NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	111		Excitement	7.1 [423]		MVP	Bryn Forbes (SAS): +24.1%
San Antonio Spurs	120		Comeback	3.8 [574]		LVP	Patty Mills (SAS): -11.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Knox II	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.08	0.12	-0.02	9	72%	0.25	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.03	-0.00	18	60%	0.17	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
RJ Barrett	0.11	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.05	0.01	13	70%	0.18	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.00
Marcus Morris Sr.	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.14	-0.05	0.06	18	63%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Bobby Portis	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	10	38%	0.00	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Dennis Smith Jr.	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allonzo Trier	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.04	-0.04	0.06	9	55%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	37%	0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.16	0.08	0.00	12	74%	0.24	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Dejounte Murray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.08	-0.01	10	78%	0.28	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	9	57%	0.10	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.04
Derrick White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	6	53%	0.09	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.02	0.04	4	80%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.01	0.04	15	63%	0.09	4	-0.09	5	100%	0.02
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.04	-0.02	10	42%	0.06	4	-0.09	11	64%	-0.04
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	11	36%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	31.6	14.8	29.3	1.0	31.2	133.6
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +16.5%

SAS +27.6%

SAS +21.5%

NYK -18.2%

SAS +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAS	NBA	NYK	SAS	NBA
this game	12.5	13.6	14.2	100.0	109.1	109.6
season	14.5	14.1		105.4	110.8
opponent	14.2	14.4		112.0	111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.3	12.1	11.1	12.6	12.5
SAS	14.0	12.3	14.1	14.1	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elfrid Payton	58	60	0.38	-0.88	1.26	-0.03	14	-23	37	11.2	13.8	-2.55	15.1	11.8	3.28
Taj Gibson	34	33	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.10	-4	-5	1	13.1	12.2	0.86	13.8	13.5	0.26
Allonzo Trier	18	17	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.08	-6	-3	-3	13.2	12.3	0.84	10.2	14.2	-3.99
Kevin Knox II	51	48	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.22	-11	2	-13	13.0	12.0	0.93	12.5	14.5	-2.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	23	21	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-6	3	13.8	12.1	1.67	14.4	13.4	1.01
Julius Randle	80	80	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.36	6	-15	21	12.3	12.8	-0.48	14.7	10.6	4.14
Frank Ntilikina	8	8	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	-3	-3	13.9	12.3	1.53	7.9	14.1	-6.18
Wayne Ellington	30	28	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.02	-13	4	-17	13.7	12.0	1.75	13.0	13.8	-0.77
RJ Barrett	86	87	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.40	-2	-7	5	12.2	13.4	-1.21	13.6	13.7	-0.05
Bobby Portis	77	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.34	-5	-4	-1	12.2	13.1	-0.86	13.5	13.8	-0.26
Marcus Morris Sr.	90	91	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.32	-15	6	-21	12.3	13.1	-0.78	13.4	14.8	-1.43

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trey Lyles	55	55	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.29	9	0	9	13.7	13.5	0.20	12.5	12.4	0.06
Bryn Forbes	74	73	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.39	4	5	-1	14.1	12.6	1.57	12.4	12.5	-0.06
DeMar DeRozan	73	72	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.43	2	7	-5	13.8	13.1	0.71	12.3	12.7	-0.40
Dejounte Murray	54	55	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	0	9	13.7	13.5	0.22	13.3	11.7	1.58
LaMarcus Aldridge	81	80	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.35	-3	12	-15	14.1	12.2	1.95	12.4	12.7	-0.35
Jakob Poeltl	38	39	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.13	9	0	9	12.6	14.2	-1.61	12.5	12.4	0.12
Patty Mills	38	40	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.13	8	1	7	11.9	14.5	-2.58	12.2	12.6	-0.41
Derrick White	50	50	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.03	2	7	-5	14.0	13.3	0.72	12.0	12.8	-0.76
Rudy Gay	46	48	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	6	-3	13.5	13.7	-0.26	12.5	12.4	0.11
Marco Belinelli	41	43	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.18	2	7	-5	13.2	13.9	-0.66	12.4	12.5	-0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.73,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.47,0.64,0.9,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 103, LAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.47,0.76,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.85,0.99,1	92.1%
SAC 102, GSW 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.32,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.76,0.78,0.86,0.96,0.97,0.98,1	90.9%
UTA 108, GSW 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.44,0.33,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.66,0.67,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1	90.7%