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
TJ Leaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	4	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	24.3	14.8	28.4	2.4	42.6	139.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +16.3%

IND +4.2%

IND +21.9%

IND +4.3%

IND +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	IND	NBA	CLE	IND	NBA
this game	14.4	12.8	14.2	89.6	96.2	109.6
season	15.1	14.4		106.3	108.7
opponent	14.4	13.8		107.4	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.1	17.8	13.1	14.8	14.4
IND	14.0	11.5	13.1	12.4	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan Thompson	66	69	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.20	10	-17	27	13.7	15.5	-1.81	14.1	10.4	3.72
Darius Garland	57	56	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-9	11	14.0	14.8	-0.78	13.8	11.6	2.15
Cedi Osman	84	85	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.37	7	-14	21	13.6	17.5	-3.92	13.2	11.2	1.91
Brandon Knight	13	12	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.11	-10	3	-13	18.0	13.9	4.11	10.2	13.1	-2.94
Collin Sexton	81	83	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.38	2	-9	11	14.2	15.0	-0.84	13.2	11.3	1.82
Kevin Porter Jr.	32	30	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.08	-16	9	-25	15.3	14.0	1.31	11.0	13.5	-2.47
Jordan Clarkson	61	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.21	-8	1	-9	14.2	14.6	-0.39	11.8	14.1	-2.25
Larry Nance Jr.	60	58	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.07	-15	8	-23	15.4	13.1	2.27	11.3	14.6	-3.27
Kevin Love	76	76	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.33	-7	0	-7	14.7	13.6	1.16	13.0	12.2	0.80

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goga Bitadze	51	52	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.13	15	-8	23	12.4	13.1	-0.70	16.6	12.2	4.39
Doug McDermott	42	42	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.05	12	-5	17	12.3	13.1	-0.81	15.2	13.9	1.35
Domantas Sabonis	82	82	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.40	0	7	-7	12.9	12.2	0.73	14.2	15.0	-0.73
Justin Holiday	51	51	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.08	8	-1	9	12.2	13.3	-1.04	14.5	14.3	0.22
T.J. McConnell	33	33	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.04	8	-1	9	12.3	13.0	-0.64	15.4	13.9	1.45
Malcolm Brogdon	73	73	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.25	-1	8	-9	13.0	12.3	0.64	13.9	15.4	-1.45
Aaron Holiday	14	14	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.08	8	-1	9	11.0	13.0	-2.04	16.8	14.0	2.75
T.J. Warren	62	62	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	8	-9	13.1	12.2	0.90	13.6	15.6	-2.00
Jeremy Lamb	80	79	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.32	-8	15	-23	12.9	12.4	0.52	13.6	16.7	-3.10
JaKarr Sampson	24	24	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.07	-1	8	-9	13.0	12.7	0.24	12.6	14.9	-2.34
TJ Leaf	18	18	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	12	-17	15.0	12.3	2.68	13.3	14.6	-1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.66,0.67,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.96,1,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 108, POR 119	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.4%
HOU 96, MIN 106	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.73,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.9,0.83,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.4%
DAL 95, DEN 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.72,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.62,0.71,0.8,0.88,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%