NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	83		Excitement	6.9 [460]		MVP	Aaron Gordon (ORL): +16.5%
Orlando Magic	95		Comeback	1.9 [857]		LVP	Marcus Morris Sr. (NYK): -21.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Knox II	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.09	-0.00	10	45%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Bobby Portis	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	11	55%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.09	-0.02	0.06	6	75%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Frank Ntilikina	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	8	44%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damyean Dotson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Taj Gibson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.07	-0.01	13	55%	0.06	3	-0.13	3	67%	0.00
RJ Barrett	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	11	37%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
Wayne Ellington	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.03	-0.05	8	12%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Marcus Morris Sr.	-0.21	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	11	33%	-0.15	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.13	0.03	13	58%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	17	55%	0.13	1	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Mo Bamba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.00	7	64%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	12	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.01	0.03	6	71%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	9	45%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Markelle Fultz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	6	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-0.00	10	10%	-0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	29.3	13.7	26.6	1.6	25.3	123.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +28.9%

NYK -3.2%

ORL +20.6%

ORL +3.2%

ORL +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ORL	NBA	NYK	ORL	NBA
this game	16.6	15.6	14.2	94.3	104.4	109.6
season	14.5	14.7		105.4	107.1
opponent	14.2	14.4		108.9	111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.3	15.8	19.2	17.5	16.6
ORL	13.4	17.6	15.0	16.8	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damyean Dotson	25	25	0.34	-0.84	1.17	0.04	10	-22	32	14.6	17.4	-2.74	16.8	15.1	1.72
Taj Gibson	17	17	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.00	2	-14	16	14.6	17.1	-2.50	16.2	15.4	0.79
Kevin Knox II	41	40	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.23	5	-17	22	16.8	16.5	0.29	16.5	14.9	1.62
Bobby Portis	54	53	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-11	10	16.9	16.1	0.89	16.1	14.9	1.20
Frank Ntilikina	54	53	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.21	2	-14	16	17.0	15.9	1.08	16.0	15.1	0.88
Wayne Ellington	35	39	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.14	-17	5	-22	16.1	17.0	-0.91	15.2	15.9	-0.68
Mitchell Robinson	35	39	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.14	-9	-3	-6	16.2	16.8	-0.62	14.7	16.2	-1.49
Julius Randle	67	70	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.06	-16	4	-20	16.8	16.0	0.73	15.3	16.7	-1.40
Marcus Morris Sr.	57	60	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.08	-16	4	-20	17.6	14.8	2.72	15.1	16.5	-1.40
RJ Barrett	55	59	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.12	-20	8	-28	16.6	16.5	0.09	15.2	16.4	-1.21

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathan Isaac	61	58	0.93	-0.43	1.36	0.11	28	-16	44	14.7	17.4	-2.74	17.6	14.7	2.89
Nikola Vucevic	64	61	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.13	24	-12	36	15.2	16.6	-1.42	17.3	15.1	2.15
D.J. Augustin	52	49	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.21	17	-5	22	16.4	14.5	1.85	17.2	15.9	1.31
Evan Fournier	55	52	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.03	23	-11	34	14.9	16.7	-1.82	16.5	16.7	-0.25
Aaron Gordon	54	52	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.14	17	-5	22	15.2	16.1	-0.91	16.7	16.4	0.27
Markelle Fultz	39	39	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.06	-5	17	-22	14.5	16.4	-1.85	15.9	17.2	-1.31
Al-Farouq Aminu	49	48	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.03	-9	21	-30	16.1	15.0	1.06	15.4	18.1	-2.70
Terrence Ross	40	40	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.15	-13	25	-38	17.1	14.4	2.73	16.5	16.7	-0.14
Michael Carter-Williams	14	14	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	-0.01	-10	22	-32	17.7	15.2	2.51	16.9	16.5	0.39
Mo Bamba	27	27	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.02	-12	24	-36	16.6	15.2	1.42	15.1	17.3	-2.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.84,0.83,0.76,0.89,0.87,0.78,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.77,0.61,0.84,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 82, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.65,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.9,1,1,1	92.4%
DET 86, BOS 90	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.57,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.44,0.32,0.47,0.41,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.95,0.85,1	91.5%
SEA 119, DEN 124	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.78,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.63,0.67,0.9,1	91.3%