NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	107		Excitement	11.7 [26]		MVP	Jamal Murray (DEN): +41.0%
Denver Nuggets	108		Comeback	6.6 [240]		LVP	Devin Booker (PHX): -46.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Rubio	0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	-0.10	0.75	0.41	7	43%	0.40	5	-0.16	7	100%	0.28
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.23	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.16	0.10	0.03	12	77%	0.35	2	-0.11	6	100%	0.08
Tyler Johnson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	7	64%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	10	68%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jevon Carter	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.2,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	12	54%	0.22	2	-0.17	11	100%	0.15
Mikal Bridges	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cheick Diallo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	11	27%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	-0.47	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.26,-0.26,-0.28,-0.24,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.1,-0.1,-0.47	-0.12	-0.35	-0.01	21	37%	-0.34	3	-0.12	6	83%	0.03

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Murray	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.41	0.41	0.04	0.38	0.01	19	55%	0.51	3	-0.10	11	82%	0.15
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.21,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.12	0.21	-0.01	11	74%	0.35	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Gary Harris	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.21,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.04	0.18	-0.01	9	57%	0.26	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.02
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	6	57%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Will Barton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.04	0.02	6	36%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	11	52%	0.06	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	2	29%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Monte Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	6	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.13,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	18	51%	0.00	5	-0.11	9	78%	0.03
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	4	0%	-0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	28.0	15.0	26.2	2.3	46.3	3.5	18.2	165.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +47.5%

PHX -30.3%

PHX -6.1%

DEN +34.8%

DEN +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DEN	NBA	PHX	DEN	NBA
this game	14.3	15.4	14.2	100.0	100.9	109.6
season	14.1	15.0		110.9	112.0
opponent	14.5	14.1		110.7	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	13.7	12.0	17.4	14.6	14.5	14.3
DEN	17.6	15.7	14.7	14.2	14.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aron Baynes	61	61	0.29	-0.79	1.08	0.20	3	-4	7	13.5	15.4	-1.83	15.4	15.4	0.04
Mikal Bridges	27	26	0.22	-0.72	0.95	0.05	6	-7	13	13.0	14.8	-1.82	15.8	15.3	0.50
Cheick Diallo	4	5	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.04	3	-4	7	14.5	14.3	0.18	17.0	15.3	1.69
Ricky Rubio	76	76	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	0	-1	13.7	15.8	-2.08	15.2	15.8	-0.54
Frank Kaminsky	65	64	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.37	5	-6	11	14.9	13.5	1.44	15.4	15.3	0.07
Jevon Carter	31	31	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.25	0	-1	1	15.8	13.7	2.08	15.8	15.2	0.54
Kelly Oubre Jr.	72	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	10	-21	15.3	12.4	2.86	15.1	16.1	-0.99
Devin Booker	85	85	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.47	0	-1	1	14.2	14.7	-0.50	15.1	16.5	-1.34
Dario Saric	64	64	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.58	-6	5	-11	14.3	14.4	-0.15	15.5	15.2	0.31
Tyler Johnson	50	51	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.65	-4	3	-7	14.2	14.5	-0.28	15.7	15.1	0.67

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Jokic	82	83	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.26	8	-7	15	16.0	13.4	2.60	14.1	15.2	-1.08
Jerami Grant	64	63	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.58	-5	6	-11	14.9	16.1	-1.13	14.6	14.0	0.59
Jamal Murray	81	82	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	-2	5	15.7	14.4	1.28	14.4	14.2	0.11
Gary Harris	70	71	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.21	7	-6	13	15.2	15.7	-0.52	13.9	15.2	-1.39
Will Barton	41	43	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.10	13	-12	25	14.9	15.7	-0.83	15.1	13.8	1.36
Paul Millsap	43	43	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.05	5	-4	9	16.1	14.9	1.13	14.2	14.4	-0.20
Monte Morris	26	25	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	3	-5	14.4	15.7	-1.28	14.2	14.4	-0.11
Mason Plumlee	22	23	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	4	-7	15.1	15.5	-0.32	15.7	14.0	1.69
Torrey Craig	46	44	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.34	-13	14	-27	15.6	15.2	0.42	14.0	14.5	-0.52
Malik Beasley	50	47	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.05	-9	10	-19	15.2	15.5	-0.32	14.1	14.5	-0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.24,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.55,0.63,0.74,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.46,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 118, OKC 122	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.48,0.37,0.74,0.76,0.91,0.93,0.84,0.85,0.58,0.54,0.75,0.85,0.67,0.15,1	87.7%
LAC 115, MEM 119	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.35,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.74,0.89,0.83,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.73,0.46,0.55,0.71,0.78,0.84,1	87.1%
PHI 87, MIL 93	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.35,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.84,0.78,0.62,0.63,0.76,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.72,0.68,0.73,1	87.0%