NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	118		Excitement	9.5 [126]		MVP	Julius Randle (NOP): +37.3%
New Orleans Pelicans	121		Comeback	2.0 [425]		LVP	Marvin Bagley III (SAC): -22.2%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Cauley-Stein	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.15	0.12	0.01	9	82%	0.26	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Corey Brewer	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.07	0.00	2	150%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	21	59%	0.23	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.05
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.00	10	70%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	4	75%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	22	53%	0.17	2	-0.13	3	67%	-0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.13	-0.01	-0.12	0.00	10	45%	-0.06	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Bagley III	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.22,-0.22	-0.07	-0.16	-0.00	12	37%	-0.18	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julius Randle	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.23,0.15,0.21,0.36,0.32,0.23,0.37	0.37	0.13	0.20	-0.04	24	62%	0.50	3	-0.13	7	100%	0.05
Christian Wood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.16	0.13	0.01	16	71%	0.32	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	8	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	7	71%	0.12	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	86%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Cheick Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	78%	0.08	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Ian Clark	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.10	0.11	-0.02	11	27%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dairis Bertans	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	0.00	14	53%	0.10	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Kenrich Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	9	28%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.4	29.8	14.6	25.5	2.6	25.7	122.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +52.9%

NOP +1.0%

SAC -2.6%

SAC -0.4%

SAC -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NOP	NBA	SAC	NOP	NBA
this game	13.3	13.7	14.3	110.3	114.2	109.3
season	13.3	13.4		109.2	110.2
opponent	14.2	14.3		111.5	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.7	12.2	11.6	15.2	13.3
NOP	13.6	15.0	12.8	13.6	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Brewer	31	30	0.24	-0.74	0.97	0.09	5	-8	13	14.1	13.0	1.11	14.2	13.6	0.65
Yogi Ferrell	37	35	0.21	-0.71	0.91	0.15	2	-5	7	15.0	12.4	2.63	13.7	13.7	-0.03
Nemanja Bjelica	18	18	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-2	1	13.9	13.2	0.76	13.7	13.7	-0.08
Willie Cauley-Stein	76	77	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.42	6	-9	15	13.0	14.1	-1.16	13.9	13.4	0.49
Harrison Barnes	82	82	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.43	6	-9	15	12.7	15.4	-2.68	13.1	15.7	-2.60
Bogdan Bogdanovic	42	40	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	7	-17	13.3	13.3	-0.04	13.6	13.8	-0.18
Kosta Koufos	31	29	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.01	-9	6	-15	14.1	13.0	1.16	13.4	13.9	-0.49
De'Aaron Fox	84	84	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.39	2	-5	7	13.2	13.7	-0.44	13.6	14.2	-0.56
Buddy Hield	74	75	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.50	-8	5	-13	12.9	14.2	-1.22	13.6	14.2	-0.60
Marvin Bagley III	60	60	-0.84	0.34	-1.17	-0.60	-8	5	-13	13.1	13.6	-0.44	14.8	12.3	2.45

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julius Randle	73	72	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.45	10	-7	17	13.5	14.2	-0.60	12.4	15.1	-2.64
Kenrich Williams	71	71	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.45	9	-6	15	14.2	12.7	1.48	12.7	14.4	-1.71
Ian Clark	73	73	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.50	4	-1	5	14.1	13.0	1.07	12.4	15.3	-2.87
Christian Wood	57	60	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.38	1	2	-1	14.1	13.3	0.84	13.9	12.5	1.46
Elfrid Payton	82	83	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.46	-5	8	-13	13.1	15.9	-2.82	13.3	13.5	-0.25
Darius Miller	34	34	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.01	5	-2	7	15.1	13.1	1.99	13.7	13.1	0.54
Cheick Diallo	32	33	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.05	2	1	1	13.1	14.0	-0.88	15.2	12.5	2.67
Stanley Johnson	41	42	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.10	2	1	1	13.7	13.7	-0.01	14.5	12.5	2.04
Jahlil Okafor	50	49	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.04	-7	10	-17	14.0	13.5	0.42	12.6	13.9	-1.40
Dairis Bertans	17	18	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.06	-6	9	-15	10.6	14.3	-3.68	15.9	12.8	3.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.77,0.48,0.7,0.66,0.48,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.55,0.63,0.69,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 97, ORL 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.31,0.46,0.68,0.84,1	91.4%
ORL 110, BKN 114	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.48,0.43,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.62,0.57,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.63,0.77,0.92,1	91.4%
VAN 84, PHX 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.33,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.62,0.89,0.77,0.96,1	91.3%