inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 105 Excitement5.3 [726] MVPGordon Hayward (BOS): +18.2%
Boston Celtics 116 Comeback11.1 [102] LVPBrook Lopez (MIL): -8.1%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Khris Middleton0.140,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.18-0.000.041579%0.141-0.003100%0.00
George Hill0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.06-0.000.02967%0.041-0.0000%0.00
Kyle Korver0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.01-0.01664%0.082-0.04250%-0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo0.020,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.060.030.071361%0.093-0.071060%-0.02
Ersan Ilyasova0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00487%0.052-0.0300%0.00
Robin Lopez0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00350%0.0100.0000%0.00
Pat Connaughton-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.01837%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Wesley Matthews-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.02819%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Eric Bledsoe-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.01837%-0.032-0.0330%-0.07
Brook Lopez-0.080,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.01845%0.004-0.08683%0.00

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gordon Hayward0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.070.08-0.031762%0.222-0.0400%0.00
Marcus Smart0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.100.030.001659%0.1300.0000%0.00
Jayson Tatum0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.070.090.042254%0.1210.00250%-0.01
Daniel Theis0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.050.01-0.03869%0.101-0.0000%0.00
Kemba Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.100.030.051960%0.143-0.061593%0.06
Javonte Green00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Robert Williams III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Romeo Langford00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Carsen Edwards0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.000.00050%-0.0000.00250%-0.01
Brad Wanamaker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Semi Ojeleye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.020.02337%-0.0500.00250%-0.01
Grant Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.01425%-0.022-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.43.334.314.627.32.834.0144.8
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +22.5%
BOS +9.4%
BOS +10.7%
BOS +9.1%
MIL -1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILBOSNBAMILBOSNBA
this game14.014.214.2102.9113.7109.6
season13.214.5111.0112.0
opponent14.414.1105.8102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL15.513.216.011.914.0
BOS15.812.514.014.814.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Robin Lopez29300.16-0.660.83-0.016-172312.514.6-2.1013.814.4-0.59
Eric Bledsoe5656-0.16-0.340.18-0.07-3-8515.212.62.6115.612.53.16
Wesley Matthews6362-0.17-0.330.16-0.05-4-7314.513.21.3614.613.61.01
Brook Lopez5555-0.18-0.320.15-0.03-5-6115.712.13.5914.513.90.68
Khris Middleton7172-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.04-8-3-514.612.71.9314.713.01.68
Kyle Korver3534-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.19-4-7313.014.5-1.5113.614.5-0.85
Pat Connaughton4950-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.13-7-4-311.816.1-4.2413.614.8-1.13
George Hill4646-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.10-8-3-512.615.2-2.6112.515.6-3.16
Giannis Antetokounmpo7274-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.24-4-7312.916.7-3.8414.912.42.56
Ersan Ilyasova3431-0.550.05-0.60-0.02-187-2517.012.54.5112.015.2-3.18

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jayson Tatum80830.53-0.030.560.0616-52114.214.3-0.1314.511.82.74
Semi Ojeleye41430.52-0.020.530.191101114.314.10.1713.014.7-1.72
Robert Williams III27270.430.070.350.101101114.514.10.3614.813.71.03
Kemba Walker81800.310.190.110.0783514.014.9-0.8714.412.51.88
Grant Williams33310.300.200.110.2238-513.614.5-0.9514.813.71.13
Marcus Smart85830.250.250.000.0283514.512.81.6713.416.6-3.15
Gordon Hayward82820.240.26-0.030.0956-114.413.31.1413.416.5-3.09
Daniel Theis59580.130.37-0.230.0829-714.414.00.4514.812.91.91
Javonte Green110.000.50-0.500.00011-1114.014.2-0.225.014.1-9.11
Romeo Langford100.000.50-0.500.00011-1114.014.2-0.220.014.0-14.02
Brad Wanamaker1314-0.090.59-0.670.00-314-1712.914.4-1.4812.614.2-1.60
Carsen Edwards78-0.120.62-0.730.06-617-2312.914.3-1.4614.214.00.25


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.09,0.13,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.44,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 92, CLE 990.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.22,0.13,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.21,0.16,0.25,0.21,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.42,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.97,0.98,193.0%
MIA 109, SAC 1200.5,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.33,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.65,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,192.4%
GSW 106, DAL 1160.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.19,0.27,0.26,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.32,0.35,0.27,0.36,0.4,0.48,0.62,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.97,1,1,1,192.2%