NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	110		Excitement	9.5 [132]		MVP	Spencer Dinwiddie (BKN): +29.9%
Brooklyn Nets	114		Comeback	2.2 [649]		LVP	Nikola Vucevic (ORL): -48.2%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonathon Simmons	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.05	0.01	5	81%	0.14	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Mo Bamba	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	4	70%	0.13	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Aaron Gordon	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	9	56%	0.11	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	-0.05	0.01	11	66%	0.15	2	-0.13	7	100%	0.04
Isaiah Briscoe	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerian Grant	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.00	5	43%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Jonathan Isaac	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	-0.07	0.01	12	62%	0.07	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Terrence Ross	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	12	35%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.05
Evan Fournier	-0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	11	36%	-0.09	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Nikola Vucevic	-0.48	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.15,-0.15,-0.32,-0.48	-0.04	-0.43	0.01	20	50%	-0.12	4	-0.37	2	100%	0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.43,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.19	0.10	-0.01	17	69%	0.38	1	-0.08	8	87%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.25,0.26	0.26	0.07	0.17	-0.02	13	59%	0.29	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.05	0.01	21	53%	0.16	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.01
Rodions Kurucs	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	9	65%	0.12	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.04
Joe Harris	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	10	59%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Treveon Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.4	27.5	14.7	27.3	1.7	37.0	134.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +60.0%

ORL -14.5%

ORL -6.5%

BKN +9.3%

BKN +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	BKN	NBA	ORL	BKN	NBA
this game	14.6	13.3	14.3	105.8	110.7	109.3
season	14.9	14.3		107.2	108.6
opponent	14.0	14.3		109.1	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.2	16.4	15.2	13.7	14.6
BKN	13.5	12.4	13.0	14.0	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathon Simmons	51	52	0.26	-0.76	1.02	-0.00	9	-13	22	12.8	16.2	-3.38	14.8	11.7	3.14
Isaiah Briscoe	2	2	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.02	-2	-2	0	12.5	14.6	-2.11	18.0	13.2	4.84
Jerian Grant	40	40	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	1	-6	14.8	14.4	0.34	13.4	13.2	0.20
Mo Bamba	31	30	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.13	-13	9	-22	16.2	13.9	2.32	12.9	13.4	-0.54
Nikola Vucevic	73	73	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.52	9	-13	22	13.9	16.2	-2.32	13.4	12.9	0.54
D.J. Augustin	62	61	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.48	6	-10	16	14.5	14.7	-0.17	13.0	13.6	-0.58
Aaron Gordon	55	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.12	-16	12	-28	15.4	13.6	1.84	12.7	13.8	-1.09
Jonathan Isaac	75	77	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.48	4	-8	12	14.2	15.5	-1.27	13.3	13.0	0.29
Terrence Ross	57	56	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.47	-1	-3	2	14.8	14.3	0.53	13.3	13.2	0.07
Evan Fournier	74	72	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.27	-11	7	-18	15.3	12.8	2.48	12.4	15.2	-2.78

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D'Angelo Russell	71	72	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.30	17	-13	30	13.1	13.5	-0.40	15.3	12.9	2.44
DeMarre Carroll	70	70	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.38	5	-1	6	13.6	12.4	1.22	13.9	15.9	-1.91
Joe Harris	68	67	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.41	0	4	-4	12.9	13.9	-0.96	14.4	14.9	-0.55
Jarrett Allen	64	65	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.38	0	4	-4	13.0	13.7	-0.79	14.4	14.9	-0.53
Rodions Kurucs	50	53	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.05	12	-8	20	11.6	14.8	-3.25	15.2	13.9	1.38
Shabazz Napier	25	26	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	-2	8	12.7	13.4	-0.70	17.6	13.6	4.06
Spencer Dinwiddie	63	64	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.40	-8	12	-20	14.2	11.8	2.33	13.7	15.9	-2.12
Ed Davis	38	39	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	3	-2	13.9	12.8	1.10	14.9	14.4	0.53
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	13	13	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	8	-12	14.8	13.0	1.74	12.1	14.9	-2.85
Treveon Graham	54	52	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.09	-9	13	-22	13.3	13.2	0.17	14.0	15.2	-1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.48,0.43,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.62,0.57,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.63,0.77,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 104, MIA 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.64,0.91,0.99,1	92.4%
ATL 98, ORL 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.48,0.32,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.29,0.54,0.9,0.91,1	92.3%
PHI 97, ORL 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.31,0.46,0.68,0.84,1	91.5%