NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	110		Excitement	9.1 [165]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (SAS): +26.8%
San Antonio Spurs	116		Comeback	3.6 [758]		LVP	Cedi Osman (CLE): -17.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Nwaba	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.05	0.00	6	92%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.02	7	81%	0.30	2	-0.17	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Love	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.01	13	64%	0.15	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Knight	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	-0.00	9	78%	0.20	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.02	5	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marquese Chriss	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Collin Sexton	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.11	-0.12	0.01	17	67%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Clarkson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	15	31%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Cedi Osman	-0.17	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.17	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	13	35%	-0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.18	0.09	0.00	12	86%	0.32	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.04
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.14	0.12	0.01	13	70%	0.25	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.11	-0.00	11	73%	0.25	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.00	5	90%	0.18	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.05	0.01	3	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	11	50%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.14,0.14,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.04	0.01	10	55%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Lonnie Walker IV	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.10	0.00	15	42%	-0.05	1	-0.08	3	67%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.6	24.5	15.3	24.3	2.3	30.5	121.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +38.6%

SAS +7.0%

CLE -12.2%

SAS +14.6%

SAS +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	SAS	NBA	CLE	SAS	NBA
this game	15.2	14.8	14.3	113.4	122.1	109.3
season	15.5	14.8		106.3	111.7
opponent	14.4	13.9		110.4	116.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.1	14.8	17.0	13.7	15.2
SAS	14.9	15.8	13.5	15.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marquese Chriss	27	26	0.16	-0.66	0.83	0.02	5	-11	16	13.0	16.0	-3.04	14.0	15.2	-1.16
David Nwaba	37	38	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.11	8	-14	22	13.9	15.9	-2.04	15.4	14.5	0.88
Jordan Clarkson	42	43	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.06	3	-9	12	14.6	15.6	-0.94	14.5	15.1	-0.60
Nik Stauskas	19	18	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.07	1	-7	8	13.9	15.4	-1.50	14.0	15.0	-1.04
Tristan Thompson	42	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.06	-4	-2	-2	16.0	14.5	1.57	15.3	14.5	0.79
Larry Nance Jr.	56	55	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.31	2	-8	10	14.7	15.8	-1.04	14.9	14.8	0.03
Brandon Knight	64	63	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.26	-6	0	-6	15.3	14.9	0.33	15.3	13.8	1.51
Collin Sexton	70	67	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.24	-12	6	-18	15.5	14.2	1.34	14.6	15.5	-0.88
Cedi Osman	60	58	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.24	-14	8	-22	15.9	13.9	2.04	14.7	15.1	-0.35
Kevin Love	68	66	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.30	-13	7	-20	16.0	13.1	2.88	14.9	14.7	0.27

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMar DeRozan	67	69	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.40	13	-7	20	14.8	14.9	-0.12	15.7	13.9	1.77
Rudy Gay	55	56	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.21	16	-10	26	14.0	16.0	-2.09	15.9	14.1	1.83
Derrick White	39	39	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.04	17	-11	28	14.7	14.9	-0.17	16.2	14.5	1.67
Marco Belinelli	46	47	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.45	0	6	-6	14.2	15.4	-1.21	14.3	16.0	-1.66
LaMarcus Aldridge	69	70	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.26	1	5	-4	15.1	14.1	1.00	15.5	14.2	1.29
Jakob Poeltl	39	40	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	4	-2	15.1	14.6	0.49	14.5	15.6	-1.16
Patty Mills	47	49	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.35	-8	14	-22	14.7	15.0	-0.32	14.2	16.1	-1.96
Lonnie Walker IV	5	5	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	7	-8	16.2	14.8	1.43	16.2	15.1	1.10
Davis Bertans	33	34	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.11	-6	12	-18	14.1	15.2	-1.10	13.8	15.9	-2.14
Dante Cunningham	7	8	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	10	-14	17.7	14.6	3.10	12.6	15.4	-2.76
Bryn Forbes	68	68	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.18	0	6	-6	15.7	12.7	2.99	15.7	14.0	1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.36,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.86,0.68,0.53,0.6,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.83,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 104, POR 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.71,0.47,0.62,0.71,0.85,0.73,1	91.6%
CHI 98, MIA 106	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.52,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.66,0.76,0.58,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.66,0.94,0.99,1	90.1%
ATL 109, HOU 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.2,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.39,0.32,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.61,0.38,0.54,0.77,0.73,1	90.0%