inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 117 Excitement8.2 [288] MVPJaylen Brown (BOS): +33.4%
Charlotte Hornets 124 Comeback269.3 [4] LVPMarcus Smart (BOS): -15.4%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jaylen Brown0.330,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.330.250.100.021388%0.341-0.00757%-0.03
Terry Rozier0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.10.09-0.00-0.01875%0.1000.0000%0.00
Marcus Morris0.050,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.050.050.000.001358%0.081-0.0300%0.00
Daniel Theis0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.020.00362%0.0400.00250%-0.01
Semi Ojeleye0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.01-0.01-0.03362%0.061-0.042100%0.01
Robert Williams III-0.000,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Guerschon Yabusele-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jayson Tatum-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05-0.07-0.02-0.041735%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Kyrie Irving-0.090,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.1,-0.090.13-0.22-0.012362%0.133-0.22475%0.01
Marcus Smart-0.150,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.11-0.06-0.011030%-0.033-0.1200%0.00

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kemba Walker0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.43,0.330.330.180.190.052562%0.432-0.108100%0.03
Malik Monk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.070.05-0.00681%0.182-0.064100%0.03
Marvin Williams0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.080.080.020.060.00959%0.142-0.064100%0.07
Miles Bridges0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.040.040.12-0.040.041371%0.101-0.06250%-0.01
Dwayne Bacon0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.03-0.001046%0.0300.00450%-0.02
Frank Kaminsky0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.00470%0.071-0.042100%0.01
Bismack Biyombo0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.000.00350%-0.0000.0020%-0.04
Willy Hernangomez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.00850%0.032-0.0500%0.00
Jeremy Lamb0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.021136%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Devonte' Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.020.00629%-0.0500.00250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.01.624.515.327.62.435.2133.5
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +5.9%
CHA +17.9%
CHA +25.2%
CHA +4.3%
BOS -3.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSCHANBABOSCHANBA
this game14.314.014.3113.6122.8109.3
season13.914.6109.9110.4
opponent14.314.7111.6106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS13.216.413.214.414.3
CHA15.113.015.112.814.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Daniel Theis33340.44-0.941.380.0015-223712.715.0-2.3315.613.12.51
Guerschon Yabusele39370.15-0.650.800.063-101314.514.10.3414.913.41.48
Semi Ojeleye2121-0.06-0.440.390.03-3-4114.314.20.1016.913.23.63
Marcus Smart5353-0.08-0.420.350.10-6-1-515.113.41.7013.514.5-0.95
Robert Williams III2020-0.27-0.23-0.040.05-114-1516.513.72.7912.314.4-2.10
Jaylen Brown6965-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.403-101313.016.8-3.7914.014.00.01
Marcus Morris7674-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.23-6-1-514.812.62.2013.515.2-1.70
Terry Rozier5048-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.39-1-6513.415.1-1.7014.513.50.95
Kyrie Irving7776-0.680.18-0.86-0.39-103-1313.616.2-2.5913.415.8-2.42
Jayson Tatum7777-0.870.37-1.24-0.31-1912-3115.410.84.6613.515.6-2.16

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marvin Williams63640.92-0.421.330.2423-163912.915.8-2.9815.512.13.42
Dwayne Bacon67680.90-0.401.300.3120-133313.115.6-2.4714.913.01.85
Kemba Walker74750.88-0.381.250.2621-143513.116.5-3.4614.613.21.38
Miles Bridges73740.83-0.331.170.3317-102713.216.1-2.9414.713.11.65
Devonte' Graham43440.60-0.100.710.4361514.113.90.1613.714.6-0.92
Bismack Biyombo1918-0.050.55-0.61-0.02-18-913.714.0-0.3616.613.82.86
Malik Monk3335-0.300.80-1.11-0.04-916-2516.112.93.1813.314.7-1.42
Frank Kaminsky3637-0.390.89-1.27-0.03-1219-3115.912.92.9714.014.4-0.44
Willy Hernangomez3638-0.390.89-1.27-0.06-1118-2915.313.22.1012.115.5-3.49
Jeremy Lamb6162-0.501.00-1.500.06-1926-4515.112.32.8213.016.2-3.27


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.4,0.46,0.53,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.44,0.33,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.04,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.22,0.69,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 75, SAS 770.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.42,190.8%
MIN 92, UTA 980.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.15,0.72,190.8%
ORL 88, BOS 920.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.21,0.33,0.74,190.6%