inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 98 Excitement3.3 [1157] MVPWayne Ellington (DET): +16.9%
Detroit Pistons 115 Comeback1.2 [886] LVPMichael Carter-Williams (ORL): -7.6%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Aaron Gordon0.040,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.08-0.010.031269%0.073-0.035100%0.00
Wes Iwundu0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.100.000.072133%0.0300.002100%0.00
D.J. Augustin0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.06-0.010.031267%0.073-0.05367%-0.01
Khem Birch0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02356%0.0000.00333%0.00
Jerian Grant0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jarell Martin0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Amile Jefferson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Evan Fournier-0.020,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.021542%0.002-0.0210%-0.00
Terrence Ross-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.00-0.010.031138%-0.0500.004100%0.00
Jonathan Isaac-0.050,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.011436%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Nikola Vucevic-0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.12-0.00-0.051537%-0.034-0.032100%0.01
Michael Carter-Williams-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.00-0.0260%-0.0800.0000%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wayne Ellington0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.210.000.041678%0.1700.0000%0.00
Thon Maker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.01-0.014100%0.0810.0000%0.00
Blake Griffin0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.000.01-0.061851%0.093-0.02367%-0.00
Ish Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.01-0.021454%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Luke Kennard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.00-0.01560%0.0500.0000%0.00
Andre Drummond0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.08-0.000.041078%0.073-0.0330%-0.01
Bruce Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.001150%0.0400.0000%0.00
Langston Galloway0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.060.000.05960%0.0100.002100%0.00
Jon Leuer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Khyri Thomas00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.04-0.00-0.03050%0.002-0.01250%-0.00
Reggie Jackson0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.080.00-0.03828%-0.031-0.02250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.52.326.715.326.51.730.2123.1
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +64.7%
ORL -7.2%
ORL -12.9%
DET +3.9%
DET +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLDETNBAORLDETNBA
this game15.415.714.3106.5123.7109.3
season14.915.3107.2107.5
opponent14.014.3109.0107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL16.417.214.513.715.4
DET14.215.516.216.915.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Wes Iwundu38390.09-0.590.69-0.2010-273712.517.5-4.9616.914.92.03
Jerian Grant550.00-0.500.500.000-17179.015.8-6.7814.815.8-0.97
Jarell Martin550.00-0.500.500.000-17179.015.8-6.7814.815.8-0.97
Amile Jefferson550.00-0.500.500.000-17179.015.8-6.7814.815.8-0.97
Michael Carter-Williams2625-0.20-0.300.100.04-8-9119.413.85.5414.216.3-2.02
Khem Birch2425-0.20-0.300.09-0.09-4-13917.514.72.7714.516.2-1.64
Terrence Ross6162-0.25-0.250.00-0.281-181914.716.8-2.1016.314.61.61
Nikola Vucevic6465-0.30-0.20-0.090.09-13-4-914.916.6-1.6716.214.61.64
D.J. Augustin6163-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.04-9-8-114.217.7-3.4616.414.32.05
Aaron Gordon6363-0.31-0.19-0.120.13-15-2-1315.116.0-0.8616.314.61.70
Evan Fournier5556-0.48-0.02-0.470.28-269-3517.312.74.5814.617.4-2.71
Jonathan Isaac5352-0.550.05-0.600.07-214-2517.612.45.2114.816.9-2.03

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andre Drummond74740.420.080.34-0.1921-42516.114.21.9014.817.8-3.01
Luke Kennard39390.400.100.31-0.071611515.216.1-0.8417.114.22.93
Reggie Jackson39380.340.160.17-0.2219-22114.916.3-1.3715.915.10.82
Blake Griffin64630.320.180.14-0.151611516.114.91.2515.116.0-0.86
Wayne Ellington61610.250.250.000.07611-516.414.51.8614.018.3-4.29
Thon Maker29290.180.32-0.140.15116-1514.916.1-1.2516.015.10.86
Bruce Brown30290.180.32-0.14-0.231431114.516.3-1.8517.114.72.42
Langston Galloway54540.160.34-0.170.22-219-2116.314.91.3715.115.9-0.82
Ish Smith54540.160.34-0.170.22-219-2116.314.91.3715.115.9-0.82
Zaza Pachulia17170.080.42-0.340.20-421-2514.815.9-1.1018.414.73.68
Jon Leuer210.000.50-0.500.00017-179.015.9-6.878.015.5-7.49
Khyri Thomas210.000.50-0.500.00017-179.015.9-6.878.015.5-7.49


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.66,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 84, PHX 1040.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.78,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
WAS 109, CHA 1330.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
MIN 69, SAS 860.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%