inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 109 Excitement3.2 [1161] MVPKemba Walker (CHA): +14.6%
Charlotte Hornets 133 Comeback1.1 [815] LVPMarcin Gortat (WAS): -6.4%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Scott0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.150.000.081082%0.0700.002100%0.01
Tomas Satoransky0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.01375%0.041-0.002100%0.00
Ian Mahinmi0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00267%0.0200.002100%0.01
Jodie Meeks0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01378%0.022-0.00367%0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.05-0.000.04973%0.063-0.04475%-0.01
Bradley Beal0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.04-0.010.021965%0.115-0.102100%0.01
John Wall0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.02-0.01-0.031155%0.053-0.0400%0.00
Chris McCullough0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tim Frazier0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0000.0020%-0.00
Jason Smith-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.02856%-0.0010.002100%0.00
Otto Porter Jr.-0.000,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00643%-0.0000.00250%-0.01
Markieff Morris-0.020,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.060.00-0.04520%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Marcin Gortat-0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.0130%-0.0600.0020%-0.03

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kemba Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.070.01-0.071558%0.161-0.013100%0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.150.000.041175%0.1100.00683%0.00
Marvin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.090.00-0.01780%0.121-0.011100%0.00
Frank Kaminsky0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.030.02-0.031448%0.0900.001100%-0.00
Jeremy Lamb0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.150.000.09989%0.0600.0000%0.00
Treveon Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.01-0.02664%0.0610.002100%0.00
Dwight Howard0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.000.021358%0.052-0.04580%-0.00
Nicolas Batum0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01861%0.042-0.04250%-0.01
Julyan Stone00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Malik Monk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dwayne Bacon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Carter-Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.000.02237%-0.0300.00475%-0.01
Johnny O'Bryant III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.020.000.00650%-0.032-0.002100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.12.428.415.326.72.433.4133.8
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +29.3%
CHA +3.9%
CHA +8.9%
CHA +8.8%
WAS -0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASCHANBAWASCHANBA
this game12.715.414.7105.8130.4107.5
season14.814.6108.2108.7
opponent14.514.7108.5107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS13.012.712.512.412.7
CHA13.615.016.317.115.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kelly Oubre Jr.55540.02-0.520.53-0.073-273012.413.0-0.5416.714.12.60
Chris McCullough1514-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-232211.412.9-1.4915.415.4-0.01
Tim Frazier65-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-232215.812.53.3610.615.7-5.09
Jason Smith2927-0.01-0.490.49-0.010-242411.713.1-1.3617.314.82.57
Ian Mahinmi1919-0.03-0.470.44-0.00-1-232213.312.50.7914.415.7-1.32
Markieff Morris3133-0.14-0.360.230.16-10-14413.212.40.8016.514.91.54
Mike Scott5453-0.18-0.320.150.06-8-16813.212.01.2015.615.20.38
Jodie Meeks4342-0.20-0.300.090.09-10-14412.712.60.1315.615.30.26
Bradley Beal6060-0.30-0.20-0.090.11-14-10-412.612.7-0.1315.315.6-0.26
Tomas Satoransky5655-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.01-11-13212.413.0-0.5716.114.71.33
John Wall5353-0.38-0.12-0.260.21-20-4-1612.413.0-0.5615.015.9-0.96
Otto Porter Jr.5051-0.46-0.04-0.420.24-240-2412.812.50.3314.616.3-1.71
Marcin Gortat4444-0.49-0.01-0.480.18-23-1-2212.712.60.1013.616.9-3.29

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist52510.490.010.47-0.2826-22814.116.8-2.7013.312.11.24
Marvin Williams49480.440.060.38-0.2925-12614.216.6-2.4612.912.50.46
Dwight Howard76790.360.140.22-0.171861215.315.8-0.4912.812.10.76
Nicolas Batum56570.320.180.15-0.171771014.616.4-1.7712.912.30.58
Kemba Walker62620.320.180.13-0.091410415.615.20.3112.213.4-1.24
Michael Carter-Williams31320.180.32-0.13-0.111014-414.415.9-1.4714.811.73.11
Treveon Graham46460.180.32-0.15-0.03717-1016.414.61.7712.312.9-0.58
Johnny O'Bryant III41400.150.35-0.21-0.06717-1016.115.01.0613.112.40.66
Frank Kaminsky47480.060.44-0.380.21-529-3416.614.52.0613.212.21.01
Jeremy Lamb41430.010.49-0.470.07-226-2816.514.71.8312.812.60.25
Julyan Stone670.000.50-0.50-0.12420-1617.215.31.837.313.1-5.78
Malik Monk990.000.50-0.500.00024-2418.115.22.938.413.1-4.63
Dwayne Bacon990.000.50-0.500.00024-2418.115.22.938.413.1-4.63


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 98, DET 1150.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.66,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
MIN 81, POR 1110.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%
SAC 117, DAL 1270.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,196.5%