NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	106		Excitement	7.4 [418]		MVP	LeBron James (LAL): +9.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	111		Comeback	1.6 [564]		LVP	De'Aaron Fox (SAC): -25.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Bagley III	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	19	54%	0.08	1	-0.02	8	37%	-0.07
Buddy Hield	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	-0.03	0.05	-0.03	21	42%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Harrison Barnes	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	62%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Nemanja Bjelica	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	0.07	-0.09	0.01	12	61%	0.05	1	-0.08	4	50%	-0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	9	41%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Kosta Koufos	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.29,-0.25,-0.25	-0.15	-0.10	0.01	16	26%	-0.20	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.02,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.08	0.02	22	55%	0.18	4	-0.08	9	89%	0.07
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.02	0.10	-0.01	6	43%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	-0.03	0.03	8	94%	0.16	2	-0.10	2	50%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.04	-0.00	22	59%	0.10	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.02
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	80%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	15	50%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Scott Machado	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	75%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Rajon Rondo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	6	25%	-0.06	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.6	30.4	14.7	27.6	2.3	39.5	141.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +32.8%

LAL +28.0%

LAL +29.2%

SAC -41.0%

LAL +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAL	NBA	SAC	LAL	NBA
this game	14.2	13.0	14.3	100.0	104.7	109.3
season	13.3	13.5		109.2	107.2
opponent	14.2	14.3		108.7	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.5	12.6	15.0	14.5	14.2
LAL	13.2	15.7	9.9	13.7	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Brewer	29	31	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.11	11	-16	27	15.0	13.9	1.11	14.8	12.3	2.54
Yogi Ferrell	41	42	0.15	-0.65	0.81	-0.11	9	-14	23	14.9	13.7	1.25	14.7	11.9	2.78
Marvin Bagley III	78	77	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.42	11	-16	27	14.2	14.1	0.02	13.8	10.8	3.05
Bogdan Bogdanovic	61	61	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.29	5	-10	15	15.0	13.1	1.90	14.0	11.6	2.45
Willie Cauley-Stein	42	42	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	4	-13	13.0	14.9	-1.88	11.6	14.0	-2.38
Nemanja Bjelica	46	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.11	-6	1	-7	13.7	14.5	-0.90	12.3	13.6	-1.32
Kosta Koufos	24	21	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.07	-13	8	-21	17.2	13.3	3.89	13.0	13.0	0.05
Harrison Barnes	73	75	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.28	-8	3	-11	13.9	14.8	-0.96	12.4	14.5	-2.13
Buddy Hield	71	70	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.26	-11	6	-17	13.4	15.7	-2.23	12.4	14.2	-1.79
De'Aaron Fox	65	64	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.24	-14	9	-23	13.7	14.9	-1.25	11.9	14.7	-2.78

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaVale McGee	67	65	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.24	16	-11	27	12.0	14.8	-2.82	15.0	12.8	2.21
LeBron James	82	79	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.37	5	0	5	12.7	14.0	-1.23	14.2	14.0	0.22
Rajon Rondo	82	84	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.19	11	-6	17	12.4	15.0	-2.63	14.1	14.5	-0.43
Alex Caruso	38	37	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.43	2	3	-1	14.2	12.3	1.87	14.3	14.1	0.21
Kyle Kuzma	90	89	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.30	6	-1	7	12.7	14.7	-1.98	14.0	14.8	-0.72
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	75	77	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	1	3	12.7	13.9	-1.22	13.8	15.2	-1.39
Tyson Chandler	33	34	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.05	-2	7	-9	13.7	12.7	0.95	13.5	14.5	-0.97
Scott Machado	4	3	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.08	-5	10	-15	14.7	12.9	1.81	10.7	14.3	-3.60
Moritz Wagner	9	10	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.01	-4	9	-13	16.0	12.7	3.27	17.1	13.9	3.25
Lance Stephenson	50	52	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.12	-8	13	-21	14.9	11.3	3.54	13.9	14.4	-0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.5,0.59,0.8,0.87,0.78,0.76,0.89,0.94,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.87,0.87,0.95,0.94,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.65,0.67,0.81,0.71,0.94,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 80, SAS 81	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.7,0.65,0.78,0.9,0.83,0.91,0.73,1	92.7%
IND 94, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.78,0.81,0.66,0.69,0.89,0.93,0.98,1	92.2%
IND 102, OKC 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.61,0.49,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.76,0.53,0.69,0.71,0.85,0.99,1	92.0%