NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	118		Excitement	6.2 [622]		MVP	Wayne Ellington (DET): +22.7%
Phoenix Suns	98		Comeback	1.5 [1023]		LVP	Josh Jackson (PHX): -17.3%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wayne Ellington	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.20	0.04	0.01	11	85%	0.23	1	-0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Langston Galloway	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	-0.00	6	53%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Luke Kennard	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	-0.02	-0.04	11	62%	0.12	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Bruce Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	75%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson III	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	4	71%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	9	55%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	18	41%	-0.01	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
Reggie Jackson	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	11	61%	0.04	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Blake Griffin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	17	39%	-0.03	2	-0.06	10	70%	-0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	-0.01	0.05	12	74%	0.12	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.03	-0.04	17	59%	0.11	5	-0.06	10	80%	0.01
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	87%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	62%	0.05	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.03
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	12	52%	0.04	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Ray Spalding	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	2	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dragan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	4	25%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Josh Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	7	20%	-0.08	3	-0.10	1	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.4	34.8	14.7	33.5	1.7	27.0	139.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +9.9%

DET +0.2%

DET +23.7%

DET +15.9%

DET +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHX	NBA	DET	PHX	NBA
this game	15.0	15.0	14.3	124.2	101.0	109.3
season	15.3	14.4		107.5	104.8
opponent	14.0	14.0		114.0	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.5	14.3	14.8	14.7	15.0
PHX	16.2	12.9	14.6	16.6	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thon Maker	57	58	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.08	20	0	20	15.4	14.5	0.95	14.6	15.6	-1.01
Luke Kennard	48	50	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.20	20	0	20	15.5	14.6	0.93	14.6	15.4	-0.78
Langston Galloway	46	45	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.06	14	6	8	14.8	15.2	-0.42	14.1	15.7	-1.54
Ish Smith	47	47	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.13	14	6	8	16.0	14.1	1.94	14.6	15.3	-0.66
Blake Griffin	63	63	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	14	-8	14.9	15.3	-0.45	14.6	15.6	-0.92
Reggie Jackson	48	50	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	14	-8	14.1	16.0	-1.94	15.3	14.6	0.66
Wayne Ellington	61	62	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.04	6	14	-8	15.2	14.8	0.43	15.7	13.6	2.13
Andre Drummond	62	63	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.18	12	8	4	14.5	16.0	-1.42	15.8	13.4	2.34
Zaza Pachulia	7	8	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	18	-16	17.1	14.9	2.27	14.9	15.0	-0.09
Bruce Brown	35	37	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	20	-20	14.4	15.4	-0.97	15.2	14.8	0.37
Glenn Robinson III	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	20	-20	19.0	15.0	4.00	11.5	15.0	-3.53

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Spalding	20	18	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.16	6	-26	32	13.1	15.4	-2.28	13.6	15.4	-1.77
Josh Jackson	49	48	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	-16	12	14.7	15.2	-0.45	14.6	15.5	-0.84
De'Anthony Melton	39	39	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-16	12	15.1	14.9	0.15	17.4	13.4	4.06
Richaun Holmes	45	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-16	12	13.4	16.3	-2.99	14.8	15.3	-0.46
Mikal Bridges	80	78	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.11	-13	-7	-6	15.0	14.9	0.02	14.7	16.6	-1.88
Troy Daniels	41	40	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-13	6	14.9	15.0	-0.06	16.6	13.9	2.65
Deandre Ayton	46	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.25	-19	-1	-18	17.1	13.0	4.05	15.2	14.9	0.34
Devin Booker	68	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.10	-15	-5	-10	14.6	15.8	-1.19	14.1	17.2	-3.12
Dragan Bender	63	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.18	-19	-1	-18	16.0	13.0	3.02	15.4	14.4	0.96
Jamal Crawford	34	32	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.20	-21	1	-22	14.3	15.3	-1.07	13.9	15.6	-1.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.33,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.4,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 115, WAS 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.23,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.05,0,0.01,0	94.5%
GSW 107, BOS 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.28,0.26,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
PHI 97, ORL 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.43,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.24,0.22,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.4%