NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	96		Excitement	5.2 [809]		MVP	Billy Garrett (NYK): +6.7%
Chicago Bulls	86		Comeback	1.0 [713]		LVP	JaKarr Sampson (CHI): -17.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Billy Garrett	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.05	-0.01	9	44%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Jenkins	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	7	64%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	57%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Henry Ellenson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	7	33%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Luke Kornet	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	14	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	0.01	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.05	-0.01	23	48%	0.07	4	-0.06	6	50%	-0.03
Damyean Dotson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	10	60%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hicks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Knox	-0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.02	0.05	16	47%	-0.06	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Arcidiacono	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	9	54%	0.05	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Brandon Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	7	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Shaquille Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	12	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Rawle Alkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter Lemon Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	9	43%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.02	0.05	9	60%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Wayne Selden	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	6	14%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	4	33%	-0.04	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
JaKarr Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	16	31%	-0.15	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.7	26.5	14.8	23.4	2.4	30.5	121.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +36.4%

CHI -2.2%

NYK +6.3%

NYK +8.2%

NYK +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHI	NBA	NYK	CHI	NBA
this game	15.4	14.1	14.3	98.0	88.7	109.3
season	14.5	14.6		103.8	104.2
opponent	14.3	14.1		112.4	112.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	11.4	16.6	15.2	19.7	15.4
CHI	13.9	15.4	13.1	14.3	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damyean Dotson	81	80	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.15	16	-6	22	16.0	12.5	3.55	14.9	10.4	4.50
Luke Kornet	79	77	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.12	14	-4	18	15.2	16.3	-1.13	14.7	11.9	2.80
Dennis Smith Jr.	69	69	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.03	15	-5	20	15.7	14.7	0.97	15.1	11.7	3.34
Kevin Knox	72	72	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	-2	14	14.3	18.4	-4.10	13.9	14.8	-0.96
Mitchell Robinson	74	73	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.01	10	0	10	14.5	18.1	-3.60	13.8	15.2	-1.39
Henry Ellenson	28	29	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	11	-12	17.7	14.5	3.23	12.8	14.7	-1.95
Billy Garrett	29	28	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.24	-5	15	-20	14.7	15.7	-0.97	11.7	15.1	-3.34
John Jenkins	43	42	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.27	-8	18	-26	16.1	14.9	1.18	13.0	14.9	-1.90
Isaiah Hicks	15	15	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.10	-3	13	-16	16.6	15.2	1.41	15.5	13.9	1.59

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rawle Alkins	25	25	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.16	4	-14	18	13.7	14.3	-0.54	18.0	14.5	3.43
JaKarr Sampson	65	67	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.38	7	-17	24	14.0	14.3	-0.33	15.5	15.1	0.41
Walter Lemon Jr.	34	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.23	1	-11	12	13.4	14.5	-1.05	17.4	14.3	3.09
Brandon Sampson	46	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.30	3	-13	16	13.2	15.0	-1.77	15.5	15.3	0.20
Robin Lopez	66	66	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	-1	-8	13.6	15.2	-1.52	14.0	18.4	-4.45
Ryan Arcidiacono	66	67	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	-1	-8	14.6	13.2	1.37	14.6	17.1	-2.52
Cristiano Felicio	31	32	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-9	8	15.2	13.6	1.52	18.4	14.0	4.45
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	51	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.07	-12	2	-14	15.0	13.1	1.93	15.3	15.6	-0.29
Wayne Selden	43	40	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.11	-15	5	-20	14.3	14.0	0.36	15.4	15.4	-0.06
Shaquille Harrison	58	61	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.05	-19	9	-28	14.1	14.2	-0.05	14.0	17.7	-3.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.33,0.37,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.26,0.16,0.25,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.04,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 92, WAS 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
IND 100, HOU 91	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.16,0.1,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	94.0%
CLE 89, TOR 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.03,0.01,0	93.6%