NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	100		Excitement	4.1 [1014]		MVP	Derrick Favors (UTA): +11.6%
Utah Jazz	115		Comeback	1.0 [1309]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (LAL): -15.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Moritz Wagner	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	9	59%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Alex Caruso	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	10	59%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Lance Stephenson	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	11	38%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.05	9	35%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Isaac Bonga	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Machado	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	4	87%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.05	18	52%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	15	50%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Johnathan Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.02
Rajon Rondo	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	11	14%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.03	-0.01	13	61%	0.14	1	-0.02	7	29%	-0.05
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.15	0.01	0.06	12	73%	0.10	0	0.00	6	67%	0.01
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	9	67%	0.09	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.01	0.05	5	79%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	10	55%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.01	-0.06	11	39%	0.04	2	-0.03	6	67%	0.02
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	9	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	3.4	27.6	15.3	33.0	3.0	32.2	138.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +44.5%

UTA +2.9%

UTA +9.1%

LAL -5.9%

LAL -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	UTA	NBA	LAL	UTA	NBA
this game	14.8	13.4	14.3	99.0	111.7	109.3
season	13.5	14.3		107.2	109.3
opponent	14.3	14.2		105.2	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.4	15.0	14.7	15.2	14.8
UTA	13.3	13.8	11.0	16.1	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Machado	31	30	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.08	3	-18	21	14.8	14.8	0.05	15.9	12.5	3.41
Isaac Bonga	21	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-18	21	14.7	14.8	-0.17	13.8	13.3	0.49
Moritz Wagner	40	41	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.33	11	-26	37	14.9	14.7	0.16	15.1	12.4	2.74
Johnathan Williams	45	44	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-15	15	15.2	14.4	0.80	15.1	12.2	2.87
Alex Caruso	57	56	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-15	15	14.2	15.6	-1.36	13.6	13.2	0.43
JaVale McGee	65	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.17	-20	5	-25	14.9	14.6	0.30	12.6	15.1	-2.44
Rajon Rondo	54	57	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.08	-12	-3	-9	14.8	14.8	-0.05	13.0	14.0	-0.92
Lance Stephenson	67	68	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.13	-20	5	-25	14.6	15.1	-0.52	12.8	14.6	-1.79
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	58	59	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.20	-23	8	-31	15.3	14.1	1.28	12.8	14.4	-1.60
Kyle Kuzma	67	69	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.00	-17	2	-19	14.6	15.2	-0.61	12.4	15.5	-3.11

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gobert	69	67	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.28	28	-13	41	12.8	14.9	-2.10	15.3	13.7	1.61
Ricky Rubio	63	59	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.25	27	-12	39	12.8	14.5	-1.72	15.7	13.5	2.15
Donovan Mitchell	73	71	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.23	24	-9	33	13.3	13.7	-0.36	15.5	13.3	2.18
Joe Ingles	64	64	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.04	12	3	9	13.8	12.9	0.88	14.3	15.7	-1.38
Royce O'Neale	42	42	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.04	6	9	-3	13.2	13.6	-0.35	15.6	14.2	1.40
Derrick Favors	50	48	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.12	3	12	-9	14.2	12.7	1.50	14.5	15.1	-0.58
Jae Crowder	53	54	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.02	4	11	-7	13.0	13.9	-0.96	14.4	15.3	-0.89
Thabo Sefolosha	22	22	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.13	8	7	1	14.1	13.3	0.82	16.0	14.5	1.59
Ekpe Udoh	7	7	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.19	-6	21	-27	14.1	13.4	0.75	11.6	15.0	-3.47
Kyle Korver	32	33	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	21	-27	13.9	13.3	0.62	13.3	15.5	-2.27
Grayson Allen	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	22	-29	16.4	13.3	3.10	13.7	14.8	-1.10
Georges Niang	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	22	-29	16.4	13.3	3.10	13.7	14.8	-1.10
Raul Neto	30	30	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.28	-11	26	-37	13.7	13.3	0.40	13.3	15.5	-2.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 63, MIA 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
MIA 96, IND 107	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
IND 90, MIA 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.7,0.63,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.3%