inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 105 Excitement6.9 [498] MVPLaMarcus Aldridge (SAS): +20.1%
San Antonio Spurs 111 Comeback1.3 [610] LVPDraymond Green (GSW): -10.4%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Curry0.150,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.04,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.150.030.10-0.022549%0.212-0.061100%0.00
Kevon Looney0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.020.003100%0.0700.0000%0.00
Alfonzo McKinnie0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.010.00667%0.0600.0000%0.00
Shaun Livingston0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.030.00267%0.0500.002100%0.02
Quinn Cook0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.000.00383%0.0400.0000%0.00
Andrew Bogut0.030,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.000.01478%0.051-0.011100%0.00
Kevin Durant0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.030.06-0.020.011857%0.123-0.096100%0.04
Jordan Bell-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.020.001100%0.021-0.0400%0.00
Klay Thompson-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.24,-0.13,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04-0.090.02-0.031839%0.073-0.1100%0.00
Draymond Green-0.100,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.03-0.070.01856%-0.013-0.1020%-0.03

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.130.070.001277%0.262-0.056100%0.04
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.150.150.080.06-0.021760%0.243-0.09989%0.04
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.050.08-0.00669%0.171-0.041100%0.01
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.040.07-0.00762%0.131-0.022100%0.02
Jakob Poeltl0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.04-0.00650%0.0500.0000%0.00
Rudy Gay0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.02-0.011650%0.081-0.042100%0.01
Derrick White0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.010.010.01-0.00-0.011248%0.031-0.0210%-0.01
Davis Bertans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.020.00733%0.0100.0010%-0.02
Bryn Forbes0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00530%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.32.626.214.828.13.529.2129.6
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +13.7%
SAS +14.5%
SAS +8.2%
SAS +12.4%
SAS +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWSASNBAGSWSASNBA
this game13.216.614.3109.4114.4109.3
season13.414.8114.5111.7
opponent14.415.0110.4108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW13.315.011.513.313.2
SAS15.517.017.316.716.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevon Looney34310.14-0.640.79-0.036-121813.113.3-0.2518.515.72.80
Alfonzo McKinnie3634-0.04-0.460.420.02-2-4213.013.3-0.3118.715.53.23
Shaun Livingston3437-0.08-0.420.34-0.204-101413.413.10.2115.917.0-1.11
Stephen Curry7575-0.17-0.330.16-0.263-91212.715.1-2.4616.915.51.37
Draymond Green7172-0.18-0.320.15-0.232-81012.714.8-2.1416.915.81.14
Andrew Bogut4041-0.20-0.300.09-0.15-2-4213.113.3-0.1215.617.4-1.81
Jordan Bell1920-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.05-93-1214.612.91.7015.516.9-1.33
Quinn Cook2123-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.11-115-1615.112.72.4615.117.1-1.99
Kevin Durant7274-0.600.10-0.69-0.27-115-1613.412.70.7416.417.4-1.03
Klay Thompson7878-0.640.14-0.77-0.34-104-1413.412.60.7516.218.3-2.12

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Davis Bertans52520.54-0.040.590.2510-41416.816.30.5113.413.00.45
DeMar DeRozan76760.450.050.410.257-1816.716.20.5313.113.5-0.36
Derrick White56570.390.110.280.3033017.515.42.0312.614.2-1.57
LaMarcus Aldridge70700.250.25-0.010.2506-616.915.91.0013.312.90.41
Rudy Gay55510.230.27-0.040.29-28-1017.315.71.6213.313.10.24
Patty Mills42400.220.28-0.070.0751415.217.7-2.5013.812.81.08
Marco Belinelli48470.190.31-0.130.1033015.317.9-2.6114.212.31.91
Bryn Forbes35360.160.34-0.170.0251417.116.30.7512.413.7-1.28
Jakob Poeltl51510.070.43-0.360.10-17-816.217.1-0.8712.713.8-1.01


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.6,0.52,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.83,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
BKN 101, LAL 1070.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.89,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.84,0.91,193.9%
DAL 106, BKN 1070.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.7,0.8,0.8,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,193.4%
DAL 106, PHX 1110.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.91,0.86,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,193.3%