NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	122		Excitement	5.5 [757]		MVP	Terrence Ross (ORL): +49.9%
Charlotte Hornets	114		Comeback	1.7 [488]		LVP	Devonte' Graham (CHA): -7.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Ross	0.50	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.35,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5	0.29	0.18	-0.03	19	81%	0.50	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.03
Aaron Gordon	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.12	0.05	-0.05	18	67%	0.26	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
D.J. Augustin	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.04	-0.01	13	64%	0.17	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	5	57%	0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Wes Iwundu	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	58%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	15	42%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Amile Jefferson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Khem Birch	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jarell Martin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.30	0.10	0.06	25	75%	0.41	2	-0.08	7	100%	0.05
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.00	-0.00	12	73%	0.15	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.02
Miles Bridges	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	-0.01	13	64%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.01	6	50%	0.12	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	60%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwayne Bacon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	0.04	11	55%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devonte' Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.5	29.2	14.6	25.2	3.4	27.6	128.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +43.8%

CHA -15.2%

ORL +11.8%

ORL +9.5%

ORL +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CHA	NBA	ORL	CHA	NBA
this game	16.1	14.9	14.3	131.2	122.6	109.3
season	14.9	14.6		107.2	110.4
opponent	14.3	14.3		111.6	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.4	15.1	16.1	16.7	16.1
CHA	15.7	13.7	15.9	14.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrence Ross	61	59	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.16	15	-7	22	15.1	17.8	-2.73	14.9	14.9	-0.04
Michael Carter-Williams	45	45	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.00	18	-10	28	14.2	17.8	-3.68	15.7	14.2	1.46
Aaron Gordon	63	62	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.31	1	7	-6	17.4	13.2	4.16	14.5	15.8	-1.29
Khem Birch	44	44	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	6	-4	17.0	15.2	1.80	14.6	15.2	-0.53
Jarell Martin	39	40	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.06	11	-3	14	14.3	17.3	-2.96	16.3	13.8	2.48
Amile Jefferson	49	49	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.05	6	2	4	15.2	17.0	-1.80	15.2	14.6	0.53
D.J. Augustin	59	58	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.26	-4	12	-16	17.5	13.6	3.89	14.3	15.9	-1.60
Wes Iwundu	46	46	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	10	-12	16.6	15.5	1.10	14.3	15.5	-1.16
Evan Fournier	59	62	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.22	-7	15	-22	16.3	15.6	0.73	14.9	14.9	-0.03

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bismack Biyombo	50	51	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.16	8	-16	24	13.7	16.3	-2.67	17.1	14.8	2.31
Nicolas Batum	24	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.13	4	-12	16	15.7	14.6	1.07	16.5	15.9	0.55
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	4	4	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.05	-4	-4	0	17.5	14.8	2.70	11.2	16.3	-5.02
Kemba Walker	77	77	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.25	0	-8	8	14.6	16.2	-1.61	16.9	12.2	4.67
Miles Bridges	79	79	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.31	2	-10	12	14.5	17.2	-2.71	16.7	12.3	4.44
Jeremy Lamb	61	60	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.06	-7	-1	-6	15.1	14.5	0.58	15.7	16.7	-1.00
Devonte' Graham	31	31	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.06	-9	1	-10	16.5	14.1	2.40	13.5	17.4	-3.90
Malik Monk	34	35	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.15	-9	1	-10	14.8	15.0	-0.19	15.5	16.4	-0.82
Dwayne Bacon	68	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.27	-5	-3	-2	13.9	17.7	-3.78	16.4	15.1	1.28
Frank Kaminsky	37	36	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.01	-20	12	-32	17.5	13.2	4.36	14.3	17.1	-2.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.37,0.42,0.31,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.33,0.27,0.17,0.12,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 102, PHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,0	93.5%
NJN 104, NYK 95	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.29,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0	93.5%
BOS 94, HOU 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0	93.1%