NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	119		Excitement	9.7 [73]		MVP	Earl Boykins (DEN): +21.9%
Denver Nuggets	124		Comeback	2.1 [764]		LVP	Ronald Murray (SEA): -25.3%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0.18	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.19,0.19,0.18	0.09	0.10	0.01	6	100%	0.25	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.05	0.00	5	100%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.04	0.00	5	69%	0.09	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.02
Vitaly Potapenko	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ansu Sesay	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.08	-0.00	24	53%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Reggie Evans	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Calvin Booth	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.04	-0.00	6	57%	0.06	1	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	-0.24	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.19,-0.24	-0.05	-0.18	0.01	22	49%	-0.04	3	-0.20	5	60%	-0.04
Ronald Murray	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.3,-0.25	-0.12	-0.18	-0.05	14	51%	0.04	6	-0.29	7	86%	-0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,0,0,0.19,0.22	0.22	0.05	0.17	-0.00	8	61%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Nene	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	0.01	8	70%	0.13	1	-0.02	11	82%	0.05
Rodney White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	-0.00	4	70%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.07,0,0.09	0.09	0.18	-0.06	0.03	29	69%	0.27	4	-0.18	1	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	10	62%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	10	44%	-0.02	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.06	-0.13	0.00	6	37%	-0.17	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.10
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.12	-0.14	-0.01	15	40%	-0.09	3	-0.16	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.5	27.3	15.6	23.2	2.7	45.1	143.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA -20.5%

DEN +15.6%

DEN +31.5%

DEN +26.4%

SEA -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	DEN	NBA	SEA	DEN	NBA
this game	15.2	13.9	15.7	120.2	125.3	100.5
season	15.6	14.9		105.0	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.7		101.1	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.8	15.3	15.2	15.6	15.2
DEN	12.4	16.0	13.0	14.4	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Radmanovic	53	50	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.04	10	-15	25	14.5	16.0	-1.59	15.2	12.5	2.71
Calvin Booth	34	32	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.12	10	-15	25	15.9	14.8	1.10	16.4	12.7	3.75
Antonio Daniels	41	39	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-5	5	17.1	13.8	3.34	14.6	13.4	1.14
Ronald Murray	54	53	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.08	-1	-4	3	14.0	16.6	-2.62	13.8	14.0	-0.23
Ansu Sesay	7	9	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	0	-5	15.0	15.2	-0.21	10.1	14.3	-4.17
Vitaly Potapenko	47	49	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.28	-5	0	-5	14.6	15.7	-1.18	13.0	14.8	-1.78
Ray Allen	85	86	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.33	-5	0	-5	15.5	13.4	2.14	14.1	12.4	1.74
Reggie Evans	49	49	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.05	-16	11	-27	16.1	14.3	1.72	12.6	15.1	-2.51
Brent Barry	47	49	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.41	-4	-1	-3	14.6	15.7	-1.05	13.3	14.5	-1.13
Rashard Lewis	78	79	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.47	-9	4	-13	15.0	15.8	-0.78	13.6	14.9	-1.32

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nene	75	74	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.48	9	-4	13	14.0	13.7	0.25	15.9	13.0	2.93
Marcus Camby	67	67	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.35	11	-6	17	12.3	17.3	-5.04	14.9	15.8	-0.87
Andre Miller	91	89	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.30	8	-3	11	13.6	16.7	-3.10	14.9	18.0	-3.12
Carmelo Anthony	93	92	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.38	3	2	1	13.8	15.2	-1.35	14.9	18.6	-3.64
Jon Barry	63	63	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.04	14	-9	23	13.2	15.1	-1.86	15.1	15.4	-0.31
Earl Boykins	39	40	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.30	-2	7	-9	15.1	13.1	2.03	16.0	14.6	1.36
Ryan Bowen	5	6	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	6	-7	11.0	14.1	-3.05	15.0	15.2	-0.20
Michael Doleac	7	7	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.00	-2	7	-9	11.9	14.1	-2.20	9.0	15.7	-6.66
Chris Andersen	39	39	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.02	-9	14	-23	16.3	12.3	3.97	15.6	14.9	0.74
Rodney White	17	19	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.07	-8	13	-21	17.1	13.2	3.89	15.4	15.1	0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.78,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.63,0.67,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 80, IND 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.41,0.54,0.61,0.81,0.78,0.95,1	92.0%
DAL 89, LAC 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.47,0.69,0.49,0.6,0.53,0.79,0.78,0.96,1	91.3%
LAL 103, CHA 104	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.55,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.71,0.81,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.98,1	91.1%